India under attack(updated)

Just got the news that IS gunmen infiltrated the high-security diplomatic zone in Dhaka and killed an Italian aid worker.What's making the news is not the IS itself--the location of the action is doing the news making.My point--Bangladesh is the immediate area of influence of India and India has always been saying that IS is no threat to them.

But it's not the only newsmaker inside the territory of India's immediate area of influnce.

1)Nepal.The Madhesi--the Nepalis of Indian origin are up in arms against the just adopted constitution of Nepal.Nearly 70 member strong representatives of the Madhesis did not sign on the new constitution.Rigth now,they are blockading the entire nation of Nepal.The Nepali government has resorted to petrol rationing and threatening to open the land roads to China if the blockades is not lifted.As Nepal is landlocked most of the essential items come via India and Madhesis are sitting on the route.

The verdict--India fail to safeguard its interest in another of its immediate area of influnce.

2)Maldives.It's brutal amd raw there.It's pro-India president had had a narrow escape in a bomb blast inside the boat he was travelling.We have to remember here that Indian prime minsiter had invested a lot of time and energy in visiting and befriending all these small island nations proclaiming that they are guarantors of India's interest in Indian Ocean.

It's a nasty slap on the face of India.

3)Afghanistan.Previously Afghanistan,though almost a neighbour,was not considered an immediate area of influence because of Soviet and American show of force there.But recently,India started taking intiating steps to show that it's one of its immediate area of influnce.

Now,the Taliban fighters have just overran the city of Kunduz--an attack of great symbolism because the city was the stronghold of the Northen Alliance.

Should we not take note that all these were happening while the Indian prime minister,Mr Narendra Modi was meeting world leaders to ask them to acknowledge India's rising stature.He was specifically asking them to help India in gaining a permament seat in the security council of UN.

While India's prime minister was at his diplomatic best in New York,there were those attacks inside its immediate area of influnce.

It can be taken to mean as a clear declaration of war on India.

India,through Madhesis,is blockading Nepali.So far,it's the only counter-attack from India.

Nearer home,should we expect another blockade as a counter attack from India?

Counter attack from India?Here is my earlier post to make sense of this.


UPDATE-1
01-10-15(11 pm)

Just one day after this post was published,there were series of bomb blast in China.

I'm firm in my opinion that this should not be construed as proving the importance of this blog.If it has got any importance,it is everything to do with it trying to faithfully  portray the wishes of Manipuri society.That it has got such a quick response points to the fact that New Delhi is trying to reach out to some people within the Manipuri society.They are using this blog to connect with those people.To understand who these people are,we must delve deeper into the underlying historical processes that dictate the present moves and counter-moves.

The bomb blast targetted a historically very significant constituent within the Manipuri society.Agreed--influencing this constituent is not the sole aim of the bomb blast.There are other significant objectives as well.

But we are intrigued at how the bomb blast aimed to influnce this significant constituent within the Manipuri society.

The message sent by the bomb blast to the 'Anti-Pakhangba Constituent'--Playing antagonistic peripherals to the centre of the Manipuri polity is not yet a lost game--we have the resources to go for an-eye-for-an-eye---for example,a bomb blast inside China for that bomb blast in Maldives.

New Delhi is diligently courting the 'Anti-Pakhangba Constituent'.

At the moment,the 'Anti-Pakhangba Constituent' has a stark choice before them--going along with New Delhi in defiance of revolutionary tradition of Manipur or discharging their historical responsibilty by following the footspeps of  those tradition.


UPDATE-2
02-10-15(3.40pm)

I made some corrections in my first update.My intent was to use some mythical figures as the symbol of Manipur's revolutionary tradition.But I now think that those mythical figures might also be taken as religious leaders.I have absolutely no intention of writing along religious line.That's the reason why I need the correction in my first update.

I sincerely apologize for this seemingly wandering off to religious lines.

Building a technical roadblock

It's quite normal to think that the burning down of the house of one of the rebel leaders in Churachandpur as a continuation of the series of torching of houses of political leaders there.

But there is one catch.The said rebel leader is a Burmese national.I think that his house was burnt down exactly because he is a Burmese national.It's not the continuation of the series of burning down house of powwerful people there.It's a pattern breaking event.It's sole purpose is to publicly announce that the said leader is a Burmese national.

