Artificial land demands:Manipur's logjam and South China Sea's initial moves

If a logjam can be painted by an artist,Manipur's present logjam would come out beautifully on the canvas.

It is of public knowledge that this logjam should be viewed vis a vis the ongoing economic blockade imposed on Manipur,which is suffering as much as the war-torn Alleppo in Syria.Going further into the subject,the ongoing economic blockade is intimately connected with the core issue of the decades old Naga underground movement,namely,the seizing of all lands in the region which have any Naga population,however sparsed that migth be .In the name of their core issue they (together with some ethnic groups) want as much as 90% of Manipur's present landmass.So,the core issue of Naga underground movement,if viewed from Manipuri layman's perspective, becomes an unmistakly brazen artificial demand for Manipur's land.

So,the present logjam is to be viewed vis a vis the artificial demands for Manipuir's land.

In the meantime,we should not fail to notice the birth of a corollary.It's a very significant corollary.If the leadership of Naga underground movement make any move to free themselves from this logjam by instructing their frontal organizations to ease the iron grip of the economic blockade,it would tantamount to giving up on their core issue.In other words,it would be suicidal for them.

Unknown to the leadership of the Naga ubderground movement and (also to the Chief Minister of Manipuir),the seeds for this logjam was quitely sown by the most routine September visit of Mr CP Joshi,the Indian Nation Congress party general secretary to Imphal.As a strategy for returning to power in Manipur in the context of a surging BJP,the creation of new districts was the most tempting option.By creating new districts under the pretext of administrative efficiency,the Congress party,in one swift stroke,would be able to rope in the Kuki MLAs as the coalition partners in the next goverment formation which is being scheduled for 2017.

But unknown to the Chief Minister of Manipur,there is,in the context of present Manipur battleground,no difference between a CP Joshi and a Prahlad Patel.They are both active members of Team India.Team India decided to make a Manipuri initiate the present logjam.They have tactfully targeted the Chief Minister of Manipur as the Chosen One.

So,now comes another important question.How to view the present logjam vis a vis the Manipuri society?In the post dated 5th July 16,it was fully discussed to deduct that the Manipuri society would be rendered completely optionless,except for a regional war in South China Sea.I'm quoting:

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Burning down yet another brand-new Legislative Assembly building?

Boycotting and roughening up their democratically elected MLAs and Minsters?

Creating widespread anarchy,hurting themselves?

These are the paths already traversed in 2001.Last year's Framework Agreement shows us in no uncertain terms that those paths only succeeded in the postponing the issue for some 15 years.We need to look for a permanent fix for the problem.

Should we go to New Delhi?

If we choose that path we would certainly be confronted with Article 3 of the Constitution of India.The recent sad story of the Telegus also tells us that there is no point in confronting Article 3 in the context of a determined ruling class in New Delhi.

So, what option the Manipuri people have in the present juncture?

The answer--South China Sea.
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This state of optionless Manipuri society was best illustrated by an ultimatum dated 5th Dec 16 issued by none other than United Committee,Manipur(UCM),which is widely ackwnoledged as the mandated CSO to face the menace.The UCM issued a 72 hours ultimatum to lift the blockade.What did they do after the much-publicized 72 hours?A people's convention!.It tantamounts to saying if they do not lift the blockade within 72 gours,we would convene a covention.Manipur society is that optionless.

So,everyone concerned agree that the Manipur is completely optionless.So,what's happening in South China Sea?

1)The Indian  Home Ministry official,all of sudden,started terming the ongoing blockade as illegal.The announcement comes after the ongoing blockade was more 40 days old,making Manipur a war zone--sky-rocketing price and petrol rationing.So,it's clear diplmatese,which in layman terms,says that the blockade,though illegal,have been allowed to continue.

As soon as this diplomatese became public,news begin to emerged that China has already installed sizeable military assets in all 7 artificial islands.

2)Admiral Harry Harris of the US Navy,commanding the Pacific Fleet announced that the ostensibly game-changing F-22 raptors would start deploying in Australia as a response to the installation of military assets in the seven artificial islands in South China Sea.

As soon as the Admiral made that announcement,there was  ambushes in the mountains of Manipur.

3)Today,there is a complete shutdown to protest the ambushes

As soon as the shutdown was announced,China seized an underwater drone of the US Navy in the South China Sea.

The wa,the war and the 'poisoned' money

As I was preparing to write about the 'poisoned' money(and as something very disturbing happened to me yesterday,the 4th of Dec),I was suddenly transported to the hotel scene in London where a knowned Putin foe was poisoned to death.The finger of suspocion was diretly pointed to Putin himself.No doubt,it was a distasteful act of murder.Is it a case of Russian poiitical culture sanctioning such distateful acts?Or,is it the present power center lorded over by Putin not moored to the collective will of the Russian people?

It brings us to the present scenario in Manipur.Where do the rebel groups get their powers from?To be more specific,do they get their powers from the collective will of the Maniipuri prople? (And do Manipur have the tradition of poisoning people having different political viewpoints?)

New Delhi has already decided that the rebel groups of Manipur are deriving their powers from the money they are collecting from the general public of Manipur.But there is a catch.New Delhi thinks that the money is not being earned by the general public of Manipur.On the contrary,it's the money directly distributed by Delhi as a subsidy.So,the rebel geoups of Manipur are deriving their power from the direct hand outs from New Delhi.

Now,New Delhi wants to 'poison' that money.

At this point,there sure would be hue and cry pointing out that it's something happening all over India.There are long queues all over India scrambliing for the available cash.How can we peg something happening all over as having Manipur-specific intent?

1)The Prime Minister of India himself made the announcement of the 'poison' money scheme on the 9\11 of this year.The date,by itself,instantly transported us to anothere 9\11 in New York City,where the twin towers of the World Trade Center were demolished.

2)A few days later,the Prime Minister chaired the full cabinet whuch decided to give exemptions to the scheme upto the 24th of November.What is 24th of November?Did the Prime Minsiter of India himself try to co-relate the two dates--9\11 and 24th of Novemeber?

3)I cannot remember the exact date.But I think it must be 10th of Nov.I was in the Konung Mamang area--shopping.Suddenly I wanted to have a look at how the preparation of the Sangai Festival was going on.I had never been to a Sangai Festival.That might the trigger why I had that sudden impulse to watch the preparatioin for the main event.As I walked towards the Sangai Festival venus,I passed by the former office of the 'Lamyanba'.I saw some people putting up a sign board inside the office premises but very close to the foothpath I was walking on.As I came near it,I noticed that it was something to do with remembering NK Sanajaoba,the icon of Manipuri rebels ecosystem.But what struck me most was the date on the sign board.It was the 30th of Dec 2016.Isn't the same date on which the 'poison' money scheme comes to a close?

4)This final point is not something to do with guessing how a series of dates stacked up to reveal a pattern.It's something that actually happens at the trijunction of the China,Lao and Burma international borders.There the Wa people is willingly gulping down the 'poison' money of India.I think we are going to see a lot of actions at this trijunction,with the Wa people as the main actor.

Reading and co-relating all these four points,we can easily deduct that the 'poison' money scheme is a pan Indian scheme with a Manipur specific intent or target.

Next,another important colllorary comes up.Just as the Wa people is doing,which of the rebel groups in Manipur will willingly gulp down the 'poison' money of India?

This question suddenly transports us to the futurology of Manipur.One specific part of it refers to 'wakha'.Incidentally,the Wa people at the trijunction of China,Lao and Burma international borders populate in two specific geographical locations,which we can refer to as North Wa and South Wa.South Wa is the one which interests us the most because 'South Wa' is rendered in Manipuri as 'Wakha'.

Would the Indian Prime Minister's 'poison' money scheme herald the evolution of 'wakha' in our midst?

Would the emergence of the 'wakha' in our midst finally clears the fogs which is smudging the battleline?

These two questions sure compel us to ask yet another ground-shifting question--how would the emerging 'wakha' view the ongoing economic blockade?

Would they view it as the problems of the highways?

Would they view it as the existential manisfestation of the clash of the two churns?


POSTSCRIPT
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My last post was dated 4th of July.That was exctly five months ago.Five months gap between two posts!

I have been actually waiting for some actions along Manipur-Burma border,which,I fancy,would have the 'artificial demand for land'(my last post) as the main enabler.I have been fascinated with the idea of directly co-relating my last post with the anticipated actions along the border.

This present moment tells us that India is not standing up,facing the foe and starting the fight.Instead,they are content with 'poisoning'people.

Is poisoning people the true tradition of India and its allies?

Artificial land demands---Manipur and South China Sea.

The 3rd of July is an important day for the Manipuris.It was on this day,fifteen years ago,when the anarchic political situation forced the disparate CSOs to come together under a loosely-held umbrella platform.The entity was named the United Committee,Manipur.

