Geo-politics,the charade and the blogger

Blogging is all about enthusiasm.

But I hate publishing this post.That's why I'm doing this on 31st Dec--like the last day of the year,this must be the last of such posts.

As a matter of fact,I've been debating with myself whether to write this post or not since the middle of Oct.Because I know anybody who happens to read this post would surely term me as megalomaniac.

The story began on the 15th of Oct 2012.

The strangest news on that day was that they were announcing the near fruitiion of their 15-years running peace talk by ambushing another rebel group at Ashang khullen.Celebrating the coming peace by attacking another armed group? I said to myself--'It's strange'.

Reading further,I again murmured to myself--'It's becoming all the more staranger'.Because the tone was unmistakble--they seemed to be eerily happy with themselves in announcing that they lost one man when those at the receiving ends retaliated.Strange!strange!!

The announcement came from Dimapur.

Then,I moved to my iGoogle tab(I've completely migrated online for my news).Scrolling down,I came to my Gmail inbox.It made me startled--unusual and strange mails there.I read exactly two of them and then,started deleting all mails received on 14th night and 15th morning.

I immediately knew this--

--Some sophististicated minds were trying to read the pattern of this blog's reaction to the strange news vis a vis the reaction of the ambushed rebel group in Ashang Khullen--

In other words,the power that be in New Delhi was trying to ascertain whether it could get a slightest of the clues to the profiles of the players constituting the Manipuri components of the Grand Coalition against Nazism.

That they had to go down all the way to micro-managing their search to the level of such obscure blog of mine points to an intersting thing--The Indian state seems genuinely clueless about the Manipuri society as defined by its history and its geo-political reach,leave alone having a crude profiles of the actual players.

Sitting there in front of my computer,a sense of spookiness overwhelmed me--'Is it really happening to me?'

But still the hardest part of the impact of the  whole story upon this blogger unveiled itself after the passage of some 7/8 weeks.For this poor blogger this is still the hardest part but I need to break the silence.

--The announcement by the Home Minsiter,sushil Kumar Shinde that the Naga Issue was nearing solution,most probably by March 2013 which provoked massive euphoria in Naga psyche and equally downbeat mood in the whole of Manmipuri Society WAS ACTUALLY A CHARADE ORCHESTRATED FOR THE SOLE PURPOSE OF READING THE ABOVE-MENTIONED PATTERNS--

I know this is the sure recipe for people calling me a megalomaniac.

The story this far wraps up drama involving my blog(yeah,this blogger sure is a megalomaniac!) and the Indian state vis a vis Manipuri society as defined by its history and it geo-political reach.Whatever attributes people try to tag with to this blog(like,written by a megalomaniac??),it should be emphasized here that it is purely a personal thing--nothing more,nothing less.Being that so,whatever drama involving it should have been completely benign and harmless.

But New Delhi did lose control of the charade somewhere along the way.

Manipur Chief Minsiter,Mr Okram Ibobi,unaware that all those dramas are simple charade,thought that he was about to be forced to make unacceptable(to Manipuri society) concessions for the coming final Naga solution,played out his last cards.He dodged off coming summons from the big shots in Delhi by sojourning to Australia for full 20 days,which amounts to direct revolt by a provincial satrap.It's to be noted here that it was an unthinkable act by a chief minister in the set up of 'high command'culture of Congress party.Consequent events showed us that the beginning of the sidelining of the Manipur CM was already initiated.

And,it happened not be just a  simple and internal affair between the Chief Minister and the Congress party.It's apparent that middle rung cadres of NSCN(IM) did notice Ibobi's revolt and likely schism between between him and the power that be in New Delhi.They correctly read that there would be power vacuum because of this schism,which would make it possible to plan a tragedy like the public molestation of a popular Manipuri film actress in Chandel.Is this the outcome of the fervent imaginations of a fertile and sordid (and megalomaniacal?) mind?But do anybody think the central leadership of Swu and Muivah would stoop that low?I don't think so.Then?