1)The Manipur government is exercising its all out efforts to bring the agitators to the negotiating table.Would Manipur government still agree to talk to them if the said leader whose house was just burnt down is chosen as one of the members of team deputed to hold the talk?There is this possibility because the final decision for accepting (or not accepting) the invite for the talk from Manipur government would be taken only after a wide ranging consultations with all the existing stakeholders cutting across political and ethnic spectrum.This being so the final team deputed for holding the talk would comprise of members cutting across political and ethnic spectrum.

2)There is widespread misgivings in the valley population that there is 'a Burma factor' with the scale of the agitation.The agitation want to safeguard those Kuki-Mizo-Chin of Burmese origin who come to Manipur after 1951.The just accomplished house-buyning of the rebel leader is adding fuel to this simmering fire.

3)If the current agitation in the hills of Manipur,particularly in Churachandpur,can pave the first step in chrystalizing into the psyche of the valley population that Burma is everything to do with nasty things,it's kind of a strategic win for New Delhi.The reason is that the Manipuri rebels cannot function without Burma.

Seen in this light,it turns out thatit's not just another burning down of a house by an irate agitators.It's a part of a well-thought out plan.

But the most important target it's trying to achieve is to build a technical roadblock to the negotiating table.If they ever come to the negotiating table,they would not be able to pinpoint one single clause in all of the three bills which is anti-tribal.So,their paln is avoid coming to the negotiating at all cost.But simply refusing to hold talk without giving any reason would be hurtful to them in the long run.

So,where is a better way for avoiding talk than setting up a technical roadblock by bringing in a 'Burma factor' into the equation?

Virulent Nazism and myths

It's almost a free for all scene--every conceivable groupings wanting to make a new or the other,to unmake an already existing, state.These imaginery making and unmaking are mostly based on ethnic lines.

I'll do my tiny bit to bring sanity to the already chaotic scene.

1)Human being,wherever they live,are 99.99% equal.Pre-ponderance of some genes depending on the climate and location bring about the physical differences among them.

2)Ethnicity and race are simply the bye-products of the myth making process of human being.To put it brutally,ethnicity and race are myths--nothng more,nothng less.

From these two precepts let's try to have a re-look at ourselves.

The most glaring feature of this part of this part of the globe is the existence of many number of small communities of people.The question that immediately comes to my mind is that why they are so small in numbers.There may so many myths,stories to explain this.But we are not going in that direction.

One of the most probable reasons is that they fail to properly interact with their environment,the geographical features distinctive to their surroundings.For example,the super-abundance of thick forest might be foreboding for them.They might have even think that there are forest spirits prowling there.

The ideal condition is that they(having the 99.99% of same attribute found in the peoples of the developed parts of the globe)should have mined the forest for resources,for example,protein for their health.Protein,particularly, comes to my mind because we know that all the communities here are characterized by the practice of stuffing themselves with vast amounts of carbohydrate.Is it the case of these people unable to properly interact with their environment so as to find out where protein sources lie?People when they are growing up needs proteins,vitamins and minerals for the proper development of brain cells.When people,by some culturally accepted precept, continue to stuff themselves with vast amounts of carbuhydrates from generation to generation,there is every likelihood that their brain cells might not have developed properly.That might even trigger a vicious circle.Fewer brain cells would mean lower intellect,which again,would  result in further inabiltiy to interact with their environment in a proper fashion.

This culturally accepted practice surely results in ill health of the members of these small communities.We may even discern a correlation with their health and their inability to maintain a optimum sized society.

So,we are now witnessing 50,000 strong community dreaming of a separate administrative arrangement for themselves.

Here we come to the conclusion that if we shorn ourselves of myths,culture and tradition,we come to face to face with surprising fact--our inability to prepoerly interact with our environment.I think this is an appropriate status report of all the small communities living in this part of the globe.

We are still trying not be influnced by myths,culture and tradition and,with this frame of mind,let's visit the vast plains of Sindhu and Ganga.We need to visit these places because there arose a virulent Nazism,nicely hidden behind a religious garb.How that came about is too vast a subject to be considered here and,morever,it's the job of the scholars to attempt that.But it's generally agreed that it came about as a direct result of the arrival Germanic people in that part of the globe.I strongly suspect some adventurers of Germanic descents,by some quark of history,nicely escaped the civilizing influnce of Christianity there and arrived in the plains of plains of Sindhu,carrying with them the raw Teutonic agressive precepts.

We agree that these Nazi precepts continue to flourish in small pockets in the plains of Sindhu and Ganga for thousand of years.mostly unnoticed by the world.

