Monday, September 14, 2015

Strategy shift--how New Delhi flee from competition.

This headline makes me think that New Delhi has just executed a strategic shift.

The CSOs of the hills,as hinted in the above headlines,appear to be slighting the demand for the separate administration but,instead,start to be focussing at the nitty gritty of the three bills passed by the Manipur Legislative Assembly.

The new strategy seeks to set the CSOs of the hills at loggerheads with thier counterparts in the valley by making them arguing about the mere technicalities of the three bills.They would attempt arguments for arguments' sake,which,as everybody knows,would produce no tangible results.

If New Dekhi can achieve this,the three bills would never reach its power corridor for the mandatory assents.It's quite clear--New Delhi is fleeing from the one competition of the 21st Century(my last post).

Another part of the strategy is a notification issued by it on the 7th September 2015 which allows Hindus migrants from Bangladesh and Pakistan to stay back in India,even if the migrants have no valid documents.Why New Delhi decided to issue this far-reaching notification,that too,just a week back, needs no elaboration--it's self-explanatory.The purpose of the notification is to create a situation congenial to the forking out of the current anti-migrant movement of Manipiur into two or more streams--one stream targetting Hindu migrants,another,targetting migrants of another religious denomination etc.Here is the first hint at the forking out process.

This is a classic example of divide and rule policy at its finest height.

Last but not the least.Several groundbreaking developments happened during the last 24 hours.

Here is one.Another one is here.

Sunday, September 13, 2015

Compete with New Delhi

It turned out that Mr RN Ravi visit was meant to serve as an announcement of the coming of the most important geo-political shift of the 21st Century.Besides calling in Pakistani frontier paramilitary representatives,bravely ignoring the constant firing across the border(my last post),they had also engaged in a face off with the Chinese troops in Ladakh and also raided two Burmese village along the Nagaland-Burma border.

But the more important announcement came from a press conference nearer home.It happened just a day after Mr Ravi descended on Imphal.

The representatives of two rebel organizations,which are the constituents of their apex body,UPF,were meeting the press in Churachandpur.They were officially speaking for the UPF.

They pointed out that the residnets of the hills of Manipur were finally united in demanding two separate administrative machinesries for themselves.The Nagas have Alternative Arrangement demand,the Kukis, the Autonomous Hill State. The two ethnic groupings of the Manipur hills have
demands bearing two differnet names and,until recently,waging two different battles for their respective demands.

The spokesmen pointed out that the demands,though having different names,are essentially the same--separate adminstrative machines for the hillmen.They were not also mincing no words in praising the three bills recently passed by the Manipur Legislative Assembly for serving as a trigger for coalescing the two movements into the united movement for hillmen.

Alternative Arrangement.They are the key words which connect the press briefing with the Mr Ravi visit.Mr Ravi descended on Imphal for matters relating to the Indo-Naga Peace Talk,which calls for the dismemberment of the state of Manipur.Alternative Arrrangement is the CSO version of the demands contained in the Indo Naga Peace Talk.

Today is also a fitting day for talking about the above press briefing.The reason is that the press briefing happened in Churachandpur,where there are still uncremated nine corpses.Nine young men died recently in Churachandpur in violent protest demanding rescinding of the three bills passed in Manipur Legislative Assembly,which gradually metamorphosed in the movement for separate hill administrative machinery.They are now telling us that the three bills  only serve as impetus for the separate administration demand.

Today is the last day of the mourning of the lone student killed in the demand for the three bills.Although the movement for the demand of the three bills were concentrated in the four valley districts of Manipur,all the bonafide citizens of Manipur,including the hills,are going to be beneficiaries because the three bills are meant to safeguard the interest of the 'native people' of Manipur against the ever-increaing number of migrants.

We have enough of preface.Now comes the time for the hard talk.

New Delhi surreptiously sent out hints to the different groups of hillmen that it would favourably consider their demands if they violently protested against the three bills.

If we ask ourselves why New Delhi hate the three bills so much,we have to remember the battleline.

Now, we have to re-read the first para of this blogpost.That would make it quite clear why it talks of the 'the most important geo-political shift of the 21st Century'.That said,it's also quite clear that it has everything to do with New Delhi and the rebel groups of Manipur.