The most likely scenario is the forcing of the agendas of the middle rung cadres on the already desperate leadership of Swu and Muivah.I think that has already taken place.

Again,it was destined not to be a simple and internal affars of NSCN(IM).Unwittingly,this middle rung cadres has been successful in forcing thier agenda on the equally desparate power that be in New Delhi,which,it turns out to be far more clueless about Manipuri society as defined by its history and its geo-political reach.They seemed to be a bit surprise but more importantly,seemed ever ready to be forced upon itself to welcome the unlikely turn of events.They seemed to be excited by the outward facade of this 'sudden turn of events'ie the scenario of valley-hill ethnic clash but they seemed to be completely clueless about its underlying force ie the unprincipled forcing of their agenda by the middle rung cadres.

The cascading effects of the impulsive acts by this middle rung cadres are likely to go far beyond this.They are most likely to make history in the sense that they are breathtakingly nearing to disturb the equalibrium attained in the Imphal valley by the overlap of two great geo-political forces.The current equilibrium is being maintained by the political space occupied by the stakeholders like Ibobi,who happen to have the minimum moral authority to just enable to churn the wheel of the State.These middle rung cadres are in the process of accentuating the complete banishment of the equalibrium-enabling political space defined by the stakeholders like Ibobi.This will lead to enevitable disturbance of the current equilibrium.That,in turn, will result in fresh re-positionings of the two great geo-political forces for fresh seeking of another equilibrium.

It is in this fresh re-positionings that we are likely to see geo-political high dramas in the coming months and years.

Bodoland,Gaza and Barack Obama

I feel good that both the news of Bodoland and Gaza come to our focus almost simultaneously that too,during the India visit of Aung San Suu Kyi and only a few days to go for the first ever visit of a US President to Burma.

I am feeling good because the news whet my curiosity to ask the following questions:

1)When we talk of a new front in the Middle East(my last post),is Gaza the real frontline?

2)Is there any co-relation between Gaza and Bodoland?

Unknown to us,the similarity between Bodoland and Gaza is striking.Both are hemmed in by forces of great geo-political forces so much so that they are both staring at their owns demises,that too,in their own homelands.

In Gaza's case,the strongest force is the emergence of the notion of Zionism and the consequent materialization of the State of Israel.This force literally puts a noose around the neck of inhabitants of Gaza,the Palestinians.

In Bodoland's case,the similar force is the emergence of the notion of Indian nationhood and the consequent materialization of the State of India.This force also puts a noose around the neck of the inhabitants of the Bodoland,the Bodos.

We need to remind ourselves that these all happened almost simultaneously around the time when the crumbling of British Empire started.

In my humble opinion,the Bodo leaders should quickly make sense of the cyclical application of great geo-political force right now in their own homeland(as is seen in the sudden elevation of their homeland at the same league as that of Gaza).They then should make a quick trip to Burma during Barack Obama's visit and make a representation to him.They should say to him--'We are dying in our own homeland'.

If that happens to be the case of the pre-mature forcing of the hands of the Bodo leaders,then,we should at least hope that Barack Obama,in planning such an unconventional State visit,should also break taboos and try to ask this question:

--Is there any co-relation between Bodoland and Gaza?--

Another front:Where the US ambassador to Libya was the first casualty.

The Grand Coalition against Nazism has just opened a brand-new front in what the Western World called the Middle East.

The brand-new front,as a continuation of the ongoing moves(as detailed in my past several posts),is meant to act as a counterpoise to the India-proposed front in the South China Sea.

The moment the brand-new front was formed,we saw the amazing alacrity with which the various players moved in to take their respective positions.The US ambassador to Libya was killed.There were massive demonstration in all capitals of the Muslim countries.Iran openly calls fof the elimination of the Jewish State.Nearer home,Pakistan even declared a national holiday on a Friday for the purpose of staging protest,in which 29 people were killed.

Evidently,US was completely taken by surprise.