But that scenario abruptly changed with the arrival yet another set of Europeans.The British mercenaries,who in due course of time would unite themselves under the aegis of East India company,energetically went about the consolidation of the source of raw matrails for their recently invented steam engines.The consolidation was all the over urgent because the source of their raw materials would also served as the vast market of the various products of their steam engines.That consolidation is what we now call India.

The British merceneries,unwittingly,gave a sub-continental-sized playing field for those Nazi precepts which were recently confined to the small pockets in the plains of Sindhu and Ganga.This incident is world changing.

The ripple effect of this rise of the Nazi precepts into a sub-continetal-sized playing field was felt all over the land mass of Asia.

All the stakeholders in Asia,who have in their disposal vast resources and vast armies have already started responding to the ripple effect.(Seen in this context,our 'Maichou Tarets' are so tiny players--so tiny that they,for all practical purposes,can be ignored).

This is a proper a geo-political shift in the making.

The best we can do in this scenario is to determine which side this geo-political wind is likely to blow and set our sails accordingly.This,at the least,might save us from the onslaught of this virulent Nazi precepts.

The colluders of the Pongs--What to make out of them?

Today's newspapers reported hot developments in Churachandpur.

Some groups from Mizoram,coming there to consolidate their movement,even claimed that they had had the 'backing' of the UN.

Reading those developments suddenly transported me to the time of the 2nd World War.Fighting the tide of ruthless Japanese onslaught,the Britishers mustered all their resources.That included the forming of alliances with small ethnic minorities of Burma.What interests us is the case of the Kachins.

The British military officers made a deal with the Kachins.If the Kachins help the British in fighting the Japanese,they would be given an independent country during the coming realignment after the war.

A christian country,serving as buffer with between India and Burma is certainly an alluring strategic target.

The British military officers kept their words.After the war,they put maximum pressures on the political class in London for the Christian buffer country.But the political class in London decisively shot down the proposal.

Why?

I think those spearheading the present agitations in the hills of Manipur should try to learn from history.It is imperative for them to try to answer the above question.

Speaking of history reminds me of the Pongs.

Whenever we think of the Pongs,we should not also fail to remember that there were groups of people within Manipuri society with whom they colluded(My next to last post).It needs two to twang.If we don't touch upon this point,we would be guilty of reading a bias view of history.

History tells us that the collusion happened.Let's try to understand why the collusion happened--from the perspectives of the two colluders.

1)The Pongs can be taken be the least assimilated group of people coming to the cauldron called Manipur in the sense they never fully reconciled to the already present ruling class.Their fight with the ruling class even continues to this days.In a sense,they want to dislodge already established ruling class and then want to become the ruling class themselves.

In other words,the Pongs are the competitors to the already established ruling class.To my mind,competition is always good.That would make the ruling class ever better,efficient and world class.But the competition should within a well-defined playing field and rules.The Pongs err in deviating from this basic principle.

Over and above this,whatever the tenuous relations they might have established with their fellow kinsmen in other South East Asian societies have been decisively broken.There might have been developments in their history resulting in the decisive severance of this relationship but they are not important for our purpose here.This means that whatever we are doing with the Pongs becomes the pure internal affairs of Manipuri society.

2)Now comes the Western immigrants with whom the Pongs colluded.One thing is certain.They are not openly competing with the ruling class of Manipur.

They were a patient lot.Painstakingly waiting for a such a long time,they wanted to worm themselves into the ruling class itself.

What was the response of Manipuri ruling class?

In trying to answer this question,lets move back to the first question we have asked.Why did the ruling class in London shoot down the propsoal by the senior British military officers?

My opinion is that the ruling class in London could not find a credible ruling class within the Kachin society.It needs a excruciating interaction between history and geography to bring forth any credible ruling class for any society.Without a credible ruling class,it would be disaster of historic import to
give the reins of managing a country to the Kachins.In that sense,the decision of the ruling class in London was a wise one.

This transport us to an intersting perspective in the present agitations in the hills of Manipur,particularly in Churachandpur.Besides the close ethnic affinity with the Kachins,the Kuki-Mizo-Chin also dream about such a Christian country serving as a buffer between India and Burma.History shows us that the Kachins failed because of a lack of credible ruling class within itself.Do the Kuki-Mizo-Chin learn any lesson from the Kachins?Now,at the present time,if the Kuki-Mizo-Chin are blessed with a credible ruling class,would it permit its people to be drowned in the torrents of machinations flowed down from New Delhi?

Is the present agitation in the hills of Manipur a graphic sign that the hill peoples are still devoid of credible ruling classes?