Exactly twenty days ahead of the 3rd July 2001,the Government of India signed an accord with a Naga rebel group,which,in its various clauses,had the seed for the tearing up of Manipur.That seed was immediately perceived to be foreign and artificial within the organic health of the State of Manipur.So,there was this total uprising on the 18th June 2001.

In other words,there was an artificial demand for geographical space within the organic whole of Manipur which the Government of India had acceded to in Bangkok.The uprising of the 18th June forced the Government of India to annul a particular clause in the Accord.But the Government of India,again,signed,last year,another agreement with the same rebel group.The agreement was christened as the Framework Agreement,whose clauses have been kept secret.

Even the Chief Minster of Manipur has not able,despite his several forays to New Delhi,to have a glimpse of the closely-guarded clauses.

This proves that the Government of India sees in the clauses of the agreement enormous geo-political values.In other words,India was quick to size up the enormous geo-political values contained in the artificial demand for a geographical space within the organic whole of the State of Manipur.

Seen in this light,is it still difficult to decode the geo-political reason why China is building up artificial islands in the South China Sea and staking its claim of sovereignty over them?

We need to have a fresh look at the present day status in the South China Sea.Let's choose the starkest possible one.China is claiming the island which is only 150 km from the shores of the Philippines but is,at least,some 1000 kms away from the nearest Chinese shore.Is it reasonable?

Let's try to answer this with another hot question.

Is it reasonable for the ethnic communities residing in the Northern and the Southern mountain ranges of Manipur to make their artificial demands for 90% of landmass of Manipur over which they want to install their own administrative states,tearing up the present-day organic whole of Manipur?

So,seen from the perspective of the present-day political situation in Manipur,China need not answer any question arising out of the artificial islands disputes in the South China Sea.

Now,let's come to realpolitik.

There is already the Framework Agreement,whose secret clauses has not been made known even to the democratically elected Chief Minister of the full-fledged State of the Union of India.There is a strong possibility that India might go official in  publicly announcing the clauses of the Framework Agreement on the 13th of July,2016.This blog effortlessly comes to a date,ie 13th of July partly because the number 13 has attained some significant narrative in this blog,for which there are many number recent posts.Another important reason is that the International Court of Arbitration,in pursuant of a petition by the Philippiness,would announce its verdict on the 12th of July,2016.It's widely believed that the verdict will go against China's claim over the disputed islands in the South China Sea.This views has been re-enforced by the news that China is starting military exercises inside the disputed part of the South China Sea around the time the verdict is expected.

If India actually makes the announcement on the 13th of July,2016,what will the Manipuris do?

Burning down yet another brand-new Legislative Assembly building?

Boycotting and roughening up their democratically elected MLAs and Minsters?

Creating widespread anarchy,hurting themselves?

These are the paths already traversed in 2001.Last year's Framework Agreement shows us in no uncertain terms that those paths only succeeded in the postponing the issue for some 15 years.We need to look for a permanent fix for the problem.

Should we go to New Delhi?

If we choose that path we would certainly be confronted with Article 3 of the Constitution of India.The recent sad story of the Telegus also tells us that there is no point in confronting Article 3 in the context of a determined ruling class in New Delhi.

So, what option the Manipuri people have in the present juncture?

The answer--South China Sea.

Just as the Manipuris are being rendered optionless inside a box called Manipur as a result of artificial demands for lands by the cronies of New Delhi,there might be a regional war in the South China Sea caused by  disputes over artificial islands.The immediate impact would be felt by shipping sector passing through the crucial South China Sea lane.India's oil supply comes mostly passing through this sea lane.In the advent of a regional war over the area,the supply of oil and gas to India would be greatly disrupted.

In a sense,this would be an Imphal-Dimapur Road on an international scale.

Artificial demands for lands might bring the spectre of a blockaded Imphal-Dimapur Road all over the Indian Sub-continent.

10 plus 13

Of course,it's 23.

But,before going any further,we need to note that there are several posts regarding the significance of the number 13.One needs only a little scroll down this blog to read them.

Now,we are going to see the total unmasking of the number 13 and its impact on something connected with the number 10.To be specific,something connected with 10 of June.(10 of June is related with an iconic figure of the Manipuri rebellion).

Again,to be specific,it's coming on the 23 of June 2016.

23rd June is important because there is the referandum on Brexit.The referandum is going to decide whether Britain exit the EU or not.Here,in our context,there might be some big news regarding some ethnic groups wanting to exit Manipur.

Coming this far,it's not difficult to deduct that there might be big news regarding the framework agreement between Govt of India and the NSCN(IM) on the day of the regerandum on Brexit--23rd of June 2016.

Is it really coming?

In trying to answer this question we need to note the following:

1) The commissioning of the first three female fighter jets pilots of India.

2) The 18th of June.

3) The symnol of Manipur--women.

Now,we see that the commissioning of the first three female fighter jet pilots of India on the 18th of June 2016 was meant to convey some messages to Manipuris.The message--New Delhi will use military option in Manipur in the advent of continued rebellion,like the uprising of 18th June.

So,which one is coming--a big news on framework agreement or a military strike?

Is it coming on the 23rd of June 2016?

The photographic evidence of the Trojan horse.

I got this photograph from Indian Express.Reading the accompanying story,I've just learnt that the photograph went viral on social media yesterday as soon as it was released by some 'reliable source'.For me social media is too time consuming and so,I missed out on the action yesterday.The link of the report is here.

        Leaders of the agitation with the organizing secretary of a rebel group,(center) with the flag

Unless we get hold of the original print of the photograph and get it tested in a forensic lab,we cannot say anything about the authencity of the photograph.But the intention is way too clear--attempt to sabotage the current agitation against the migrants.

Another premise is also way too established--this sabotage attempt comes from within the eco-system of the rebels.Commonsense tells us that any person,any group within the Manipuri society would not have the audacity to bring out the photograph to public space,leave alone faking it--unless the players come from within the eco-system of the rebels.

Besides,there is one more important reason.

In my post entitled 'The battleline and that constituent within the US society',it was inferred that the battleline was tentatively scheduled to be taken to New Delhi by a select group of lawmakers.I'm quoting:

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Now,a select group of lawmakers of Manipur are tentatively scheduled to take the battleline to New Delhi on the 23rd of May 2016.

On the same day,the US President,Mr Barack Obama would be in Ho Chi Minh City,Vietnam.

The very next day,the Indian President,Mr Pranab Mukherjee would be in Beijing,China.

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Their mission was re-scheduled on the 3rd June,2016.The photograph mysteriuosly materialized just two days before the re-scheduled date.

So,if we read this together with the photograph it becomes self-evident that some elements within the rebel eco-system are desparate to thwart the batlleline from becoming active.In their desparation,they are exhibiting their true colour to the full glare of the people of Manipur.

We have no other words besides these two to describe them--Trojan horse.

From time to time,we can filter from news reports that there has been constant re-alignments withn the rebel eco-system.This time,the photographic evidence of the Trojan horse would most likely force all the players there to bring about a metamorphosis in all set-ups within their ecosystem.

The J&K Governor officially writes about an imminent 8.0 magnitude earthquake

I still cannot beleive this.The J&K Governor,Mr NN Vohra officially writes about a 8.0 magnitude earthquake.

In disbelief,I've read the news report several times.

The Governor seems to be fairly certain that 8.0 magnitude earthquake is imminent in J&K.I'll quote from the report:

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A week after studies by Oregon State University suggested that Jammu and Kashmir is ripe for a major earthquake that could endanger the lives of a million people, Governor NN Vohra has urged Chief Minister Mehbooba Mufti to take personal cognisance and issue firm directives to each and every stakeholder to forthwith start preparing for dealing with an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude and above.

.....The Governor has urged the SDMA must take urgent and time bound steps for strengthening all possible structural/non-structural mitigation measures to reduce the risk vulnerability in every part of the State, particularly the two capital cities and all the other densely populated high risk urban areas. Side by side, the various urban administration authorities, governmental and elected, shall need to strictly enforce a techno-legal regime to ensure earthquake resilient structural measures in every new construction, and, side by side, retro-fitting of all life-line structures, particularly hospitals, schools,colleges, universities, railway stations, airports and buildings housing important government offices.

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The present state of research in earthquake tells us that we have not yet got the technology to predict earthquake with any degree of accuracy.We also know that the cutting edge researches in earthquake are being conducted in California.But the J&K Governor seems to put his complete faith in the Oregon State university research report.Beside,the Governor has,defying the presently accepted consensus that earthquake prediction is still work-in-progress,jumps to the conclusion that 8.0 magnitude earthquake is imminent.

Why?Is it something with the date,the 27th of May,2016?

Today,the 27th of May 2016 is the day the President of India is concluding his China visit.

So,is the Governor trying to link a 8.0 magnitude earthquake with China?

I have got no answers for all these questions.

But one thing is certain--there is something definitely fishy about the official letter of the J&K Governor.

Bitterness as defined by Sunni-Shia and Chinese-Vietnamese rifts.

Indian Prime Minster,Mr Narendra Modi's ongoing Iran visit forces us to have a re-look at the battleline.