How can I say that a brand-new front was formed in the Middle East by the Grand Coalition against Nazism? I will list the following indicators.

1)The strongest indicator,of course,emanated from Beijing.

Mr Xi Jinping,who is going to take over the President of China in a few weeks time,suddenly disappeared from public from around 1st of September 2012.When his disappearance entered 2nd week,there were speculations in all the capitals of the countries in the world that there was power struggle in Beijing and there might not be smooth transfer of power from the incumbent,Mr Hu Jintao to the presumptive candidate in line,Mr Xi Jinping.

That would be a development of huge significance for the world politics.

But Mr Xi Jinping did reappear in public when his disappearance was about to enter the 3rd week.What is most significant is that he timed his reappearance with the emergence of the obscure video film called "The Innocence of Islam" and the first glimpses of protest in Arab streets.

Mr Xi Jinping let it be known to all concerned that China,together with the Grand Coalition against Nazism,had just opened a brand-new front in what the Western World called the Middle East.

2)There followed moves by various interested parties with amazing speeds.The most significant and the most condemn-able move was the violation of the sanctity of an embassy(in this case,consulate)and killing of the US ambassador to Libya,Mr Chris Stevens.

The immediate response from the US President was the declaration that 'justice will be done' and the quick despatch of 2 destroyers and 50 marines to the Libyan waters.When they reached the Libyan coast,they sent out drones to look for the suspects.As the central authority is still weak(aftermath to the depose of Gaddafi),several militia groups are still controlling the periphery( like Bengazhi,where the ambassador was killed).These militia groups had had field days at firing anti-aircraft guns to take down those US drones.So much so that the authority in Tripoli had to close the Libyan airspace.

Then,suddenly,an amazing thing happened.

Ms Susan Rice,the US ambassador to the UN,brushing aside the destroyers,the marines and the drones,announced that the ambassador Stevens was killed in the course of a spontaneous protest in Benghazhi.She personally appeared at FOX news and NBC to announce this.While she was in those networks,the Libyan Prsident.Mr Mohmad el-Megarif,himself was on ABC and CBC to apologize to the American public for the killing of the ambassador Stevens,which,according to him,was the handiwork of a particular militia group.Ambassador Rice was openly and publicly contradicting the Libyan president himself--that too,live on air!That borders on hilarity!

My point:US needs not less the person of its ambassador to the UN to kick in the damage control exercise(meaning deploying the marines and the drones would certainly enlarge the just formed front,which would  certainly make US look foolish to the world).

3)This is the weakest indicator because I'm trying to find the source by first sizing up the efffect.

It's usual for the US to immediately jump  into the middle whenever there were verbal or otherwise,spat between China and Vietnam or between China and Japan.

But this past week,when China literally tested the water by sending marine boats within the territorial waters of the disputed islands,there were marked silence from the US side.

This clearly shows that US was currently busy in sizing up the just formed front in the Middle East.

The Achilles heels for the US foreign policy has always been what they called the Middle East.The emergence of the new front is changing the already volatile space with new insurmountable equation for the US.We are currently witnessing Iran's ongoing efforts to channelize the simmering volatility into a Zionism vs Islam paradigm.This paradigm is totally and completely unacceptable not only to US but also to the whole Western World because that would be tantamount to officially accepting that the Western Civilization is at war with Islam.

The US and the entire Western World,would deploy all its resources and time to avert the emergence of this paradigm.

But as soon as the US tries to stretch its already thin resources in trying to open the India-proposed front in the South China Sea,Iran,with all the Hezbollahs and Salafis of the world,would relentlessly try to arrive at the paradigm.

The most likely scenario that would follow is that US would be able to find lesser and lesser time and resources for India and India-proposed front in the South China Sea.

With this newly formed front,in my humble opinion,all the pieces are finally in their places in the Chessboard.What we are waiting for is the first move.

Personally,I will welcome,not one but several initial moves,which will mark the beginning of the destruction of the Nazism from our neighbourhood.