What about the laymen?The threat of the migrants are real for us.As the thing stands now,as we begin pressing for the three bills to become laws,the hills of Manipur would be again up in flames,saying the three bills are anti-hillmen and so,they want separate administration for themselves.

Do we have the pleasure to go slow on our demands for three bills to become laws?

To answer this,it would be illuminating to see how other societies are faring in this area.Let's go to the EU.

The EU has roughly the population of 500 million.The leaders of the EU are shouting around they are facing a crisis because of the steady arrival of migrants from the war-torn Middle East,particularly,Syria.

How real their migrant crisis is?

Experts project that nearly half a million migrant would arrive in the EU in the next 4/5 years.Half a million in the total population of 500 millions--far less than 1 percent of their population.They are expecting migrants accounting for far less than 1 percent of their total population. Even so,they are
shouting around that they are currently facing a crisis.The primne minister of Hungary said their Christian cultue is in real danger because of these migrants.

How about us?We have already been swamped by the migrants--they constitute nearly nearly half of our total population.

We ahve no choice but to continue pressing for the three bills to become laws while,at the same time,neutralizing the machinations of New Delhi in the hills.

How?

I can think of one way only.If New Delhi is willing to grant separate adminstrative machineries for the hillmen of Manipur,it would also consider giving the desired adminstrative systems for people represented by the Maoists.It would be ideal for us if we can make those people represented by the Maoist to rise up in protest movements as soon as New Delhi start making the hills of Manipur up in flames again.

I know it's easy theorizing in a blogpost.The hard part would be in making the ideal scenario coming out real in day to day life.

Are there any people or group of people who can make it happen?

If not,we are stuck in a long dark tunnel with no opening.



Friday, September 11, 2015

The one and the only correct path.

The one and only correct path available to Manipuri society in this crucial juncture is to boycott the visit of the Indo-Naga Peace Talk interlocutor,Mr RN Ravi--totally and equivocally.

Somebody can retort back like this--If some forms of interactions with Mr Ravi brings about the likelihood of the non-disturbance in the political boundary of Manipur,they are highly desirable things to undertake.

This line of deduction belies the inability to understand the metamorphosis wrought upon the soul of the Indo-Naga Peace Talk on the 3rd of August 2015.The Indo-Naga Peace Talk pre-August 3 and post-August 3 are already two and completely different things.It's really a matter of life or death for us to take note of the crucial changes taken place on the 3rd of August 2015.

Let's bulid up our arguments slowly.

Besides Nagaland,there are sizeable Naga populations in Manipur,Arunachal Pradesh and Burma.All of them have been clamouring for a peace accord with New Delhi since last several decades.Their movement for the demand of this peace accord is still a work-in-progress stuff,even though they have not been able to achieve it for such a long time.In such a work-in-progress movement,did anybody notice any remarkable development around the 3rd of August 2015?Any remarkable development in Nagaland?In Manipur?In Arunachal or Burma?

The answer is a big NO.Around 3rd of August 205 or to the run up to it,around the last part of July 2015,the Naga's work-in-progress movement is emphatically quite placid.

But bizarre it might sound,the hurried 'framework agreement' between the Government of India and NSCN(IM) did actually happened in New Delhi,in a ceremony attended by none other the vibrant,Mr Narendra Modi,the prime minister of India.

So,what can we deduct from the above premises?

The hurried 'framework agreement' of the 3rd August 2015 was solely dictated by factors not related with Nagas,Naga Society or Naga's movement.

As if to emphasize the mysterious factors behind the 'framework agreement',New Delhi is still keeping the contents of the agreement totally secret.Even when the Chief Minsiter of Manipur himself went to New Delhi to get some hints about the contents,he had to return empty-handed.Such a level of secrecy.

So,the Indo-Naga Peace Talk has metamorphosed itself into a mysterious entity,securely stationed inside a twilight zone.

Now,let's return to MrRN Ravi's Imphal visit.If we are in mood for some one-liners,it can be something like this--Mr Ravi's sole purpose of Imphal vist is to lead everybody concerned into this twilight zone.