The battleline will witness more than expected subtler engagements.

Let's go straight to Mr Narendra Modi's Iran visit.The focus of the visit is the signing of the Chabahar port agreement.Chabahar is barely 100 kms away from the Gwadar port in Pakistan,which is being developed and operated by China.It's easy to see that Chabahar is a direct response to Gwadar.

Indian officials say that the distance between Kandla and Chabahar is shorter than that of New Delhi and Mumbai.Besides,Iran will supply really cheap natural gas to the Indian facilities there,with the particular emphasis on the production of urea on the cheap.If executed as planned,India would reap huge benefit,especially in the cheap production of urea.

But I think the economic benefit is secondary to India's quest.The primary aim is empowering the Shia world(Iran being the Shia capital of the Islamic world)as India's strategic and geo-political goal.

In short,as is usual in Indian mindset,they want to outsource the fight with Sunni extremists(the best example being the Islamic State) to the Shia Muslims.

While Modi was witnessing the signing of the Iranian agreement in Tehran,Mr Barack Obama,the US President,announced the lifting of the 5-decades old embargo on arms sales to Vietnam during his ongoing state visit to that country.

During Yahoo Messenger days,we used to chat up with a lot beautiful Vietnamese girls.Even after a brief acquintances,we most of the time came to know that many of the girls were fleeing from Chinese men.Apparently,they had no ill feelings towards the Chinese men and the Chinese men also did not do any bad things to them.But,still,they were fleeing.

Later on,I learn that Chinese-Vietnamese relationship is quite complicated.Early in history,Chinese and Vietnamese started out as a single people,probably on the lines of Tangkhul-Meetei story.Later on,there cropped up an inexplicable bitterness between them,just like the hill-valley bitterness in Manipur.

As we have seen here in Manipur,there has been no outright hostility between hill and valley but some kind of a smoldering bitterness.As we cannot put a finger on the genesis of the bitterness,the rift between hill and valley always look insurmountable.I think the same dilemma applies to the Chinese-Vietnamese relationship.

As Prime Minister Modi has dragged the battleline into the surreal world of Sunni-Shia rift,President Obama was doing the same thing to the Chinese-Vietnamese rift.

In a dramatic coincidence,Imphal valley,right at the moment,is witnessing a chaotic situation,just like a shut down,on account of an outwardly Muslim-related issue.

It's Muslim-related only in appearance.Beneath the surface,it's everything to do with rivalries amongst the rebel groups of Manipur.Just like the Vietnamese girls,most of the rebel groups are fleeing the competition.Instead of bringing creative ideas and geo-political insight into their jobs,they are willingly letting themselves drowned in the powerful torrents of meaningless and endless chatters enabled by Indian Constitution--some of them, in the powerful torrents of Western propaganda on Caliphate movement(my next to last post),which,incidentally,has a long history behind it.The immediate scene in Manipur,coming as it is in the backdrop of Sunni-Shia rift-focussed Modi's Iran visit and that of Obama's Vietnam visit in the same vein,propels us to deduct that the rivalries amongst the rebel groups have entered the same surreal world of bitterness as defined by the Sunni-Shia and Chinese-Vietnamese rifts.That said,it's only logical to again deduct that the cronies of Modi and Obama would start to drag the battleline inside the surreal world of rifts amongst the rebel groups of Manipur,just like they are doing to Sunni-shia and Chinese-Vietnamese rifts right at the moment.

The battleline and that constituent within the US society.

EgyptAir flight MS804 is fast becoming another Malaysian flight MH370.

Is it a tit for tat response to MH370?

Egyptian officials are saying that flight MS804 is most likely the work of terrorists.So,the question comes to my mind:If the EgyptAir flight MS804 is the works of terrorists,what about Malaysian flight MH370?

I distinctly remember the thrill of reading Ludlum's 'The Bourne Identity'.In the thriller,Jason Bourne was so meticulously groomed and manipulated to the extent of forcing him to forget his own identity.Bereft of his own identity and thus,emotionless,he became a true assasin and he was further manipulated to descend himself to the nether world of criminlas.

The CIA was the manipulator.Thier objective was to sound out the dreaded Jackal he had a rival in Jason Bourne.Their ultimate aim is to tempt the Jackal out of his hiding.

As soon as I read about EgyptAir flight MS804,Jason Bourne immediately came to my mind.Is Egyptair flight MS804 a means to tempt the perpetrators of the Malysian flight MH370 out in the open?

More interesting than this is the subject I discussed in my last post.By some Provincial coincidence,the evil Islamic State had unwittingly tempted the terrorists in our midst out of their hiding place.We had had a very brief glimmer of them in the lynching of a young man in Lilong Haoreibi.Then,they changed tact and quickly went inside their concealed lair.See how they so meticulously persuade the JAC formed to probe the lynching to abandon their work halfway in the track.This tells us in no uncertain terms that the terrorsits in our midst are powerful,well-entrenched and behind an effective camouflage.

In the larger perspective,we are facing a terrorist who is more powerful,much more well-entrnched and behind a even more effective camouglage.The evil work of the terrorist is all there in front of our own eyes--Tripura is finished and Assam is already in the terminal stage.

Give another 10 years to this terrorist and we will see all the States of Manipur,Nagaland,Mizoram or Meghalaya well in the cusp of the termminal stage,just like Assam.

This terrorist works so gently,slowly and unobtrusively but yet so effectively.This remakable profile of the terrorist enables it to escape the probing attention of the world.Our only hope is that with the emergence of the spectacular terrorist acts of the evil Islamic State,the world would start probing the slow and unobtrusive terrorist acts of obliterating the indigenous peoples of the NE region.

Let the emergence of evil Islamic State be able to tempt this more evil terrorist out in the open.

In this context,it would surprise no one in finding out that the indigenous peoples of the NE Region are trying to draw a battleline running across the body of the most visible tool of the terrorsit--the migrants.In my post entitled '18th Nov 2014--the day the batlleline was drawn publicly' I had described this battleline in detail.I'm quoting:

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As the two plane loads of PLA soldiers were landing in Pune,two significant things happened in Manipur--

1)There was an ambush on the Assam Rifles troopers,injuring 12 of them.

2)There was a public function protesting the rescinding of a law which forbids entry of outsiders in the state of Manipur(18th Nov 1950).During the course of this protest meet,the leaders also announced the temporary withdrawal of the ultimatum of the resumption agitation to re-instate the said law.The reason they gave for this withdrawal is to facilitate the unfolding of the Sa-ngai Festival!

What's most interesting is that if the announcement of the withdrawal of ultimatum carries any weight,the commotions outside my house this morning should not have happened.But it did happen,meaning there is an ongoing contradiction within the agitation.

This contradiction puts into sharp focus the two events--one in Imphal and the other,in Pune.In Pune,starting 18th of Nov,the two armies of India and China,went into an joint exercise,with the intent of bringing respect to each other.India wants China to respect it--not to challenge it.

Here,at Imphal,on the 18th of Nov,the main theme of the day was everything to do with groping in the dark inside the box erected by India--no question of challenging it.

So,the commotion outside my house morning,has everything to do to publicly show the two ways confronting us--one challenging India and the other,groping blindly inside the box erected by India.

On the 18th of Nov 2014,at Imphal,there was a publicly visible scene in which everybody sees who chooses which of the two ways.

In other words,on the 18th of Nov 2014,the battle line was so clearly drawn in full view of the public.

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Now,a select group of lawmakers of Manipur are tentatively scheduled to take the battleline to New Delhi on the 23rd of May 2016.

On the same day,the US President,Mr Barack Obama would be in Ho Chi Minh City,Vietnam.

The very next day,the Indian President,Mr Pranab Mukherjee would be in Beijing,China.

In my post entitled 'The two presidents pined for Khongjom replay',there was a discussion trying to read the meaning of the two separate visits of Mr Barack Obama and Mr Pranab Mukherjee.We concluded that the meaning was clear cut--fighting the West is futile.

Now,the same two presidents,using their separate visits,are trying to send another subtle message to us.The message--the battleline also run across Vietnam and China and they are ready for it.

Beside this subtle message behind the visits of the two presidents,we have more graphic news of the battleline.

1) Mr Kiran Rijeju,the jubior home minister of India,flew in the Sukhoi 30 MK1,the frontline fighter jets of India.

2) Two Chinese fighter jets scrambled to intercept an American spy plane,which the US military officially describe as 'unsafe'.

3) Another set of two Chinese fighter jets buzzed the American destroyer which sailed within 12 nautical miles of China-claimed islands in the South China Sea.

4) There was a rare crash of the frontline US strategic nuclear bomber,B54 in the military base of Guam.

The last one is what's most interesting for us.In it,we see the work of the mysterious constituent within the US society.We talked about this constituent in my post entitled 'Two constituents--discovered at the same time,in two different continents '.I'm ending this post by quoting from that post.