Here,it's our time to return to our second question.Some immigrants from the West tried to worm their way into the structures of the ruling class itself.If the ruling class of Manipur is anything credible there should be appropriate response.

From history we learn that the ruling class itself was splintered in trying to respond to the threat.One faction led by the mythical 'Maichou Taret',in a masterstroke of a tactical retreat,ventured into the gigantic task to re-grow the structure of the ruling class ground up from within the 'khuls' and 'leikais' of the Manipuri society.In initiating the venture,they spelt out that within the timeframe of  three generations they would complete the task and only then,they would be ready for the final battle.I would like to emphasize my opinion that the 'Maichou Tarets',only a part religious leaders,were an integral part of the then ruling class.

So,this answers our second question.The world will witness the response of the Manipuri ruling class in real time as the series of battles unfold in the days to come.

New Delhi's pattern-smashing move

My recent posts has a lot to do with history,particularly of Manipur's history.The surprising element is,of course,the Pongs.

This reminds me of another surprise.How do we figure out the 42 days long single object exhibition of Paubi Lai in New Delhi recently?Even if we don't try to answer this question,a simple reading together of the exhibition and the recent developments that prompt the focussing of our attention to the Pongs makes it quite clear that New Delhi is currently doing a lot of dissection of Manipuri society.I think that many scholars of Manipuri society are imvolved in the said dissection of the Manipuri society.

What attracted my attention at that time was the explanatory note accompanying the announcement of the exhibition.More precisely,the last part of the note,which says that the Paubi Lai was killed by none other than Kabui Salang Maiba,who,of course,belong to a small ethnic minority in the hills of Manipur.

The narrative--small ethnic minorities of the hills versus the major ethnic grouping in the valley.

That brings us to the pattern-smashing visit of special secretary(internal security),New Delhi to Churachandpur district in Manipur.The special secretary,like a seasoned politician, went straight to a meeting public.It was quite a spectacle seeing the senior beaurocrat from Nelhi addressing a public meeting in Churachandpur district of Manipur.

Of course,the special secretary made it a point visiting the place on the same day the Chinese president started his maidenn state to the US.During the address to the public meeting he emphasized that the Churachandpur turmoil is much more than an internal matter of the state of Manipur.The word 'internal' on the day of Chinese president's US visit,that too,from a person located firmly inside the power corridors of New Delhi attains a disproportionate singnificance.

But,is that the purpose of the special secretary's visit?

The short answer--NO.

The special secretary,which represents New Delhi,is aiming for a fundamental shift in how the Manipuri society finds its equilibrium.

Let's start out from the present mood of the Manipuri society.The overwhelming perception is that what is happening right now in the hills,particularly,in Churachandpur,is the direct results of the machinations of New Delhi.In such a scenario,New Delhi should hide the behind the screen and continues to pull strings from there.

But New Delhi suddenly jumps out from behind the screen and shows to all concerned that the show is actually run by it.

Why?

We are facing with a profound question.

To  say that they are trying to provoke the valley community is too apparent.It also brings back the game to New Delhi vs Manipuri society scheme of things.New Delhi has been trying to avoid this scheme of thing,showing to all concerned the that the assent to the three is not forthcoming because the hills peoples are against the bills.This is the pattern which should be thrown up by this scheme of things.

What happens if we break the pattern?By being 'too apparent',are they trying to elicit a more sinister provocation from the valley society?

Let's go back to the Pong paradigm.Several centuries back,the Pongs might behave just like hillmen of today.It's because the Pongs appear to tbe the least assimilated of the numerous streams of people coming here in the cauldron called the Manipuri society.Let's call them the new Pong.As we are witnessing at the moment,the new Pongs have no qualm of publicly courting New Delhi for achieving its political goal.

But the older Pongs within the Manipuri society does not have this luxury.They might have courted New Delhi but they have this compulsion to do it covertly.Publicly,their posture should be anti-New Delhi and they are working for the indigenoous people of Manipuri.

At this point of time,New Delhi is in possesion of some data set which in a simulated scenario points to the increasing vulnerability of the older Pongs within the Manipuri society as New Delhi steps up its 'too apparent' postures.As New delhi continues stepping up this posture,the vulnerability of the older Pongs intensified until it reaches a breaking point.

It would be suicidal for the older Pongs if this breaking point ever comes about.In such a situation,the older Pongs have the lone option of attacking the New Pongs to prevent New Delhi from stepping up the 'too apparent' postures,as they have no the wherewithal to attack New Delhi.

This is the only scenario which I can think of why New Delhi suddenly jumps out from behind the screen.

