by the meltingpot: December 2009

Now Reading!

Indeed, what is at work in the recent return of realism is the revenge of geography in the most old-fashioned sense. In the 18th and 19th centuries, before the arrival of political science as an academic specialty, geography was an honored, if not always formalized, discipline in which politics, culture, and economics were often conceived of in reference to the relief map. Thus, in the Victorian and Edwardian eras, mountains and the men who grow out of them were the first order of reality; ideas, however uplifting, were only the second.
And yet, to embrace geography is not to accept it as an implacable force against which humankind is powerless. Rather, it serves to qualify human freedom and choice with a modest acceptance of fate. This is all the more important today, because rather than eliminating the relevance of geography, globalization is reinforcing it. Mass communications and economic integration are weakening many states, exposing a Hobbesian world of small, fractious regions. Within them, local, ethnic, and religious sources of identity are reasserting themselves, and because they are anchored to specific terrains, they are best explained by reference to geography. Like the faults that determine earthquakes, the political future will be defined by conflict and instability with a similar geographic logic. The upheaval spawned by the ongoing economic crisis is increasing the relevance of geography even further, by weakening social orders and other creations of humankind, leaving the natural frontiers of the globe as the only restraint.
So we, too, need to return to the map, and particularly to what I call the “shatter zones” of Eurasia. We need to reclaim those thinkers who knew the landscape best. And we need to update their theories for the revenge of geography in our time.
Here is the link for the whole write up.

Now at 2nd place

My view is that relations between countries in the coming decades are most likely to reflect their cultural commitments, their cultural ties and antagonism with other countries rather than other factors. Quite obviously, power will continue to play a central role in global politics, as it always does. But usually there is something else behind conflicts. In the 18th century in Europe, the issues to a large extent involved questions of monarchy versus the emerging republican movements, first in America and then in France. In the 19th century, it involved states identifying themselves through nationalism. In the 20th century, ideology came to the fore, largely, but not exclusively, as a result of the Russian Revolution. We had fascism, communism and liberal democracy competing with each other. Well, that’s pretty much over. Liberal democracy has come to be accepted, in theory at least, around the world, if not always in practice. So the question really is what will be the central focus of global politics in the coming decades? My argument remains that cultural identities, antagonisms and affiliations will not only play a role, but play a major role in relations between states. The full interview is here.

This is the 3rd

Every citizen in the City of Richardson will be able to access 756 Kbps of internet connectivity for free, from anywhere in the city. They will be able to access the internet from their homes, schools, restaurants and parks using standard wi-fi connections which are now installed on almost every notebook computer. That is almost as fast as many so-called high speed broadband connections that one pays dearly for today, and several times faster than the various hotspots at your local coffee shops. And I should note that the tax-payers of the City of Richardson are not paying one penny for this, and in fact are going to see additional revenues as a benefit. ... At the beginning of this letter, I suggested that this would be one of the fastest worldwide rollouts of a technology ever seen. It was just 20 years ago that the first cellular systems were being built. The rollout for mesh wireless systems is going to make that look slow. There are several reasons I make this assertion. But they all center on the facts that installing mesh systems will be cheaper and easier than any previous system and the economics in both the developed and especially the developing world will be so radically compelling. Throw in the fact the any astute politician will want to be at the front of this parade (They will all want to say, "I was the man who helped bring free internet to everyone!") and the groundwork is laid for rapid deployment. In Richardson and elsewhere, MeshLinx is offering the basic infrastructure for free. This avoids all the time consuming, political budget battles in the cities. When a service is offered for free, much of the mandated competitive process is eliminated. Next is the low cost of installation of the system. As noted above, Richardson is a city of roughly 100,000 people living in 27.4 square miles. It will "only" cost about $2,000,000 today to lay the wireless blanket I mentioned above. It will cost a great deal less in the future, as MeshLinx is building the pods at a pace of 100 a month today. The maximum output of the US pilot assembly line is 500 a month. When the demand exceeds this (and it will in a very short time) discussions have been held to move volume production to China. Of course, the world will need tens of millions of pods. The cost for a pod will be a fraction of today's cost, with that installation number for a city like Richardson soon being half (or less) the cost of today. What does that $1 or 2 million get you? The infrastructure to be an internet connection, telephone, security, entertainment provider and a whole lot more company. As noted, it will get cheaper as the number of pods being made each month rises, thus lowering their costs dramatically. This technology does have scale. The cost of physically putting up a pod is not a large part of the equation, as you simply need to run a power line, attach a few bolts to a mount on the side of a building or light pole and then off to the next point. Think about the 40,000 homes and businesses in Richardson. If and (hopefully) over time when 10% decide to pay $50 a month for 10-20 Mbps high speed internet access you could see a revenue of $2.5 million a year just from internet access. Now add in all the other income possibilities (phone, entertainment, security and don't forget advertising revenue on the free service!). Think about your town or country. What would service like this be worth? If you are a small city that does not have high speed connections available, how many businesses that could bring jobs do not come your way because they need reliable communications for their work and their employees? If you are in a developing country, where internet access is difficult and expensive, it will open whole new vistas. Couple that with the various programs which want to give cheap laptops to kids in poor countries, and you could see significant social progress in a generation. Here is the link.