I hate Nazism with all my heart.

A new front

From the start,I suspected that Pakistani strategic thankers had quickly got wind of the emergence of the Grand Coalitionagainst Nazism(my last post) and propmtly started dovetailing its own moves with that of the Coalition to chip away at themorale of not only of the Indian military but also of its whole populace.

My suspicion was vindicated when IB suddenly announced that Dawood Ibrahim gang was behind the recent Mumbai riot in Azad Maidan.The IB announcemnet came just one day before the Indian External Affairs Minister's visit to Pakistan.In my mind,Dawood Ibrahim gang is a scapegoat so that the Indian External Affairs Minsiter,currently in a 3-day visit to Pakistan,can make the first move to wean Pakistan away from working in tandem with the Grand Coalition against Nazism.The changed tone and tenor of the visiting Indian Minister already bear testinomy to this emerging Indian move.

But coming to our core point--Chipping away at the morale of not only of the India's military but also of the whole populace? How?

To answer this question,we need to look at 2 points:

1)The first is a man named Abu Jundal.In my mind,Abu Juindal himself made several moves so that he got arrested by Indian intelligence agency.Once arrested,he made it sure that he made a confession before a magistrate so that the direct involvement of the Pakistani military in the 11/26 Mumbai attack was recorded under the official seal of the Indian legal system.

At this point,won't the ordinary Indian citizen start asking the following question?

--What actions are we taking up?

Once this question atart creeping inside the head of the vast Indian ordinary people,their morale will start the downward slide.

2)In noting the above point it's reasonable to infer that its one of those selective readings of the recent events by an opinionated blogger.

To defend my point,I would like to revisit one important event some years down the line--the crushing military defeat of the LTTE in Sri Lanka.Pakistan not only supplied military hardware but also stationed senior military officers on the battlefield itself to advise the Sri Lankan military.

Why?

The Pakistani strategic thnkers were working ont the calculation that if LTTE was given a crushing military defeat in Sri Lanka,they would not any other option but to shift their base to Tamil Nadu,India.This would result in a 'hotspot'in South India,besides NE and J&K.

In that scenario,the morale of the whole populace of India would nosedive.

In this light,Abu Jundal arrest is a continuation of a long term moves by Pakistani strategic thinkers.In my mind,Indian intelligence agencies have no capability to arrest a man like Abu Jundal--they have not been able to lay their hands on criminals like Dawood Ibrahim,Chhota Shakeel etc.It's now clear that Pakistani strategic thinkers made Abu Jundal got himself arrested by the Indian agencies.

At this juncture,as if on cue,a Chinese General,together with a planeload of military personnel,all in full military regalia,descended on Mumbai!

But is this visit anything to do with our core proposition--'chipping away at the morale of not only India's military but also of the whole populace'?

To answer this we need to confront this seemingly innocous yet certainly topical and profound question--

-Is the Indian people's infantile pleasure derived out of the open and public derision of 'Chinky'the symptom of the thousand years of the repression of the fear of the 'kiratas'(thus bringing it up to our notice the chronic-for-thousands-of-years and hence irreconcilable mistrust between the two) ?

As is wont of an opionated blogger I will stick my neck out and say that the answer to the above question is a resounding 'yes'.And,this is crucial,the Chinese seems to have a surprisingly accurate reading of this subconscious profile of Indian mind.

That's why they were trying to impart a visual impact of the 'kratas'in full military regalia on the already unsettled Indian minds,brought about by the violence in Azad Maidan and the subsequesnt exodus of NE people,which was more like a exodus of refugees from a war zone.At this point,it's reasonable to say I'm dangerously veering towards the mind of a conspiracy theorist.To defend myself,I'll note down the following points:

a)The duration of Gen Liang Guanglie's visit is in itself intriguing.5 days by a planeload of military men!Do they need full 5 dyas to meet AK Antony and say that they were all mnrnalising ties with India?Surprise,Surprise!!