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My mind was stunned by this dramatic quetion--

Does the USA have a constituent within its society which is willing to fight for a system more akin to the Chinese form of governance?

Immediately,the imageries of the 'occupy Wall Street' agitations flashed back in my mind.Those agitations might have been the first manisfestation of this constituent within the US society.

But,now,why should it smeared itself with the taints ofchurch mayhems,which are clearly related with White Supremism?

The answer lies in the rise of the Hindu Spuremism in our part of the world.The constituent within the US wants to highligh to the world ever-louder war drums of the Hindu Supremism and Nazism.Why?It should be easy to note that it would face hard times to make itself grown up into something capable of tilting the scale in its favor,given that it has to work under constant surveilance of super-efficient agencies,like the FBI and NSA.So,it would need all the help from outside.

Would that help be forthcoming depends upon the outcome of the fight against Hindu Supremism and Nazism here in our part of the world.

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The saint and the agent provocateur.

At the first place,we need to know what has just hit us.

Are we facing a situation where sectarian violence is imminent?

Or.is it the case of agent provocateurs trying to create a sectarian violence in our society?

Right now,we are observing a shut down called by the committee formed to protest the killing of a young man in the Northern mountain ranges.Another young man was also lynched in Lilong Haoreibi,which is a Muslim dominated area.I also think that the committee formed to protest this lynching might also call for another shutdown.These two killings make everybody jump to the conclusion that sectarian violence is imminent.

I do not think we are facing a situation where sectarian violence is imminent.The lynching of the young man in a Muslim dominated area is a carefully planned job of agent provocateurs.The reason is that there is a pattern behind the lynching.

Two days earlier the lynching there was this murder of another young man in the Northern mountain ranges,which is the stronghold of NSCN(IM).Being in a peace talk with the Govt of India for more than a decade,this group has had a strong co-ordnation with Indian troops on the grounds.Within this context it is to see why there has been a consistent and longstanding effort to build up sectarian feelings between the ethnic group,forming the mainstay of NSCN(IM) and the majority community of the State.Classic divide and rule policy--when seen in the context that no worthwhile groups from the majority openly come out for peace talk with New Delhi.That the lynching came only days after the murder of the young man in the Northern mountain ranges sets off a pattern which points to the beginning of a  similar effort to create sectarian feelings between the Muslims and the majority community of Manipur.

The immediate reaction might be like this: How can one sya that two apparently unrelated killings make a fully formed pattern?

This is a valid question.

But we have a surprise which enables us to say that the two killings definitely emanate a fully formed pattern.

Hers is the surprise: Ravi Shankar,the Art of Living.

I know it is bombshell.I also know that there must a outcry if anybody tries to bring such a celebrity as Ravi Shankar within the loop of a pattern emanated from two ugly killings.

To reconcile with the expected outcry,we need to go back several months in our timeline.Now,I cannot remember which country it was in South East Asia but it might be Vietnam.The Art of Living in that country was threatened by the Islamic State.I also cannot remember clearly but I think that threat from the Islmaic State put the functioning of the Art of Living in a temporary shut down in that country.

Now,the Art of Living head had come down to Manipur in a determined fashion.He had a glittering public function in Imphal on the 24th of April 2016(the same day the young man was killed in the Northern mountain ranges?).It was indeed a glittering function graced by none other than the Chief Minister,the Deputy Chief Minister and the who's who of Manipuri society.

This morning,newspaper headlines told us that Ravi Shankerji did not mid spending his expensive celebrity time in going a Guwahati jail and personally met an insurgent leader from Manipur.

Now,we have three clearly defined tangible:

a) Islamic State

b) Ravi Shankar.

C) A Manipuri insugent group.

When we come this far,it's not difficult to see that the lynching in Lilong Haoreibi was carefully planned to shine the focus towards the above three tangible.

We also know that the above three tangible are clearly defined.

The lynching,trying to shine the focus on the already defined three tangible,brings to us the fourth tangible,which --it's very important--remains undefined.Although not defined as yet,it's tangible enough to bring forth,at least,two murders within space of days.

We need to seek a clear definition of this fourth tangible.If anybody in Manipur has had an agenda wanting to shine the focus to the above three clearly defined tangible,they need to come out openly and announce to the world that they are indeed  the fourth tangible.They need to graduate from being an agent provocateur of the saintly Ravi Shankerji and establish themselves as fully credible and very tangible factor in the affairs of Manipuri society.

Until and unless they do that,Manipuri society would have no chance to fathom the riddle thrown up by the above three clearly defined tangible.

Two Presidents pined for Khongjom replay

When words first came out that the President of India would attend the official Khongjom Day function on the 23rd,April 2016,I did not fail to ask myself:Why this sudden Khongjom blip on the radar of India's Head of State?

Yesterday,in the afternoon,my weeks long but repressed curiosity took wings of its own and literally flew skyhigh.I saw three heavy-bellied choppers taking the President to the Khongjom War Memorial site from the airport.At that momnet,it dawned on me that the President of India(who is an Octogenarian) took the arduous flight from New Delhi to Imphal,attended the function and,straight away,flew back to New Delhi.

This sure points to the fact the President of India suddenly gave a huge importance to the Khongjom Day function.

Any Manipuri would feel a little uneasy when such an important person starts giving such a huge importance to anything related to Khongjom battle.For Manipuris,Khongjom symbolizes an utter defeat.

Did the President of India take all those troubles in trying to re-emphasize the fact the the Manipuris suffered a decisive defeat at the hands of the West,125 years ago?

This question kept on nagging me all throughout the evening.As I was nursing a cold,I opted for a light supper last night.As I was eating my supper,a photograph suudenly came to my mind.Actually,a little cute photograph.The photograph saw President Obama actually crouching,talking to little Prince George,who was in his pajamas!

President Obama was in London just at the right time!

President Obama,who is the leader of the West,was in London during Khongjom Day.

The symbolism is huge.

One President was engaging London,whose Imperial force,the then leader of the West,inflicted a decisive defeat to the Manipuris while the other President took all the troubles to participate in person in the official commemoration of the the defeat at the Battle of Khongjom in 1891.

The two Presidents,in a synchronized dance movements,said that it is still as in vain as it was in 1891 to fight the West.               

The silence of the CSOs.

Below is the sample of the news I had read this morning.(I think I do not need to remind anybody that today has something to do with the number 13--today is the 13th day of the month!).

1)US secretary of defense,Mr Ashton Carter's just concluded India visit.This news shows us in no uncertain terms that both India and US are ready to enter into military alliance,if the situation demands.What might be 'situation' they are anticipating?

2)Kerala temple's firework tragedy.They specifically arrested only 13 culprits.Not to be missed--I read this news item which was provided by a French news agency! French connection!!

3)Curfew in parts of Manipur on a Cheiraoba day,which is the 13th April,2016.As is wont in Manipur there are now two Cheiraoba days--one on the 8th April and another,13th of April.This means that today,the 13th,is an important day for at least half of the population of the valley of Manipur.On such a day,there is curfew in parts of Manipur.I think this is the first time in the history of Manipur that such a violence and the resultant curfew popped up out of nowhere around such an important day.

Having gone through the above news items,I now feel that everybody has already gone for an overkill over matters relating to the number 13.I even do not like to write about it.

What's drawing my attention and curiosity is this:The complete silence of the hyper-active CSOs in relation to the present curfew.Why is this sudden and inexplicable silence?

This definitely breaks a pattern.And,I feel that this pattern-breaking silence is totally intriguing.

Ima Keithel and the same number 13:Questions galore.

The number 13 simply refuses to go away!

It's not simply refusing to go away but starting to tread the hyper-local space.I'll quote from this news item of two days back:

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..... as a senior cabinet minister on condition of anonymity said that the strength of the dissident MLAs has been reduced to only 13 now.

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I also the read the news item as what it was--innocuous.There was nothing special about it.The power struggle within a provincial government(like Manipur) and the associated 'buying' and 'selling' MLAs are routine affairs.We do not attach too much importance to them.

But,when I reached Ima Keithel on my daily shopping jaunt that evening,something told me immediately that the news item was not as innocuos as it seemed.I found out that the two keithels, which were pronounced unsafe afrtermath the earthquake but were forcibly occupied by the agitating women vendors,were cleared of womenfolks and their entrances fenced off.

The news item,flashing the number 13, was timed to coincide with the herding out of the women vendors from the two keithels.

Why?

Some weeks back,the storming of the then barricaded two Ima Keithels by the agitating women vendors came almost simultaneously with the announcement of fresh agitations against the migrants.Now,I cannot exactly remember it because I did not read any particular importance to it at that time.Did the two things happen on the same day? We can best describe it as 'almost simultaneously'.

Some players within our midst are responding to the annmouncement of the fresh agitations against the migrants and forced occupations of the two Ima Keithels with number 13.

This moment calls for some explanations regarding the number 13.I'm doing it with quotes from several of my recent posts.