Is it a plausible scenario?I wonder.

From history to the present and further to technology.

Last night I was frantic.

I have two 3G accounts.The more dependable one was dead all throughout the day yesterday.The working one have this penchant of going slowly dead beginning around 10 in night.

I originally planned to publish the last night's post after 10 pm.But as I was cutting vegetable for my dinner,the idea came to me that I had no backup connectivity and if the less dependable one began its slow at around 10,I would not able to publish the post.So,I immediately stop preparing my dinner,boot the computer up and wrote the post.

I was determined to publish the post on the same day the news of the wrap up of the Indian Vice President's Lao and Cambodia visit came out.

I was so in a hurry that I left behind three important points.

1)The strategic thinkers in New Delhi have already determined that the Manipuris have very close cultural,historical and ethnic affinity with peoples of Lao and Cambodia.

2)Going there and making official statements have the full doplomatic value of directly connecting with the Manipuris.

3)So,they made a very important statement there.It's about territorial dispute.The strategic thinkers have already announced that what's happening right at the moment is a territorial dispute amongst three major ethnic groupings--Meeteis,Nagas and Kukis.These three groupings themselves should bring about a solution to the present impasse,meaning New Delhi have no role to play in the whole affair.

I would make a point by point elaboration of the above three points.

1)In our history,it was the community which we call the Pongs which made the connections for us to other South East Asian communities.There are still minorities in South Asian societies which are called the Pongs.Presently,scholars here generally agree that what we call the Pongs in the past area ctually the present Shans or the Tais.I feel that there is need for further research in equating the Pongs with the Shans or the Tais.

The Pongs are interesting because they colluded,in one crucial phase in our history,with the predecessors of the much-smeared Shantidas in the court of king Khagemba.The case in point is the idol of Vishnu in Bishnupur district.The western preachers in the king's court used the Eastern route to bring in their first idol and their Eastern collaborators are the Pongs.I think it would be really intersting to research how the Pongs became collaborators of the Westrn preachers.

In this context,it's no surprise that the present day Indian leaders went to the land of their past collaboratos to announce the war drums of their present day collaborators in the hills of Manipur.

2)Even if they don't go there and make official statements meant for us,evry single soul in the valley understand that they have energetic collaborators in the hills.

3)If there is territorial dispute,it is to be assumed that the land in question falls under the category which is generally called the 'tribal land'.The idea behind 'tribal land' is that there is a sacrosanct relation between tribals and the lands.This relationship is supposed to be so primal that any non-tribal would have no chance to understand it.

But this supposedly primal relationship between the tribal and the land is conspicous by its absence in the hills of Manipur.What the tribals there are doing there consistently is to indulge in massive deforestatioon and jhum cultivation.It is quite evident that the tribals have no love for the hills.The hills of Manipur are so considtently scarred that the tribals there are facing acute water scarcity.

The hills of Manipur,instead, have the problems of too bountiful of land and too small population.The population there is so small and scattered that it's still (in the 21st Century) not possible to run a monetised society.And,by the law of the land,the larger valley communities are forbidden to own land in the hills.

The hillmen have too much of land and the poeple from the valley are forbideden to own land in the hills.So,where is the territorial dispute?

If they have any dispute,it is the dispute with themselves.This is also true for those living in the valley.They have no connect with the land they are inhibating,in the large assisted by the generous subsidies from New Delhi.As there is abscence of real connect,no technology for more meaningful lifestyle grow up from grassroot level.No technology producing societies mean they are dying societies.The real fight amongst the three major groupings would be how to become the first society which is technology produucing.Would looking up to their histories(as the strategic thinkers in New Delhi advise) help them in achieving it? What are ways out?

The Indian State has just accepted the battleline.

Leave alone Manipur and ,for that matter,the whole of NE India,the Indian State has just officially proclaimed that Cambodia,Laos,Myanmar and Vietnam are within their sphere of influnce.It's doing it just when the Japanese parliament was rescinding the no-war features of its Constitution and the battleline-shaping agitations in the hills of Manipur were announcing their ultimatum.

The Indian State is doing it in its characteristic way--low-key and unobtrusive.The task has been delegated to its Vice President which usually attracts the least attention.

The Vice President of India,Mr Hamid Ansari,after his four-days visit to Laos and Cambodia announced that India's focus is on Cambodia,Laos,Myanmar and Vietnam(CLMV).In plain words,he was telling us that within the ASEAN itself,the CLMV countries are within their area of influnce.