b)Why there was a blanket blackout of the General's visit by the INdian media?Is this the case of Indian mind subconsciously trying to hide its innate fear(of the 'kiratas')?

c)Outwardsly,Gen Liang's visit have all the posture of just another routine visit.But it is not.Almost simultaneously,they had sent Gen Jiang's deputy,Cai Yingting,to US and another of his deputy,Ma Xiaotian,to Vietnam.Here we need to remind ourselves that Chinese Army is the only remaining army on the world which is trained to fight the US army.And,Vietnam is currently embroiled in a high pitch spat with China in the South China Sea and it's one of the very few countries in the world which was needed to be 'taught a lesson' by China in a not distant past.Almost simultaneous vists by 3 Generals in 3 different countries!Is there a coded message in those visits?

d)While Gen Liang was in India US Secy of State,Ms Hillary clinton suddenly materialized in Beijing to talk about the need of a code of conduct in South China Sea.Was there another coded message in Ms Clinton's visit?Is this the correct way of deciphering the coded message--China has an emerging military front at its doorstep in South China Sea an dit should not even start thinking opening another front elsewhere?If it's the correct rendering of the coded message,we all saw Ms Clinton appropriately snubbed by the Chinese Mandarins.Mr Xi Jingping,the President in waiting cancelled a meeting(scheduled for the following day) at around midnight and refused to meet her.Well,it seems there were surfeit of coded messges in our region at this point of time!

e)But,wait,we are not dne yet!Here is another remakable coded message!!Gen Liang,at the conclusion of his visit,gave Rs 50,000/-each to the two IAF pilots manning the aircraft ferrying him in his visit!!!Do we need to say anything about this episode?It's quite clear Gen Liang was opening mocking at the military estblishment of India.

In my personal level,I'm sure it will be exhilirating to watch how the children opf chanakya go about to checkmate the flagrant and work-in-progress moves 'to chip away at the morale of not only its military but also of his whole populace'.

The shift to military option and how it might unfold.

I believe that Indian State has shifted to military option(The stories of other options are told in my last several posts).

I also strongly believe that India will attempt surgical strikes on Manipuri rebel camps inside Burmese territories.I'll come on this later in this post.

The strongest indicator for this shift came from distant Washington.Barrack Obama,in an epochal shift in US military doctrine,announced that they are scaling back in Europe and focusing in Asia to show that they are a Pacific power.Later on,we also saw the demurred acceptance of China for 'constructive' US presence in Asia.

In my mind,this epochal shift in US policy is mostly the result of intense Indian lobbying(though ackwoledging that US has its own strong interst in keeping the status quo in Asia,particularly South Asia).

The doctrine behind Indian lobbying is mostly likely to be this:Against the looming US military presence,China might cease to be active in the Grand Coaltion Against Casteist Imperialism(last update of my last post) resulting in maintaining the status quo in South Asia.

But India cannot bring about this epochal US shift solely by the above doctrine alone--it must also bring somethng on the table.It's mostly likely that,on its part,India would inflct a back-breaking military blow to Manipuri rebels(who are the active members of the Grand Coalition).

It's dizzying for me to note in real time that the Indian miltary assets(for the break-breaking blow) are being put in place under the guise of the large scale security movements of elections scheduled for 28th Jan 2012.I've neither the wherewithal nor the time to track military movements.But 2 things strongly point towards the military movements as I write this.

1)The sudden arrival of Direcdtor General of Military Operations in Imphal ostensibly for election security arrangements.

2)The unprecedented official Indian request to Burma seeking its help for the smooth conduct of Manipur elections on the 28th.This strongly points to the likley incursion of Indian military inside Burma.

I think that Indian military action is coming.

UPDATE-1
26th March 2012

As I'm reading the news informing us that China has dubbed the Dalai Lama as the 'US-controlled Nazi',it comes to me as a revelation that Casteism, for all practical purposes,equals Nazism.

