The Chinese ambassador,missile and 'development'(updated).

I was clueless about the latest Prithvi missile test by India.

Of course,the above statement is a little awkward.Why should anybody try to find deeper meaning into apparently routine missile tests?

Before answering this question,I would like to state that Prithvi missiles are well past their testing stage.Are they not already inducted into India's military formations?

Besides this.I always find some significant political messages in all of the Prithvi missile tests.Two days back.there was this news report of the latest Prithvi missile test along the sea coast of Odisha.So,I asked myself--'What message in this latest test?'

At that time,I had not got the exact itinerary of the Chinese ambassador's Manipur visit.I have read that the ambassador is here in Manipur for a four day official visit to attend the Sangai Festival.Even today,I cannot get his itinerary.

Did he arrive on the day on which there was the Prithvi missile test along the Odisha coast?

If that's the case,the message is very clear--'We do not like the Chinese ambassador to have anything to do with Manipur'.

Did he arrive the day on which Manipur's newspapers gave prominent spaces to the announcement by the NIA of fresh rewards for those rebels executing the Paraolon ambush on June 4 this year?

If that's the case,the message sent out by the NIA is quite clear--'Mr Ambassador,your government is the main architect of that ambush'.

Besides all these possible messages to the Chinese ambassador,what's most interesting is that the ambassador himself talked about 'development'.The main theme of his visit is that Manipur could have more 'development' if it look East.

It now seems that Mr Narendra Modi's mantra of 'development' is about to encounter a strong competition from the Chinese model of development in the near future,at least,in a space called Manipur.

But the most unlikely impact might have been felt by none other the Chief Minister of Manipur himself.He has all along gives his opinion publicly that New Delhi got to give the Manipur's share of development fund.This opinion publicly expressed belies his nervousness that New Delhi might curtail such funds.This nervousness is magnified by the knowledge that Manipur do not contribute anything to Government of India treasury by way of taxation.

At this juncture,the Chinese ambassador himself told him that further 'development' is possible if he starts looking East.


UPDATE
30-11-15
3.15pm

I missed out on another important perspective regarding the Chinese ambassador's visit to Imphal.

Today's newspapers told us Mr Reuben Mangshava was in Kummin,China on 27th of this month.He was participating in a cultural festival there.He was not alone.Together with him are musical bands from Nagaland,like Tetseo Sisters.

Around the same time there was a bomb blast in Somdal,Ukhrul,Manipur.

If read together,we have to deduct that the ambassador's visit prodded not only the Chief Minsiter of Manipur but also the lay Nagas to start looking East.In another words,they are being prodded to abandon 'Look West' policy of Muivah and co.

I'm certain all the Naga laymen are immensely keen in starting looking East.

The downed Russian warplane points to Asian implosion.

It's quite apparent that the strategic thinkers in the West correctly read the ferocity of the energy likely to be released in the implosion in the Indian sub-continent.They correctly assess that the energy would have the power to sweep away the existing world order.

While we were continuosly deliberating on the exact location of the likely active battlefront,first,on this date and then,another one,the actual battlefront suddenly became active along the Turkish-Syrian border.There a Russian fighter jet was shot down by the F-16 of the Turkist airforce.

It appears that the battle for the new world order was joined along the far away Turkish-Syrian border.But we should not be lured into accepting such appearances as real.As soon as the the Russian warplane was shot down,news came trickling in that there was fresh development in Churachandpur.They are now saying that the nine death bodies are unlikely to be buried on the 30th of Nov 2015.They are keeping their dead unburied for poitical reason for such a long time.Did they embalm the bodies?

This Churachandpur development brings forth the supreme question of the moment: How long would the Manipuri society wait for New Delhi to give assent to the three bills?

Manipuri society's continued existence directly depends on the fate of the three bills.If we cannot make the three bills the laws of the land,then,we are,in principle,accepting the slow dead of our society.

If New Delhi is not willing to give assent to the three bills under any pretext(like,engineering a series of fresh 'developments' in Churachandpur),how would Manipuri society react to it? Would it be legitimate for it to work for the implosion of the Indian sub-continent?

In this light,we must accept that the battlefront is actually so close to us.In fact,it resides witin our midst.

As we were reading the news report of the shooting down of the Russian fighter jet,we also did not fail to notice accompanying report that the '3rd World War' was trending on Twitter.I personally could not witness the trend then.But,during the morning of the 24th Nov 2015, 'Manipur' was actaully trending on Twitter.I have this screenshot.

Manipur-Burma border--- a diversion?

I think something is going to happen as prime minister Modi is meeting his Chinese counterpart in Kuala Lumpur.

But as the date,24th Nov suggests,Burmese Army is no longer the target.Now,the target is the cadre of valley rebel groups.

Two things come to mind.

1)As the Naga Regiment was in China in HandinHand,it's something to do wth Nagas.

2)As the Paubi Lai was eliminated by one iconic priest who reminds us of Tamenglong,is it the player of Tamenglong who is going to execute New Delhi's Plan?

Are they targetting massacring of 30-50 of valley-based rebel cadres in Tamenglong district?

In that case,Manipur-Burma border a diversion?

Another interesting date

India's home minister,Mr Rajnath Singh,landed in Beijing in the night of 18th Nov 15(my last post).

He is on a six day visit to China.His visit ended on the 24th of Nov,which is,in itself,a very intersting date.

But what's most interesting at the present juncture is Mr Rajnath Singh himself.We have to remember that Mr Singh was staying a night in Imphal when around 50 Burmese soldiers were killed in an ambush at Laukaing,near Burma-China border.I have a post about it here.