But there is one problem here.It's generally accepted that Cambodia,Laos and Myanmar fall under what it is termed us 'Indian cultural influnce'.But the Vietnam is universally accepeted as within the 'Chinese cultural influnce'.

So far.there is equilibrium in the whole land mass of Asian as everybody concerned respect each other area of influnce.Now,the Indian State has officially made a fresh claim.It's planning to forcefully take Vietnam out of 'Chinese sphere of influence'.That means that the Indian State has chosen to disturb the age-old equilibrium in the Asian landmass.

In other words,India has declared a war in Asia.

From our perspective,the Indian State has just accepted the battleline.

The Occupy Wall Street--the symbol of 99% of US citizen.

17th September marked the 4th  anniversary of Occupy Wall Street in the US.We can only post it about when we are on the 18th of September because it's still 17th September in the US.

But the US has a queer way of remembering the movement.The FBI arrested the friend of Charleston Church shooter.

We have a post here which says that the Charleston Church shooting gave out the first hint that there is a surprising constituent within the US which is looking for a way to make life better for the 99% of the US citizen.That's exactly what the Occupy Wall Street symbolized.

Target Tetseo Sisters?

India's prime minister,Mr Narendra Modi is scheduled to be personally hosted by Facebook CEO,Mr Mark Zuckerburg on the 27th Sept 2015.(why the Indian prime minister is embarking on yet another official US visit so soon?).

On the same day,Nagaland's Tetseo Sisters are also scheduled to perform at a tourism festival in Andro.

I find the coincidence too eerie.The coincidence makes me uncomfortable.I admit that I might even a bit paranoid.

But Mr Xi Jinping,the Chinese president would also be in the US on an official visit from 22nd to 28th September.I had read about the Chinese president's visit at least one year back.But the Indian prime minister's visit is a surprise.I strongly suspect that they have hurriedly arranged the visit to coincide with that of China's president.Why?

Around 27th of September,New Delhi would have not much more than 30 days to wrap up the framework agreement of the Indo-Naga Peace Talk.The Talk has been dragging on for the last 18 years.The one most remarkable feature of this long 18 years is that the friendly bond between the ordinary Nagas and the ordinary Manipuri(particularly the Meeteis) has been remaining strong as ever.This bond could not be disturbed depite so attempts during the last 18 years.

Are they trying to make a beginning at disturbing this age old bond at Andro on the 27th September2015?

Tetseo Sisters are the face of the young Nagas and hence,are stars in social media,particularly Facebook.As the Facebook CEO himself is welcoming the Indian prime minister on the 27th September,something nasty might have been planned to happen to the Tetseo Sisters,performing at Andro on the same day.If that happens,the social media space would go up in flame.Young Nagas and Meetei would be bickering there.

That's most likely to be the beigining of the first fissure in their age old friendship ties.The very next day the Chinese president would be adressing the UN in NYC.And,the most important,New delhi,this time, wuold have a fertile ground to wrap up the framework agreement in the next remaining 30 days.We have to read this together with this post of mine which says that the Indo-Naga Peae Talk has already become a geo-political weapon.Isn't it extremely remarkable that this geo-political weapon would have had a new lease of life from Andro,the place the Meetei consider to be most sacred?

Writing this short post makes me extremely tired.I sincerely wish that I was proved wrong and no nasty things ever happened to the Teseo Sisters when they perform there at Andro.

Strategy shift--how New Delhi flee from competition.

This headline makes me think that New Delhi has just executed a strategic shift.

The CSOs of the hills,as hinted in the above headlines,appear to be slighting the demand for the separate administration but,instead,start to be focussing at the nitty gritty of the three bills passed by the Manipur Legislative Assembly.

The new strategy seeks to set the CSOs of the hills at loggerheads with thier counterparts in the valley by making them arguing about the mere technicalities of the three bills.They would attempt arguments for arguments' sake,which,as everybody knows,would produce no tangible results.

If New Dekhi can achieve this,the three bills would never reach its power corridor for the mandatory assents.It's quite clear--New Delhi is fleeing from the one competition of the 21st Century(my last post).

Another part of the strategy is a notification issued by it on the 7th September 2015 which allows Hindus migrants from Bangladesh and Pakistan to stay back in India,even if the migrants have no valid documents.Why New Delhi decided to issue this far-reaching notification,that too,just a week back, needs no elaboration--it's self-explanatory.The purpose of the notification is to create a situation congenial to the forking out of the current anti-migrant movement of Manipiur into two or more streams--one stream targetting Hindu migrants,another,targetting migrants of another religious denomination etc.Here is the first hint at the forking out process.