We may call it Casteism viewing it from the perspective from Social Sciences--but when viewed from the perspectives of the daily grinds of political practice,Casteism surely equals Nazism.

It sure gives me a bad jolt seeing this for the first time that the Casteist constituent within the Indian society(and its counterpart in Manipuri society) is practicing Nazism.

But we come to very interesting conclusion--both China and the Manipuri rebels are equal members of the Grand Coalition against Nazism.

It's the duty of all the responsible citizen of this globe to root out Nazism from our midst.

UPDATE-2
12th April 2012.

Anybody who can take the chance of being labelled a paranoid can read this pattern:--The Indian Army chief,Gen VK Singh's whole drama starting from age row to the leaked letter to the Prime Minister to the coup story is clearly meant to send out the following message.

--The relationship between the Army and its present civilian controllers in New Delhi has soured to such an extent that no meaningful military action would be forthcoming until the General retires on the 31st May 2012(meaning,making the Manipuri rebels complacent in the idea that no military action is coming until 31st May 2012)--

Although seemingly farfetched,this is the only pattern to be singled out for someone like me living in Imphal.Also,remembering that it's always better to be a bit paranoid to be able to stay a step ahead of the competition,I'll defend myself for embracing paranoia in the following points:

1)As shown in my last update,there is already an idealogical underpinning in the coming clash--it's nothing to do with territory,border disputes or rebellion within India.It's everything to do with crushing the practice of Nazism and hence,the smashing of the fortress of Nazism(my last update).This puts tremendous pressure on the Indian political leadership to push the military to assiduosly plan for a clean,surgical strike on the Manipuri rebels with the aim of avoiding international outcry at any cost.Hence, the whole drama.

2)The just concluded visit of the junior Defence Minister,Mr Pallam Raju to Moreh which sits right on the India-Burma border was designed to build up in the message sent out by the drama of Gen Singh.The visit was intended to make the Manipuri rebels think like this--"Ah!Only the civilian controllers of the Indian Army come here--where are the real armymen hiding? We are waiting for them!".Thus making the Manipuri rebels more complascent than ever.

3)The Indian Army is extremely well prepared,as opposed to what the leaked letter by the General tries to make us believe.

This was shown some weeks back when the Indian Army executed a flawless military exercise along the banks of Brahmaputra(the parts of Arunachal Pradesh,which is very near to the Chinese border)involving the state of the art fighter planes and special troops.It turns out that Indian Army has quietly putting together units of special troops for the faceoff with the Chinese army along Arunachal sector!That's some sign of lack of 'preparedness'of the Indian army!!That military exerciser was efficiently timed to coincide with the day when the Chinese foreign minister was in New Delhi.

Isn't it the case the General Singh speaking garbages on purpose to send out some well thougth-out messages?

4)Another garbage the General is mouthing is that the civilian bureaucracy is tenaciously standing on the way of military works,mainly in the developments of military infrastructures.Last heard,about 70 new roads near Chinese border are being built on a war footing.Most of these roads pass through ecologically fragile forest lands but the works are going on a war footing,meaning there is absolutely no case of civilian bureaucracy standing on the way.

The General,again,was speaking garbages on purpose.

5)Another one of General's garbages is the lack of funds.Any casual reader of current news and financial positions of India would be immediately struck with the way the Indian army has been returning money which it has not able to use--that too,on a regular basis,year after year.This current budget is allocating funds to the military which is hefty 17% raise.Now,the Indian military is the largest importer of arms in the world.

So,where is the lack of funds?Total garbage.

6)Begining the month of February,when I wrote the main post,they has been quitely and
slowly amassing military assets for the coming military action against the Manipuri
rebels.Right now,under the pretext of the joint Indo-US naval exercise(a 10-day affair concluding on the 16th of April 2012),they are bringing in the major part of the US Navy's 7th Fleet near the Bay of Bengal.This includes the aircraft carrier,USS Carl Vinson.This aircraft carrier is clearly meant to be quickly deployed deep inside the Bay of Bengal to offset any Chinese movements along the Arunachal sector in the aftermath of the Indian military action against the Manipuri rebels.