From my March 23,2016 post:

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Exactly at that point of time I came to read about Brussels....I was reading tweets as they were coming in by the seconds.I was struck by the repeated reference to the number 13.Despite all the chaos,they kept repeating that 'at least 13 dead' for several hours.I don't want to repeat myself about this particular number.If anybody has had some time to read up my last few posts,they would surely understand my point.


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From my March 13,2016 post:

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Unknown to us lay newspaper readers,Manipuri film industry seem to be facing life or death situation.Today's newspapers announced the formation of a consultation committee on Manipuri film,involving heavyweight CSOs. .....We come to know the formation of the consultation committee on the 13th of March.

Another important news report that appears on the 13th of March 16 is the spotting of the soldiers of the People's Liberation army of China in the forward post along the line of control(LoC) on the Pakistani side of Kashmir.

Am I trying to link the two reports? Is there any plausible ground for linking the two newsreports?

The answer is number 13.

-----------

From my February 27,2016 post:

-----------

This particular American missile test was codenamed 'Glory Trip 218'.

As was done in my last post,another way of looking at the numbers 2,1 and 8 is yet another 13(21-8).

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From my February 13,2016 post:

-----------

The first foreign troop participated in any 26th January parade is French.Exactly 76 French soldiers took part part in India's Republic Day parade at Rajpath in New Delhi.

Another way of looking at the numbers 7 and 6 is 13.

------------

Now some players within our midst are trying to flash the same number 13 towards our Ima Keithel.

Why? Questions galore,indeed.

Unnamed India-specific terrorism.

I was looking for the strength of London's FTSE.

I'm telling the story of the 22nd March 2016.As the National Stock Exchange's NIFTY opened at 9.15 am,I tried to do my own calculation of what curve it might take in the day's course.My calculation was like this:NIFTY would take slowly rising curve at the closing hours provided London's FTSE opened strong.

I planned to catch the action by 1.45 pm IST.But I was a little late--it was nearly 2 pm when I saw the FTSE chart.I was disappointed--FTSE took a sharply declining line as it opened for the day.If FTSE opened strong,I planned to buy  NUFTY ETF.Thus disappointed,I turned my attention towards other news of the day.Exactly at that point of time I came to read about Brussels.

I was reading tweets as they were coming in by the seconds.I was struck by the repeated reference to the number 13.Despite all the chaos,they kept repeating that 'at least 13 dead' for several hours.I don't want to repeat myself about this particular number.If anybody has had some time to read up my last few posts,they would surely understand my point.

I hate terror acts.If my blog have any impact,I would wholeheartedly direct it towards the total condemnation of terror acts.

But mere condemnation is not enough.We must try to think out of box to confront terrorism.

We must start at our home ground,not that we should not condemn the terrorist attack on Brussels.Not only should we condemn it,but also utilize it as a trigger to take a fresh look towards our home ground. That the attack on Brussels happened on 22nd March,which is one day ahead of the 37th republic day of the NSCN(IM),serves us well in utilizing it as our trigger.

It's a common knowledge in Manipur that NSCN(IM) has been given a free hand for collecting taxes,dictating orders,using brute force like burning down trucks,kidnapping and killings of truckers along the National Highways of Manipur,especially,the Imphal-Dimapur route.Manipur State police force is helpless--they cannot act against these crimes.All the people in Manipur know that the only forces that can act against such crimes are India's military or para-military.Such forces are already deployed in huge numbers all along the highways.

Even the Chief Minister of Manipur made it a special agenda to plead the Federal govt in New Delhi to direct the military or the para-military forces,which are already deployed along the highways,to act against such crimes of the NCN(IM).But nothing is happening.There is still no rule of law along the highways of Manipur.More than this,all the people of Manipur know that the military and para-military forces are covertly supporting the NSCN(IM) militants in terrorizing the truckers and passengers along the National Highways.

We know that such terror acts of NSCN(IM) militants are not as spectacular as that Brussels'.This might be part reason why Western media have no time and resource to report the terrorist acts along the highways of Manipur.As the media fail to report them,the whole world is ignorant of the continuing terror acts.Thus unknown to the outside world,the militants of the NCSN(IM) has been terrorizing the truckers and the passengers of Manipur along its highways for many decades now.

So,there is an unnamed India-specific terrorism.

This unnamed India-specific terrorism drives us to go hyper-local.

A filmmaker was methodically called out his house,blindfolded and bundled inside a car.They,again methodically,brought him to a secluded place and beat him so badly that he had to be hospitalized in a serious condition.

He is not a simple filmmaker but a kind of symbol of Manipuri film.Attacking him is tantamount to attacking Manipuri cinema and terrorizing filmmakers,film writers,film artiste and film technicians.

That the attackers were so methodical points to the possibility of an organized group behind the crime.If the filmmaker did something wrong that warrants application of mob justice,why don't the organized group publicize it?Even the evil Islamic State militants made it a point to own up the horrifying carnage at Brussels.This points to the fact that there are organized groups in Manipur more evil than the Islamic State militants.

Though not spectacular(like that of Brussels),the ongoing terrorizing acts along the Natioanl Highways and inside the tiny valley are the manifestations of the unnamed India-specific terrorism.

Another 13

Unknown to us lay newspaper readers,Manipuri film industry seem to be facing life or death situation.Today's newspapers announced the formation of a consultation committee on Manipuri film,involving heavyweight CSOs.Mere mentioning of the CSOs hints at the immensity of the problem facing Manipuri cinema.I used to have friends in the industry but I have already drifted away from them.I'm depending on the newspaper reports in trying to grasp the situation.

With such a scant source of information,I'm totally confused.Is there a monetary demand from some rebel groups?Does the physical assault on an important functionary of the film body relate with such monetary demand?

I have no idea.But I know for certain that halls screening Manipuri films have shut down for some time.There are also not new DVD releases.So,it seems Manipuri film is at a standstill.

We come to know the formation of the consultation committee on the 13th of March.

Another important news report that appears on the 13th of March 16 is the spotting of the soldiers of the People's Liberation army of China in the forward post along the line of control(LoC) on the Pakistani side of Kashmir.

Am I trying to link the two reports? Is there any plausible ground for linking the two newsreports?

The answer is number 13.

The last few posts of this blog discussed the significance of the number 13 in the present context.

If one reads carefully all those posts,nobody will fault this blogger in assuming that this particular number is good enough reason to establish a link between the above two newsreports.

If we think there is a link,we would be breathlessly waiting for the 16th of March 16.On this day,the ultimatum issued by the newly formed consultative committee ends.

Propaganda lodged inside our subconscious.

Any observer(of Manipur) worth his salt would not fail to read several hints which say that MH 370 was(and still is) an attack weapon,not once seen in the entire annal of the history of human warfare.On the second anniversary of MH370, I remind myself that I had a post entitled 'Malaysia's hijack plane and India's  doctrine of relative truth'.I'm quoting a few lines from that post:
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'But to accuse a State of hijacking a passenger plane is in the realm of conspiracy theory.But as the still developing situation show,there might be more than one State involved in the hijacking.It is quite reasonable to infer that they would need only a brief jamming of Pakistani radars to get the plane to Turkmenistan(China  has a rebel group aiming to establish an East Turkemenistan).And,it's quite reasonable to think that the radar-jamming technologies might have found their devices installed,however briefly,in Afghanistan.

But still.why should we waste out valuable time in a conspiracy theory?

To answer this question,we have to go back to the 13th of March 2014.And,the place of our interest is Imphal.

They have the temerity to do something with natural disaster on a 13th day!More than that,the day before, the guys from New Delhi,in a press conference,held in place no other than the seat of power in Manpur,the Secretariat complex in Imphal,grandly announced that 2 lakhs people would be hurt and 37 thousand people would be killed!Some kind of mock drill indeed!!

Reading between the lines,it's quite clear that New Delhi,under the guise of a mock drill,was issuing threats to Manipuri society.They are effectively saying to the larger Manipuri society--

--'Beware,you will get hurt'--.

Psychological warfare,isn't it?Let's say it is one  in micro level.What about the macro level?Of course,the hijacking of the Malaysian jetliner.        
-------------                            '.

So,MH370 is all about bringing the battle to the subconscious arena.Why I am saying this? We need to sit back and start looking at things in their right perspective.MH370 embodies all the imaginable questions but not a single answer.Was it a hijack?An attack weapon? What had happened to the wide-bodied jetliner? Did it soft land on the ocean surface and sank? Where had all the passengers gone?(Tiny bits of pieces supposed to be parts of the wreckage found near Union Island and other African coasts seemed to have planted to whet the appetite for raising more questions).

It's just like the case of God.So many imaginable questions but not a single answer. Is God real?He is formless?How can we find Him?So many questions right from the start of human civilization.But not a single answer is yet to come to the fore.

In other words,unknowable and unseen. That is,of metaphysical world,of sub-conscious domain.