Right now,Mr Singh is in Beijing,specifically,talking about NE insurgents.

What will happen this time?

The date,24th Nov,assumes greater interest when we come to know that the prime minister of India,Mr Narendra Modi,will be wrapping up his Malaysia-Singapore visit on the same date itself.

New Delhi is responding to a situation which demands the no 1 and 2 of the government be out of the country at the same time.(Who will be in charge of India on these days?)

What might this 'situation' be?

The 18th of November.

Today's headline told us that the leaders of the Kuki-Chin-Mizo community had given the Government of Manipur five days time for fulfilling three pre-condition to start dialogue.The main pre-condition is that the Government should withdraw the three bills passed by the State Legislative Assembly within this timeframe.

They gave the ultimatum on the 9th Nov.So,they will wait upto the 14th.

But we should not overlook one very intersting aspect of the date.It's tantalizingly close to 18th Nov,for which I wrote a post on the 19th Nov 2014.

After waiting for five days they are most likely to announce something interesting on the 15th.How would 18th Nov 2015 figure on the anticipated announcement?

Another interesting aspect of the whole drama is that New Delhi also made an official announcement on the same day the Kuki-Chin-Mizo leaders issued the ultimatum.The official annoncemnt said that they would consult all the stakeholders in deciding if they would assent to the three bills.They also pointedly mentioned that the Kuki-Chin-Mizo community has been opposing the three bills.

It requires no effort to understand that they are going to say that they would not be able to give the crucial assent to the three bills because of the opposition from the Kuki-Chin-Mizo community.

It is childish.

New Delhi should have adopted a little more mature strategy to reject the three bills.

Even a child in Manipur knows that it is New Delhi which is manipulating the Kuki-Chin-Mizo leaders to rise up against the three bills so that it would serve as the required pretext to reject the said bills.

I have a post discussing the possible repercussions of New Delhi's rejection of the three bills.

But,right now,what makes me most excited is in asking this question--

-what will happen on the 18th of Noember 2015?-

The Burmese path.

While we were waiting for the D-day,two significant developments took place.

1)US Secretary of Defence,Mr Ashton Carter,openly proclaims that Russia and China are challenging the existing world order.In short,he is publicly acknowledging the battle line.

2)The Government of India,through its agent,Mr RN Ravi,makes everybody concerned understand its official stand that the Nagas has a geniune problem and everybody,especially,the Meeteis,should contribute to help solve the problem.

We can readily accept that the Nagas has a real problem.But,before asking its neighbours for help,the Naga leaders should have a deeper look at the genesis of their problem.Isn't their problem an outcome of the existing world order?What will be the perceptible change in the complexion of their problem in a new world order?

If they ask the above questions,they should not stay bounded withn the contours set by New Delhi,which,by now,has become the ally of the US.They are the important propnents of the saving of architecture of the existing world order.

Now,let's turn our attention to another actor in the whole drama--the Kuki-Chin-Mizo community.

As the leaders of these community are preparing to meet the ministers of the Government of Manipur this afternoon,the Indian Army test-fired Agni-4 missile.The much anticipated beginning of a dialogue process actually becomes the symbol of an act of offence.New Delhi is saying that those Kuki-Chin-Mizo community is their ally and they are making attacking moves by using them.It also turned out that the leaders did not come to start a dialogue process.Instead,they produced a charter of Demand and left.The charter of demand is actually a ultimatum.

What might be the thought of the leaders of the Kuki-Chin-Mizo community on the existing world order?Do they think that they can happily within the existing world order?Don't they like a new world order?

Now,it's just the right moment to make a checklist of the major actors who would work for a new world order.

1)It's definite the Maoists in India would go the new world order.

2)Did they anticipate that the constituent led by Hardik Patel would go for the new world order when they put behind bars in sedition charge?Charging Hardik Patel with sedition is a still a huge surprise.

3)Our own anti-Pakhangba constituent.Would this constituent stick with the existing world order?Won't they like a 'revolution' demolishing this existing world order?

So far,we have listed three actors.We have no time for listing further actors in anticipation of a breathless question--how would these different actors,across different state boundaries, would react to an active battleline?Would some constituents within Manipuri society makes friends with the Nagas because they both love the existing world order despite the fact the Nagas laso want a Nagalim,besides the existing world order?Is there a possibilty that they would make friends with the Kuki-Chin-Mizo community as well?

In asking myself all these question,I am tempted to discuss an important development that happened only a few days back.That development is a symptom of the simmering tussle amonst various constituents within Manipuri society.Why should we postponed discussing it?The reason is that there is still time for all the leaders of these constituents to look towards Burma for their answers.

The two bitterly opposed constituents within the Burmese society come to a working arrangement in anticipation of the coming war of the new world order.The one constituent,led by Aung Sang Suu kyi and the other,by the Burmese army,came to that understanding which led to the historic election yesterday.

I firmly believe that all the leaders of the various contituents within Manipuri society should follow lead provided by Aung Sang Suu Kyi and the Burmese Army.

There should be a general strike on the 3rd Nov 15.

There is complete unanimity in our society that our hills are not negotiable under any circumstances.So,any meeting which will indirectly lead  us to such negotiations should be boycotted.

The one forceful way of such boycott is to call a general strike on the days such meetings are scheduled.

Now is the time of crisis.We should be very focussed and keep things simple.As simple as this : no negotiation on our hills--no to any meeting that would indirectly lead us to such negotiation.

There is still time.All the leading CSOs should decide on the general strike and put strict restrictions on those who receive the invites not to go to the meeting.