Judging by the scale of the ongoing preparations by the Indian State and the personalities(and the quantumn of military assets)involved,it's quite safe to infer like this:

1)The Indian State is leaving no stones unturned in its quest to take the Manipuri rebels by surprise.They are working extremely hard,spanning several oceans and several years,to gain the element of surprise in the coming military action against the Manipuri rebels.

2)the coming military action would be a localized one but extremely intense,by virtue of the application of the full might of the Indian army on it.

Having come this far,it's terribly tempting to infer that the Indian military action would be coming by the 16th of April 2012(the date on the joint Indo-US naval exercise concludes).

But it's prudent not to name any date;instead,it would be wiser to infer like this:

--The Indian military action is likely to come on any date when the aircraft carrier,USS Carl Vinson does not move out of the range from which it can be quickly deployed deep inside the Bay of Bengal to fend off any Chinese movements expected along the Arunachal as the consequence of the Indian military action against the Manipuri rebels--

UPDATE-3
31st May 2012

Here is the headline:

--NE rebels told to leave Burmese soil by 10th of June 2012:Burmese President--.

And,here is the unpublished(and thus,unsaid) line:

--Is it a verifiable promise?--

Here,we need to consider two identifying features of the situation.

1)We are dealing with a vast expanse of land which is one of the few remaining Last Frontiers of this Globe.

2)These vast wild lands are loosely controlled by one of the most mysterious institutions of the world,namely,the Burmese Army.

Keeping the question in the context of these two features,we can safely say that anybody who tries to verify the Burmese Presidnet's promise given to the Indian Prime Minsiter would be assailed by the sense massive frustration.If we go down a little deeper,it's also safe to say that he would be certainly tired down by the constant encounters of frustration and exasperation.

Would the legendary Indian patience would prove equal to this constant encounters of frustration and exasperation?

In trying to answer this question,first,we need to put the recent developments in Burma in proper perspectives.In direct contrast to the constant trumpeting in the media,there is neither opening up nor democratization process in Burma.What the whole range of media sees as opening up or democratization is actually an effort by the Burmese Army to erect around itself a pliable democratic and civilian shield.Its real objective is to enable the Burmese society to speak in two different voices.For example,when pressed hard for the implementation of the Burmese President's promise,the civilian govt can say one thing while the Burmese Army can say another altogether different thing.When pressed even harder,they would blame each other for the tardy implementation of the President's promise.A glimpse for this coming scenario can be seen in the recently signed peace agreement between the Burmese Govt and a faction of a Naga rebel group,which permits the cadres of the group to roam freely fully armed all throughout Sagaiing region,where the Manipuri rebels have their bases.Whenever India complains that there are still Manipuri rebels there,it's
easy to answer that it might be the case of mistaken identity--(Burmese)Naga rebels mistakenly identified as Manipuri rebels.

In other words,the legendary Indian patience would break down in no time.Would all these tire down the Indian diplomats and its military leaders?

By now,it's reasonable for anybody to say that I'm letting my imagination run wild a bit too far!But to defend myself for my viewpoint I'll cite 3 recent develpments:

1)The sudden and the most intriguing yearning for pilgrimage felt by the good old soul of the Pakistani Prime Minister which prompted him to quickly reach Ajmer via (oh!sure)Delhi.The resultant meetings and talks quickly touch the recently unthinkable item like the demilitarization of the Siachin Glacier.So,is there a sudden change of heart in Pakistani side?Or,is it something else?(Just like the queation--is there a real opening up and democratization process in Burma?Or,is it somethng else?).

2)There was another sudden(and equally inexplicable) zeal of the Americans to lift sanctions against Burma and to appoint an ambassador there--that zeal,mark my words here!--accidentaly struck the compassionate American souls barely 7 days to go for the Indian Prime Minister to leave for Burma!!So,is it real American zeal for the Burmese people?Or,is it sometning else?