Even a common man would not willingly associate himself with any entity which is mysterious,undefined,less so,he himself be allowed to be led inside a twilight zone,even though,the person who is leading there is being deputed from the place of high and mighty--New Delhi.

Now,let's move away from the common man and see how the political class Of Manipur should react to Mr Ravi's visit.

1)In my humble opinion,the political class of Manipur should not proclaimed itself to the whole world to be unbelievably naive by failing to note that the honourable Mr Ravi had managed to get himself descended on Imphal on the same day the Pakistani Maj Gen,heading the regional border force, arrived in New Delhi for talks with his Indian counterpart.We also should not also fail to note that the meeting materialized after the abandoning of the scheduled NSA level talks of the two countries.This tortured talk is also preceded by the public proclamation of the India's army chief that it should be readying for a short war as the India-Pakistan border has been so frequently becoming live.Sure enough,his Pakistani counterpart retaliated,in a public pronouncement,that they are more than ready for a war with India.To top it all,as the border para-military forces of the two countries were sitting down in New Delhi for official discussion,machine gun firing across their border is continuing abated.

So,what's the point of this meeting in New Delhi?Something stage managed solely for Mr Ravi's Imphal visit?

2)Even if it's stagemanaged,some players have no liking for it.As the Pakistan Maj Gen was crossing the India-Pakistan border  by road,Russian troops,all of a sudden,started combat operation in Syria.A combat operation by the Russian troops in the Middle East is a huge development.The war in Syria have already displaced half of 22 millions of its population,which,in part,results in huge influx of migrants to the middle of Europe.The Russian army combat operation there is sure to aggravate the already critical situation there and Europe.

After conidering all the above developments,this blogger humbly put forward his idea that the Indo-Naga Peace Talk has already become a Geo-Political weapon.New Delhi is readying itself to harness this weapon and Mr Ravi's Imphal visit is a part of this process.Anything less than boycotting the visit by Mr Ravi would tantamount to assisting New Delhi in sharpening this weapon.

Wednesday, August 26, 2015

A warning for Mr Narendra Modi

I think Mr Kiren Rijiju,the juniour home minister,was intructed to play games in the surcharged political situation in Manipur.

First,in his visit in Imphal during the recent floods and landslides,he told the media that the Manipur government has the legitimate right to pass laws to protect its indigenious people.He further told the media that the Union Government,if the need arises,is ready to work together with the state government.

But,after some weeks,he,during an official function in Guwahati, played around with the words,'President's Rule',while the Manipur Chief Minister was busy negotiating with the leaders of the agitators.

That prompted the Manipur Chief Minister to rush to New Delhi.What has transpired between Mr Rijiju and the Manipur Chief Minister in New Delhi?

We are not given the time to search for the answer for the above question.Today,the State Government announced that the three bills to protect its indigenous people will be passed by the State Legislative Assembly on the 31st of August 2015.The announcement came after the government accepted all the ten demands of the agitators.

Here we are talking about some ministers from New Delhi playing games in the internal politics of Manipur exactly because India's polity  is unitary.Noises about federalism are meant solely for propaganda purpose.

Here,again,we do not have enough time to go deeper into the matter,as we are overtaken by events around us.The person manning the unitary system in New Delhi has already got his home turf burning.Rigiht now,there is curfew and military patrolling in the state of Gujarat.

Is this a warning for Mr Narendra Modi?

Before answering this,we need to understand what's happening right now in Gujarat.The Patels want reservation.They want the OBC tag.But the Patels,though not an ethnic group,are landowners and traders.They do not form a marginalised group.Even a Patel is the incumbent Chief Minsiter of the state.So,why there is this present agitation by the Patels,which results in cuefew and military patrolling?

Exactly because India's polity is unitary.The Patels want more freebies from the masters in New Delhi.The Patels are not the only group who are clamouring for more freebies from the masters in New Delhi.The Chief Mnisters of major states like Bihar and Andhra Pradesh has already joined the fray.