So, the targetted foe had been hit by something that is unknowable and unseen.From here it is easy to surmise that the unknowable and unseen weapon had been deployed by some combatants,who should be,by logic,equally unknowable and unseen.Metaphorically,it's some kind of a Godly-weapon.With the precise objective of shifting the battlefield to the subconscious level.Some Godly-weapon attacking the subconscious mind!

But,still,I have this nasty feeling that I fail to find the right words in describing this 'Godly-weapon'.Let me try to illustrate it with a personal story of mine.

During my college days,I was a student activist.I was in the perfect landscape where I had the opportunity to meet people from every section of our society.I had close associates from working and lower middle class to carry on our activist programmes.I had also the not-so-smooth interaction with upper middle class and upper class people during the course of seeking monetary and material contribution for the activist programme.

Among such large number of people,one person stood out.He was an older man.Despite the age difference,I took him as a trusted friend.

He was the perfect example of what a flesh and blood manifestation of anti-West narrative should be.He even abhorred the sight and sound of the West.He tried to read a lot.He constantly made it a point to update himself with current affairs of his society.He mostly succeeded in keeping himself away from all form of intoxicants.He was an uncompromising stickler to the 'high moral code' to the conduct of every day way of life.He also kept himself away from female company and was unmarried.But what made him stand out was his constant endeavour to lead a life according to the value system as,he thought,enshrined in the Puyas.For his political thought,he read Marx,Lenin and Mao.For a teenager activist,he was a formidable beacon of light.

With the ending of my college days,the activist part of me also came to a close.I aslo slowly drifted away from this particular friend of mine.I started mingling with a new set of friends.

Years later,I accidentally had a brief encounter with a close relative of this friend of mine.For no particular reason,he took a keen interest in talking about my friend.I did not ask him anything but I had actually no option rather than listening to his banter.Surprisingly,his banter triggered a startling chain-reaction of making a post-mortem of that part of my life,particularly my friendship with him.It came to me as some of revelation that my friend was glorifying poverty.From that point,I began to ask further questions--if we take out his dabbling with Marxist literature,he was a perfect example of what a great Indian seer should be.My friend,who so loudly professed anti-West stance,actually lived a life of an Indian seer!That was an astounding discovery.

This point to one and possible scenario--the Indian propaganda had already seeped deep inside our subconscious.Without knowing it.we live a life guided by Indian thought and Indian code of conduct.For centuries together,India has been attacking our subconscious.

This story of mine reveal to us in no uncertain terms that India has been very adept in this warfare of attacking the subconscious.They have been carrying on with this warfare for centuries together.Looking from this perspective,MH370 is no surprise.On the contrary,MH370 exhibits all the patterns of this centuries-old warfare of India.

It turns out that MH370 is a technology-enhanced version of the attack on the subconscious.

The inter-continental missiles and the siege within

This particular American missile test was codenamed 'Glory Trip 218'.

As was done in my last post,another way of looking at the numbers 2,1 and 8 is yet another 13(21-8).

In my last post,we talked of the French soldiers coming to New Delhi and literaly flashing the number 13 to the land of Paubi Lai.But this time,the inter-continental ballistic missile test had happened in the distant America and so,it would be far-fetched to say that they were also flashing the number,13 to the land of Paubi Lai for the second time.But the series of events in the last 13 days(!) has been forcing us to say that it's not that far-fetched.

1) On the 13th day of this month,I had published my last post which specifically said that the killing of the ten Indian soldiers in the Siachin glacier was an act of war and so,there would be retaliation from India.

2) The very next day,New Delhi summoned the US ambassador to India and officially objected to the sale of eight F-16s to Pakistan.So,it's easy to deduct that the said retaliation would come in the form of airpower.

3) One day later,on the 16th,china installed surface-to-air missiles on one of the disputed islands in the South China Sea.Again,it's easy to see the meaning--if you were to use airpower,we have surface-to-air missiles.

4) Then came the testing of the Minuteman 3 ICBMs on a Monday(22nd) and yet another one two days later.Again,it's easy to see that the testing of two already operational ICBMs within the space of a week is absolutely abnormal..Somthing fishy was going on there in the US.

5) On the same Monday,Chinese foreign minster's official visit to the US was cancelled.

6) Both the ICBM test were preceded by two mass shootings--one in Michigan and other,in Texas.It makes me squirmed talking about those mass shooting in the US--they have more casualties from mass shootings than those out of real combat actions by their military during the last three decades.Personally,I can understand the position of a very powerful constituent within the US society which say that owning a gun is within the domain of personal right and the government should never try to infringe on that sacrosanct right.But,if there are so many guns available,mass shootings are also inevitable.This is obviously a dilemma ,which even brought tears to President Obama,live on TV.

It would be heartless to talk so non-challantly about these mass shootings but we have been forced to study them dispaasionately because they are being used by one mysteriously constituent withn the US Society to reveal itself to the world.I have a post entitled 'Two constituents--discovered at the same time,in two different continents.'Besides giving the link to that post,the explosive situation of today(as hinted by the ICBMs) demands a lengthy quote from that post:

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"My mind was stunned by this dramatic quetion--

Does the USA have a constituent within its society which is willing to fight for a system more akin to the Chinese form of governance?

Immediately,the imageries of the 'occupy Wall Street' agitations flashed back in my mind.Those agitations might have been the first manisfestation of this 

constituent within the US society.

But,now,why should it smeared itself with the taints ofchurch mayhems,which are clearly related with White Supremism?

The answer lies in the rise of the Hindu Spuremism in our part of the world.The constituent within the US wants to highligh to the world ever-louder war drums of the Hindu Supremism and Nazism.Why?It should be easy to note that it would face hard times to make itself grown up into something capable of tilting the scale in its favor,given that it has to work under constant surveilance of super-efficient agencies,like the FBI and NSA.So,it would need all the help from outside.

Would that help be forthcoming depends upon the outcome of the fight against Hindu Supremism and Nazism here in our part of the world."

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7) On the weekend preceding 'missile Monday',the Lt Gen,commanding the Eastern Command of India's military,was in Imphal.Doing what? Watching polo! I have a post entitled 'The coming of the Americans' which talked of how Americans have diplomatically used the very visible game of Polo.This time also another quote from the post is needed.

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"That the agitators in Churachandpur had chosen 1st to 5th Feb as the first leg of their ptogramme of agitation should act as an eye-opener for everybody.

It even prods us to ask this question--

'What will happen on the 21st of January 2016?'.

Of course,the missing link between the above statement and the question is the Americans.We have to remember that there is a pattern breaking event in Imphal on the 21st of January,mainly inspired by the Americans.

In my humble opinion,what we are seeing is the starting point heralding the call of the West to its supporters in Manipur to come out openly and challenge the constituent within the Manipuri society espousing the formation of an anti-West coalition".

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If we carefully read (6) and (7) together,it's inescapable to deduct that they are jointly targetting one or more constituents within the majority valley society.To what end? To execute a siege within the valley society,just like the siege executed by those mass shootings in the US society.

Now,we have four tangible:

a) The killing of ten Indian soldiers in Siachin.

b) American air power and missiles.

c) Chinese air defense system.

d) One or more constituents within the valley society colluding with the West.

The co-relations amongst the four tangible would shape the nature of the coming retaliation from India.It's still a big jigsaw puzzle.I,for one,would be keeping my eyes wide open!

The softpower and the real,fighting soldier.

As an aspiring writer,Im in a mood to try out the power of my imagination!

The first foreign troop participated in any 26th January parade is French.Exactly 76 French soldiers took part part in India's Republic Day parade at Rajpath in New Delhi.

Another way of looking at the numbers 7 and 6 is 13.

See how I use my power of imagination to come to the number 13!

Today is 13th of Feb and we are again reminded that there are 9 bodies in Churachandpur still uncremated.These uncremated 9 bodies is the unnerving manisfestation of India's soft power.It needs no efforts to understand why the 9 are still kept uncremated.Outwardly it is everything to do with the three bills passed by the Manipur Legislative Assembly recently.But the ultimate gameplan is the bringing forth of a separate administration for a specific ethnic community in the south of Manipur.Egged on by the soft power of India this particular ethnic community clearly understand that the three bills,which have absolutely no anti-tribal clauses,are merely the jumping ground for their coveted separate administration.

We have to read this together with Alternative Arrangement--yet another name for a separate adminstration for the North of Manipur,that too,for a particular ethnic community.This version of the separate administration is the decades-long agenda of this particular ethnic group,which,more recently,has been egged on by the soft power of India,which,lest we forget,is the same force aiming to form 'Akhand Bharat',comprising the whole Afghanistan,Nepal,Burma,etc.Although we tend to see these 'separate administration' movements as standalone local issues,the same force which has benn egging on them have clear geo-political facet,threatening,in the process,several countries,like China.So,it may even be wise to deduct that these countries,including China,may be keeping a tab on these seemingly local movements here.

The emerging picture clearly tells us of a Balkanized Manipur.

It's ominous that the number 13 is sought to be linked with the Balkanization of Manipur.Is there a French connection?