3)One fine afternoon,around the time when the Indian Prime Minister was being ceremoniuosly recieved in the newly constructed fortress capital of Burma,two Budhist monkd appeared from thin air in front of Jokhang Monsatry in Llasa and attempted self immolations.Is this act the story of the readiness of the monks to sacrifice their lives for the causes of the Tibetans?Or, is it something else?

Why should I take all the troubles to make the above list plus the elaboration on the recent events in Burma?

I take all these troubles in order to enable me to spell out that all these apparently unrelated events around the world are in fact the manisfestations of the intense tussle between two combatants,one representing the forces of Nazism and the other,a coalition seeking to crush Nazism,trying to pin down a battlefront of their own choosing--a battlefront most suitable to their battleplans.

So,where is the battlefront?

In my humble opinion,this battlefront would be demarcated by the way in which the Indain State tries to shake off frustration and exasperation in seeking the verification of the promise just given by the Burmese President.And the verification process officially starts on the 10th of June 2012.

The actual battlefront might not be visible for sometime to come but the actual battle begins on the 10th of June 2012.

Now,there is this uneviable task of putting this game changing development in black and white:

--THE FIRST BATTLE OF THE WAR THAT WILL DETERMINE THE DIRECTION OF THE 21ST CENTURY COMMENCES ON THE 10TH OF JUNE 2012--

Oh!My god!! The commence date is 10th of June 2012!!

What is 10th of June?

Go,figure it out for ourself.

UPDATE-4
17th June 2012

In a pre-emptive move,India fired the first shot fully utilizing its soft powers.

Here,we need to remember that the Indian home minister,P.Chidambaram,in a press conference a day after the Prime Minister's official visit to Burma,diplomatically acknowledged that their Prime Minsiter's just concluded visit was a failure.

In hindsight,it's quite clear that they quickly cobbled together a move to pre-empt the Burmese president's declaration of a battlefront beginning on 10th of June 2012(see my last update).By the 7th of June it's quite clear that the Indain State had instigated the Stateless Bengali settlers in Arakan state,borderng Bangladesh,to start an ethnic war against the majority Burmans there.

Not to be outdone,a state of emergency was declared in Arakan state on the 10th of June.The Grand Coaltion against Nazism made it a point to stick to the 10th of June 2012 declaration of the battlefront.

It's sickening to see EU and Us leaders cheering the Indian State's first salvo employing below the belt dirty tactics.US secretary of state,Ms Hillary Clinton,was personally there--she was in effect saying--"Bravo,India,you are the master of dirty war".

Here we are encountering several new things:

1)The world has already acknowledged the fabulous soft power of India.Beginning the 7th of June 2012,the world had just witnessed a tragic scene:real blood can be shed by the devilish soft power of India.It's a game changing event.

2)It's now clear that there are very potent Indian sleeper cells inside Burma.Just like Al Qaeda,the Indian State,using its soft powers,has been inserting sleeper cells inside Burma.By now widely publicized ethnic war between the Bengali and Burmans(nearly 2000 houses burnt and more than 20 people killed)was evidently initiated by the Indian sleeper cells.

3)If they can do inside Burma,it's easy for them to insert numerous sleeper cells inside Manipuri society.As I'm wrting this,these sleeper cells are listening,plotting and waiting for New Delhi's instructions.

4)Last but not the least,Burma has quitely joined the Grand Coalition against Nazism.That India has to activate several of its sleeper cells and initiated widespread ethnic war points to its acknowledgemnet that the Burma has chosen to stand firm accross the battleline facing India.As the still unfolding events show,it seems not to be decision of Burmese army alone--it seems to be a decision taken in consultation with Aung Sang Suu Kyi and NLD.

In my personal level,it's a bit anti-climatic to see India employing such a below the belt tactic,that too in the first salvo of the battle.As the whole world is rushing towards the brave new world of the 21st Century,India is fast descending into Al Qaeda-level ethos---JAI HO!