This is a classic example of divide and rule policy at its finest height.

Last but not the least.Several groundbreaking developments happened during the last 24 hours.

Here is one.Another one is here.

Compete with New Delhi

It turned out that Mr RN Ravi visit was meant to serve as an announcement of the coming of the most important geo-political shift of the 21st Century.Besides calling in Pakistani frontier paramilitary representatives,bravely ignoring the constant firing across the border(my last post),they had also engaged in a face off with the Chinese troops in Ladakh and also raided two Burmese village along the Nagaland-Burma border.

But the more important announcement came from a press conference nearer home.It happened just a day after Mr Ravi descended on Imphal.

The representatives of two rebel organizations,which are the constituents of their apex body,UPF,were meeting the press in Churachandpur.They were officially speaking for the UPF.

They pointed out that the residnets of the hills of Manipur were finally united in demanding two separate administrative machinesries for themselves.The Nagas have Alternative Arrangement demand,the Kukis, the Autonomous Hill State. The two ethnic groupings of the Manipur hills have
demands bearing two differnet names and,until recently,waging two different battles for their respective demands.

The spokesmen pointed out that the demands,though having different names,are essentially the same--separate adminstrative machines for the hillmen.They were not also mincing no words in praising the three bills recently passed by the Manipur Legislative Assembly for serving as a trigger for coalescing the two movements into the united movement for hillmen.

Alternative Arrangement.They are the key words which connect the press briefing with the Mr Ravi visit.Mr Ravi descended on Imphal for matters relating to the Indo-Naga Peace Talk,which calls for the dismemberment of the state of Manipur.Alternative Arrrangement is the CSO version of the demands contained in the Indo Naga Peace Talk.

Today is also a fitting day for talking about the above press briefing.The reason is that the press briefing happened in Churachandpur,where there are still uncremated nine corpses.Nine young men died recently in Churachandpur in violent protest demanding rescinding of the three bills passed in Manipur Legislative Assembly,which gradually metamorphosed in the movement for separate hill administrative machinery.They are now telling us that the three bills  only serve as impetus for the separate administration demand.

Today is the last day of the mourning of the lone student killed in the demand for the three bills.Although the movement for the demand of the three bills were concentrated in the four valley districts of Manipur,all the bonafide citizens of Manipur,including the hills,are going to be beneficiaries because the three bills are meant to safeguard the interest of the 'native people' of Manipur against the ever-increaing number of migrants.

We have enough of preface.Now comes the time for the hard talk.

New Delhi surreptiously sent out hints to the different groups of hillmen that it would favourably consider their demands if they violently protested against the three bills.

If we ask ourselves why New Delhi hate the three bills so much,we have to remember the battleline.

Now, we have to re-read the first para of this blogpost.That would make it quite clear why it talks of the 'the most important geo-political shift of the 21st Century'.That said,it's also quite clear that it has everything to do with New Delhi and the rebel groups of Manipur.

What about the laymen?The threat of the migrants are real for us.As the thing stands now,as we begin pressing for the three bills to become laws,the hills of Manipur would be again up in flames,saying the three bills are anti-hillmen and so,they want separate administration for themselves.

Do we have the pleasure to go slow on our demands for three bills to become laws?

To answer this,it would be illuminating to see how other societies are faring in this area.Let's go to the EU.

The EU has roughly the population of 500 million.The leaders of the EU are shouting around they are facing a crisis because of the steady arrival of migrants from the war-torn Middle East,particularly,Syria.

How real their migrant crisis is?

Experts project that nearly half a million migrant would arrive in the EU in the next 4/5 years.Half a million in the total population of 500 millions--far less than 1 percent of their population.They are expecting migrants accounting for far less than 1 percent of their total population. Even so,they are
shouting around that they are currently facing a crisis.The primne minister of Hungary said their Christian cultue is in real danger because of these migrants.

How about us?We have already been swamped by the migrants--they constitute nearly nearly half of our total population.

We ahve no choice but to continue pressing for the three bills to become laws while,at the same time,neutralizing the machinations of New Delhi in the hills.

How?

I can think of one way only.If New Delhi is willing to grant separate adminstrative machineries for the hillmen of Manipur,it would also consider giving the desired adminstrative systems for people represented by the Maoists.It would be ideal for us if we can make those people represented by the Maoist to rise up in protest movements as soon as New Delhi start making the hills of Manipur up in flames again.