Here,it's worth while to note that Paris is the only capital city of the world,besides New Delhi,which took all the trouble of hosting exhibition of Paubi Lai.We may say that Paris,with all the museums and art collections,would nanturally interest in hosting an exhibition of artworks of ethnic origin.But somethng tells me that there is something more than that.

The only two development projects in Manipur,funded by foreign governmnts are the Imphal Sewage Project and Sericulture Project.The Sericulture Project was started with a lot of hope with the funds from Japan.Encountering the trademark redtape and corruption the Japanese had fled Manipur after completing the first phase of the Project.No amount of cajoling have failed to bring the Japanese back for the further phases of the Project.

Like the Japanese,the French would have encountered the same trademark redtapism and corruption.But the French seems to be deploying extraordinary patience in funding the Imphal Sewage Project.It's a common knowledge how the Imphal Sewage Project is faring.Isn't it 10 years they had used up but still the Project is uncomplete!?But the French are still persisting in funding it.Can we sense something in this extraordinary French persistence?

I know all the above can be dismissed as a pure rant of a blogger,with a tinge of a conspiracy theory!

But I'm fairly confident to say that the recent developments that point to the number 13 are not the figments of my imagination.Rather,they are dramatic development,delivering the proverbial jolts to us.

1) on the 6th of Feb,Imphal witnessed a huge rally to ward off the attack of the 'alternative arrangement'.To battle a softpower offensive,such rallies are the sufficient weapons.But we should not be complacent--we should keep exploring newer type of weapons.

2) At this juncture,we hardly notice a crucial development.Three days before the rally in Imphal,10 Indian soldiers were killed in Sichin due to an avalanche.Siachin is a glacier and avalanches are quite normal there.Casualities suffered on account of such avalanches are also quite normal and so we did not attach any particualr importance to the one,which killed 10 Indian soldiers.

3) But something funny happened 6 days later.On that day.one,amongt the 10 soldiers buried by the avalanche,was reportedly found alive.Media blitz told us that the soldier was brought to New Delhi by an air amibulance.He was reportedly kept under round the clock surveilanhce by a team of specialist doctors,both military and civil.The President,the Prime Minister,the Defence Minister,among other highest dignitaries visited the soldier,who was reportedly in a coma.

4) The catchword here is the number 6.The soldier was reportedly found alive 6 days after the avalanche,ie the 3rd of Feb.That comes to the 8th of Feb,which was also the day,29 years ago,on which the armed wing of a particular rebel group of Manipur was raised.Even upto this point of the development, we cannot deduct any far-reaching conclusion.All these might be just another coincidence.

5) We started to get suspicious when it slowly dawned on us that not a single newsman physically documented the comatose condition,medical facilities delevered or even a casual appearance of the soldier during the crucial days starting 8th of Feb.So,it slowly dawned on us that the whole Indian political and military classes had conspired to fake the entire story of the soldier.To what end?To connect the avalanche to that particular rebel group of Manipur(hinting at the emergence of a new type of warfare) and the uncremated 9 bodies in Chrachandpur.

6) Also with Churandpur?They made the 2 rebel groups represented by the ethnic community of Churandpur to convened a formal meeting for themselves on the 7th of Feb,which,in turn,convened yet another general meeting for all those spearheading the Churachandpur agitation.On the meeting of 9th Feb,it is apparent that the rebels had bulldozed the general public to agree to cremate the 9 bodies on the 13th of Feb.To make the story short,they had utilized the date immediately preceding and following the 8th of Feb(see how they so despearately tried to highlight the date, 8th of Feb!) to rake up the issue of 9 uncremated bodies.Their goal is to highlight the date,the 8th of Feb--they are not bothered about cremating the bodies.

Having come this far,we can be sure of one thing--there will be retaliation from India.They would target to kill 10 or more soldiers.They may be rebel soldiers of Manipur or the soldiers of the People's Liberation Army of China(assuming that the chinese are in constant watch for the conmtinuing play of Indian softpower in Northern and Southern part of Manipur).

If that ever came true,the long tussle inside Manipur deploying softpower is going to claim the lives of real,fighting soldiers(assuming that the 10 soldiers dead in Siachin is the case of softpower checkmated with yet another 'softpower with blood'and all the above deductions of mine are to be read together with this first-of-its-kind offensive in the history of human warfare).

These deafening silence make me edgy.

I'm totally surprised by the deafening silence emanated from Churachandpur side.As announced earlier by the agitators there should have been a blockade along the National Highways in Manipur from the 1st to 5th of February(my last post).

My last post started with this line--

"That the agitators in Churachandpur had chosen 1st to 5th Feb as the first leg of their ptogramme of agitation should act as an eye-opener for everybody".


So,if we read this deafening silence together with the first line of my last post,it is appropriate to state that some constituents within the Manipuri society are afraid of this eye-opener.

If we can have a glimpse of these constituents,we would be truly enlightened.Are these constituents mainly concentrated within the hill districts of Manipur?Or do they have their counterparts within the valley districts as well?

Even as I'm groping in the dark in trying to map out the probable contours of these constituents,another deafening silence does not fail to assail me.This time it's the deafening silence emanated from within the power corridors of Manipur.Isn't it a little unusual for the Chief Manister of Manipur to maintain a complete silence regarding the consttruction of a temporary market shed for those women vendors pushed out to the streets by the recent earthquake?It's to be seen in the backdrop of how the Chief Minister had made a personal mark in organizing a daring market construction along a strip of street,that too,within days of the earthquake.After some squabble with a political novice,the Chief Minister have mysteriously been keeping a complete silence.

To me,it's intrigueing.Many questions have already started invading my mind.

Has those same constituents (who are afraid of the above eye-opener) started exerting their influence over the Chief Minister to make him maintain a complete silence over the temporary market shed?

I know it's a little outlandish,even a paranoid,question.But if we go a little deeper into the issue of construction of temporary market,we will begin to understand why it's a must to ask this question.Without the construction of the temporary market shed,the Ima Market would remain dysfunctional.In other words,the epicentre of Manipur's social and political movements would remain dysfunctional.In this sense,we are under attack at the very core of our social and political life.

Who are the attackers?

In trying to answer this question,we need to put all our data into the right perspective.Like,has the constituents of our interest been already lulled into believing that a dysfunctional Ima Keithel means an agitation-free Manipur? From there,it would be easy to feed the insidous propaganda that an agitation-free Manipur would usher in a peaceful and developing society.The key words are 'peace' and 'development'.If there are sproutings of enough constituents (to gain critical mass in the downslide of the society) who are lulled into equating a dysfunctional Ima Keithel with 'peace' and 'development',then our society is truly encircled.It only needs an occassional parading of Muivah and co to remind them of their state of encirclement so that Manipuri society slavishly falls into the line dictated by the 'attackers'.This would,in turn,results in total containment and subjugation of Manipuri society.Of course,these keywords give us a hint in identifying the attackers to our social and political life.

So,is it the case of the constituents of our interest not able to differentiate propaganda from information?

In trying to give a finishing touch to my observation,it's reasonable to see Manipuri society containing some constituents who want to lead it but still continually fed with propaganda from some sophisticated power centres.This throws up the possibility of the existence some competing constituents who go by hard data in trying to lead Manipuri society.

So,who are those constituents continually fed with propaganda? And,who are those competing with hard data at hand?

Who's who? where is the true picture?

At this juncture,I'm totally excited in finding the 23rd July 2009 shooting in the news.The present situation demands that I add a lenghty quote from my 2009 post--

------------
"But the line-'the true picture would emerge'-is extremely intriguing.

Of course, I have a theory!!

It's a foregone conclusion that Tehelka has neither the will nor the
resouce to get the phtographas and accompanying story by itself. So?
Well,let's put in a negative sense. If it were not something to do with
the rebel groups,there would already be claims staking laurels for
facilitating the Tehelka group to carry the story and the photos.

So the facilitator comes from the eco-system of the rebels.Let's call
the rebel group throwing up the facilitator as 'x'.

Now, there was a tumult here following the publishing of the
photographs. It's not hard to imagine all of the active cadres of the
bountiful rebel groups were all participants as the agitators in the
streets.

Here, one extremely significant development comes up. All of the cadres
who are not of the group 'x'would have participated in the agitations
with the deep feelings in their hearts that their groups' leaders were
not capable of producing the Tehelka feat. 'X' group is giving the lead
and they are following--they would have surely conscious of this fact.

Now, consider the public's likely impression. Around 23rd of July, the
group 'x' got hold of the photos and they managed to plug any leak of
the existence of them,even when the State Assembly was in session.
Now, the photos reached Delhi and the Parliament was also in session.
Here again, they managed to persuade Tehelka to carry the story and the
photos,still plugging any leak. Delhi's ruling would be very hungry for
such a leak!