Thursday, December 10, 2009

The July 23rd killings and the looming war

We are witnessingg several momentous events.

First,the Chinese general,who is some sort(their official designation
is little confusing) of deputy Chief of Staff of the People's
Liberation Army of PRC visited New Delhi.

Second, the Chinese general who is headquartered in Llasa and who is
managing the soldiers directly facing the Indian soldiers along
Sikkim-Arunachal sector is currently on a visit to the Eastern Command
in Fort Williams in Kolkatta.

These two seems perfectly routine if we don't consider a press release
by the PRO of the Indian Army.It was carried by PTI dated 5th DEcember.

It said the Indian Army was given a very short time by the political
leaderships to get prepare for war. It went on to say that within that
time constraints it was now ready for the war.

It's true--Indian military is gearing up for a war with China.

So,they are not just routine visits by the Chinese generals.They are
meant to be the face-to-face sizing up of an opposing compabant with
whom a fight would soon to be joined.RIGHT?

Now, I'm coming to the most crucial part:

IF my last post is TRUE,then we must return to the events in Imphal to
understand why there should a war at all.

We must remember that New Delhi specifically instructed the Chief
Minister to hold talks with the agitationists to end the current
political turmoil.

As intsructed, a ministerial team began talking with the agitationist
in right earnest.

After the first meeting, the agitationists dropped a bombshell when
they withdrew their demand--the removal of the Chief
Minister--and,instead,settled for 'very doable' demands like suspension
of some more policemen and the expansion of the current judicial
inquiry to a 3 member one.

Reading the headlines that day, everybody was elated in thinking that
the end of the current impasse was in sight. It's because everybody
thinks that the removal of Chief Minister is 'less doable' and that one
demand was responsible for a such long impasse.

But most surprisingly,it was followed by a deafening silence on the
Chief Mibnsiter's side.

After several days,we heard the news the Chief Minsiter himself chaired
a twin meetings in a single day discussing the 'doable demands'.

Reading the news that we got the implicit message from the Chief
Minister that he was waiting for some signals from the agitationists to
start talking again.The implicit message was publicly stated by the
Chief Minister in a public meeting held during the coming bye election
Yaiskul Assembly Constituency.

REALLY?

What had happened to the already working mechanism to get in touch with
the agitationsits(which enabled several rounds of talks)?

Why the volte face?

The only plausible explanation is the New Delhi now instructed the
Chief Minster to go slow with the talk.

Why the surprising volte face by New Delhi?

The only plausible answer is that New Delhi is testing China's
resolve.They are testing if China can risk going to a war(for which New
Delhi is already ready) for its support to the Manipur's political
developments in the aftermath of the July 23rd killings by the State
policemen,which in my humble opinion,should be supported not only by
China but also by all peace-loving and justice-seeking nations of the
world.

When we come this far,it's now profitable to look back and say with
some confidence that my last post is increasingly proving to be TRUE.

by the meltingpot

Now Reading!

Now at 2nd place

This is the 3rd