I know it's easy theorizing in a blogpost.The hard part would be in making the ideal scenario coming out real in day to day life.

Are there any people or group of people who can make it happen?

If not,we are stuck in a long dark tunnel with no opening.

The one and the only correct path.

The one and only correct path available to Manipuri society in this crucial juncture is to boycott the visit of the Indo-Naga Peace Talk interlocutor,Mr RN Ravi--totally and equivocally.

Somebody can retort back like this--If some forms of interactions with Mr Ravi brings about the likelihood of the non-disturbance in the political boundary of Manipur,they are highly desirable things to undertake.

This line of deduction belies the inability to understand the metamorphosis wrought upon the soul of the Indo-Naga Peace Talk on the 3rd of August 2015.The Indo-Naga Peace Talk pre-August 3 and post-August 3 are already two and completely different things.It's really a matter of life or death for us to take note of the crucial changes taken place on the 3rd of August 2015.

Let's bulid up our arguments slowly.

Besides Nagaland,there are sizeable Naga populations in Manipur,Arunachal Pradesh and Burma.All of them have been clamouring for a peace accord with New Delhi since last several decades.Their movement for the demand of this peace accord is still a work-in-progress stuff,even though they have not been able to achieve it for such a long time.In such a work-in-progress movement,did anybody notice any remarkable development around the 3rd of August 2015?Any remarkable development in Nagaland?In Manipur?In Arunachal or Burma?

The answer is a big NO.Around 3rd of August 205 or to the run up to it,around the last part of July 2015,the Naga's work-in-progress movement is emphatically quite placid.

But bizarre it might sound,the hurried 'framework agreement' between the Government of India and NSCN(IM) did actually happened in New Delhi,in a ceremony attended by none other the vibrant,Mr Narendra Modi,the prime minister of India.

So,what can we deduct from the above premises?

The hurried 'framework agreement' of the 3rd August 2015 was solely dictated by factors not related with Nagas,Naga Society or Naga's movement.

As if to emphasize the mysterious factors behind the 'framework agreement',New Delhi is still keeping the contents of the agreement totally secret.Even when the Chief Minsiter of Manipur himself went to New Delhi to get some hints about the contents,he had to return empty-handed.Such a level of secrecy.

So,the Indo-Naga Peace Talk has metamorphosed itself into a mysterious entity,securely stationed inside a twilight zone.

Now,let's return to MrRN Ravi's Imphal visit.If we are in mood for some one-liners,it can be something like this--Mr Ravi's sole purpose of Imphal vist is to lead everybody concerned into this twilight zone.

Even a common man would not willingly associate himself with any entity which is mysterious,undefined,less so,he himself be allowed to be led inside a twilight zone,even though,the person who is leading there is being deputed from the place of high and mighty--New Delhi.

Now,let's move away from the common man and see how the political class Of Manipur should react to Mr Ravi's visit.

1)In my humble opinion,the political class of Manipur should not proclaimed itself to the whole world to be unbelievably naive by failing to note that the honourable Mr Ravi had managed to get himself descended on Imphal on the same day the Pakistani Maj Gen,heading the regional border force, arrived in New Delhi for talks with his Indian counterpart.We also should not also fail to note that the meeting materialized after the abandoning of the scheduled NSA level talks of the two countries.This tortured talk is also preceded by the public proclamation of the India's army chief that it should be readying for a short war as the India-Pakistan border has been so frequently becoming live.Sure enough,his Pakistani counterpart retaliated,in a public pronouncement,that they are more than ready for a war with India.To top it all,as the border para-military forces of the two countries were sitting down in New Delhi for official discussion,machine gun firing across their border is continuing abated.

So,what's the point of this meeting in New Delhi?Something stage managed solely for Mr Ravi's Imphal visit?

2)Even if it's stagemanaged,some players have no liking for it.As the Pakistan Maj Gen was crossing the India-Pakistan border  by road,Russian troops,all of a sudden,started combat operation in Syria.A combat operation by the Russian troops in the Middle East is a huge development.The war in Syria have already displaced half of 22 millions of its population,which,in part,results in huge influx of migrants to the middle of Europe.The Russian army combat operation there is sure to aggravate the already critical situation there and Europe.

After conidering all the above developments,this blogger humbly put forward his idea that the Indo-Naga Peace Talk has already become a Geo-Political weapon.New Delhi is readying itself to harness this weapon and Mr Ravi's Imphal visit is a part of this process.Anything less than boycotting the visit by Mr Ravi would tantamount to assisting New Delhi in sharpening this weapon.