Manipur State Assembly's session ended with the end of July. Still no
leaks. The Chief Minister was to lead the state delegation to meet the
officials of the Planning commission on the 2nd August. The news of the
photos was carried by the cable news in the evening of 1st of August,
thus giving the Chief Minister only the night of 1st August to react to
the development. Only when he reahed Delhi did he relaized the gravity
of the situation.

It's the masterstroke of a strategic execution.

The public is impressed by this masterstroke. And, the rebel cadres
have to admit to themselves that they are following group 'x'.

Then,isn't it the case the group 'x' getting the mandate from the
public?

So, the scenario line should run like this--'the true picture(of the
public giving the mandate to the group 'x' and all the other groups
following the lead the group 'x') would emerge'."
---------------

So,after 7 years are we going to have the clear picture of who's who of constituents within Manipuri society who are aspiring to lead it?

Besides acting as source for this clear picture,it may even be a warning to the 'attackers'(who are targetting the very core of our social and political life).Again,I'm forced to quote from a 2009 post--

----------------
"I got the news from Poknapham dated 13th of August.

The news is about china wanting to break up "Great Indian Federation".

I google the 3 words and this link comes up first in the search result list.

The article was written by Zhan Lue and published in the iiss.cn on the 8th August 09.

What's striking is that it was published on the 8th.

The photos of murder of an arrested person was published by Tehelka datelined 9th of August.It's usual for online edition to appear before the dateline.

In my mind,there seems to be a plan in bringing out the two publications almost simutaneously.

Is the same player producing the masterstroke of a strategic execution(my last post) also the inspiration behind the publication of the chinese viewpoint?

I cannot help asking this question."
------------------

So many things happened during the intervening seven years and all these sure make me edgy.

The coming of the Americans.

That the agitators in Churachandpur had chosen 1st to 5th Feb as the first leg of their ptogramme of agitation should act as an eye-opener for everybody.

It even prods us to ask this question--

'What will happen on the 21st of January 2016?'.

Of course,the missing link between the above statement and the question is the Americans.We have to remember that there is a pattern breaking event in Imphal on the 21st of January,mainly inspired by the Americans.

In my humble opinion,what we are seeing is the starting point heralding the call of the West to its supporters in Manipur to come out openly and challenge the constituent within the Manipuri society espousing the formation of an anti-West coalition.

In a more mundane speak,its the duel between Western-style growth story and Chinese-style growth story.

Would the supporters of the West in Manipur come out openly and start challenging their opponent on an ideological level?

I have no idea when will they do that but one thing is quite certain--the Americans are definitely nudging them to do so.

As we starts speaking about the Americans,it's definitely possible that they are becoming increasingly impatient with the pace of their ally,the Indians, in fighing that constituent within the Manipuri society which espouses the formation of the anti-West coalition.

As we are apparently confronting a looming ideological war,it's an imperative that this blogger states his own opinion about the subject.As any growth story happens within the matrix of a political environment,I think I should start with it.

Let's go hyper-local.

I think vast majority of peope in our society would agree with me that the winning candidates in the recent bye-election to the two Assembly constituencies in the heart of Imphal need to be disqualified at the very outset.They have no agenda except grabbing power.They are flesh and blood manifestations of what Barack Obama hinted as the evil impact of money on the body politic of any society.We also need not go to a far away country like the US to see things in perspective.Here,in our homefront votes are purchased openly.In the recent two bye-elections price per vote had risen dramatically--they are willing to fork out Rs 5000/-per vote.

Even if we say that the system can be reformed so that it may reach the level of what the Ameriacans are having at the moment,should we go for that option?I have no direct knowledge of the conditions in the US but it's quite certain that if you no money you have no hope to become a player in American politics.Even Barack Obama hinted at the problem in his recent State of the Union address.And,most importantly,the gains from the growth achieved through this American political system is so unevenly distributed that there is now open discussion whether the system would become untenable any time soon.

As we have gone this far,we have to ask ourselves--'What about the Chinese model?'

The Communist Party of China actually screened the aspiring candidtates for elections in Hong Kong.Is this acceptable?Before answering this question we must state that the distribution of the gains from the Chinese-style growth is more tolerable.

In other words,we all think that there should be some vetting of the candidates.The problem arises when it comes the statge where we ask loudly who should do the vetting.

Everybody knows that we are face to face with a really tough situation.But I should express my opinion fearlessly.

1)We should utilize the service of Artificial Intelligence,something like IBM's Watson to do the vetting.There is strong possibilty that AI would overtake human in intelligence around 2048.So,AI is a strong candidate to do the task of vetting.

2)Everyone who plans to go to political arena should be prepared to sacrifice substantial portion of his private space to public scrutiny.In our case,the AI agent should have access to his educational,medical and social engagement records from an early age in his life.We might even devise an empathy metrics for the candidates.

3)Then,we can devise a scale to vet the aspiring candidates for any election.For example,in the scale of 0-10 any candidate should get 8 to be eligible to fight an election.

If we go this far,we can tell our American friends that we need not make a choice between the Western and Chinese models.We should be left alone so that we can make our own choices according to our needs and dreams.We need to politely let it be known to our American friends that if any agency starts interfering in our affair,we are ready for a good fight.

The chaos and the haze.

When you cook for yourself,you will begin to understand how women are imprisoned within the four wall of kitchen.No matter how well you prepare,there are always some small things which manage to drag you into miniature crises.There are so many small things that are left behind when you go shopping for stuffs,putting them inside the fridge,getting them out again and washing and preaparing them before they finally land inside the oven or the pressure cooker.I always try to fill up the fridge to fullest limit.But still I go shopping almost daily,mostly around the Ima Keithel.

Post-earthquake,the best word that describes the scenes around the Ima Keithel is 'chaos'.You can literally touch the air of chaos over there.

This chaotic scene came to my focus as soon as I began reading today's headlines.

1) There are three reports of agitators starting moving around,at least,one,even announcing prepararoty programme for a wider agitation.

2) The Russian president's first interview for the new year to a foreign media(German,this time)which clearly shows that the Russians are ready for confrontation with the encroaching NATO.

3) The incumbent American president's last State of the Union address.

This morning itself I have this feeling that the above two headlines were carefully timed to come up for public consumption on the eve of the American president's address.My feeling is just proven right as the news came over the radio that one American polo association is one of the several organizers of a women polo tournament to be held in Imphal.The announcement was made by the Chief Secretary,Governemnt of Manipur.

The Russian president's interview on the eve of the American president's address is quite understandable.The American president is the leader of West.So,the Russian president wants to get his message noticed by the leader of the West that the Russians(and,of course,the broad anti-West coalition) is ready for a good fight.

The contradiction between the West and the Russians are very clear.It's there openly for all of us to see and analyze.

But a thick haze is hanging over the three agitations which came up in today's headline.

That the three agitations made their appearances in today's headlines are sure signs that the contradiction between the West and our society is alive and kicking(which,in turn,was also confirmed by the American polo association news).But who amongst the agitators are in the West'camp or in the camp of the anti-West coalition?We cannot see clearly.As I have noted earlier,a thick haze is hanging over them preventing us from discerning them clearly.

When North Korea tested a Hydrogen bomb,the South Koreans made their ally, the Americans, to fly a B-54 bomber,which is specifically crafted to carry nuclear bombs,very close to the North Korean nuclear facilities.The contradiction between North and South Koreas are clearcut and it's there before our eyes.

But when it comes to our tiny valley,everything seems mysteriously enveloped by a thick haze.One important exception is the chaos around the Ima Keithel.The haze seems unable to conceal the chaotic scene.Symbolically,it's quite significant.Historically,the Ima Keithel is the epicentre of all important agitations and movements of our society.Today's headlines told us of the rumbling of the agitations in the near future.Would the present chaotic condition of the Ima Kethel have the wherewithal to host an agitation which truly mirrors the aspirations of our society?How would the agitators size up the damaged epicentre of our social movement?Do they have the temerity to start a strong social movement in the periphery?

I have this strong feeling that the analysis of the present chaotic condition of the Ima Keithel by those living inside the West's camp and those inside the anti-West coalition would be quite different.These differing perception would have their bearings on their programmes of the agitation.This,in turn.might help in starting to dispel the thick haze and in placing the contradiction in full public view.

I would like to close this post with a personal touch.As noted earlier,I am on the shopping run almost daily in and around the Ima Keithel.I noticed that the poorest of the poor women are so symbolically pushed out of touch with the Keithel.As the two constituents of the Ima Keithels are pronounced unsafe,all the woman vendors inside them are pushed out to the streets and footpaths around the Keithels.They are more organized class of woman vendors.As they come out to the streets and footpaths they mercilessly shove the poorest of the poor--the so-called street vendors--away from the life-giving reach of the Ima Keithels.The present condition of the Ima Keithel is such that it cannot give succour to the poorest of the poor.It's another way of saying that some agencies are trying to snub out the very soul of Ima Keithel.Could this be happening in a geographical space called Manipur?

The present condition would surely induce the already weeping Keithel Lairembi to a hiccuping weep.