In the days where there are nervous volatality in the stock markets of the world,it's most appropriate to ask this question:How would the masters in New Delhi get the freebies to be doled out to the increasing number of groups?Freebies doled out to the small ethnic groups in NE is quite manageable because the amount required is quite small.But managing freebies for large populations of likes of Gujarat,Bihar,Andhra Pradesh etc would prove to be a paradigm shift for the people manning the unitary set up in New Delhi.

It's a matter of simple economics to understand that New Delhi cannot continue printing money in the longer term.In the shorter term it can print more money and fuel more economic activities.The idea is to somehow put money in the hands of the vast rural population of India and make them buy up things.This would enable more factory activities,spurring more production and job creations.The example is the vast enterprise of handing out 'job cards' to the rural folks.

But there is one catch.While it's still possible to print more money,it's a must to build up durable infrastructures like roads,irrigation canals,schools and unversitry.But a society which have no qualm in killing girl child in the womb itself and forcing underaged girls into marriages won't be able to build up any of the above infrastures.So,while it's possible for India to print more money,it's totally critical to build up quality huamn capital as well.I think India's society have limited time to achieve this--but it would require unlimited amoount efficiendy in the system(like the one provided by the Communist Party of China).

But the likes of present agitations in Gujarat are the sure recipe for injecting massive inefficiecy in the system.So,what's the option available to the people manning the unitary set up in New Delhi?

1)They can say that they cannot afford the freebies to be doled out to the vast numbers of agitating groups.So,let's get rid of this unitary set up.

2)They can also say that they would continue to print more money to get more freebies so that they can lord over the present unitary set up.

Mr Narendra Modi would get the chance to show the world which option he chooses when the Manipur Legislative Assemby pass the three bills to protect the indigenous people of Manipur on the 31st August 2015.

If he chooese the options no 1,the three bills would become laws.

If he chooses the option no 2,the three bills would remain worthless papers.

But Mr Narendra Modi has already been warned by the present agitation in his home state of Gujarat that printing more money(thus, India becoming a pauper state) presents no smart choice for the vast ordinary people of India.

Monday, August 24, 2015

Today is a historic day

Sensex at the Bombay Srock Exchange crashed 1624 points.This is the 3rd largest single day loss in the whole life of the BSE.In a single day,the Exchange snubbed away Rs 7 lakh crores of investors' money.

Rs 7 lakh crore is a huge money,which can be so conveniently used for 'development'.What do you say,Dr Jitendra Singh?(my last post).

History was also made in New Delhi on the day sensex crashed 1624 points.The Prime Minister,the Home Minister and the Finance Minister  graced the same function in New Delhi today.The function was to release the commemorative coins to mark the year long 100th birthday celebration of Rani Gidinliu.Anybody can easily see that they were trying to send out a very significant message.(They,on purpose, timed the function just one day before the 'Consultation on the Indo-Naga Accord' in Dimapur--Showing us that they are actively aiming for turmoil in Manipur)

Has the stock crash  something to do with the message they are trying to send out?

Saturday, August 15, 2015

The expanding concentric circles of war

We need to look back at the month of June.

Several powerful persons met the press so that they got reported on the 12th of June 2015.

For example,Dr Jitndra Singh,Minister of State at the Prime Minister's Office was in Imphal and met the press on the 11th.Interestingly,the press briefing was also attended by Mr R N Ravi,GOI interlocutor of Naga talk.

On the same day,Mr Rahul Gandhi,Vice President,Indian National Congress,the main opposition party of India,also me the press in New Delhi.

The main theme of both the press meet was the much-hyped Indian special soldiers' attack on the rebel camps in retaliation to the 4th June rebel ambush in Chandel district,Manipur.Of course,we read the reports of both the press meet on the 12th June newspapers.We must note that Dr Jitendra Singh's press briefing was characterized by his insistence that instances like the Paraolon ambush hindered development.

So,what's on 12th June 2015?

The Shanghai Composite,the bellwether Chinese Stock index crashed more than 30%.It was indeed a surreal sell off in the premiere Chinese stock market.Here,we must note Dr Jitendra Singh's insistence on development angle.Is there any better way of hindering China's development than by making the Shanghai Composite by more than 30%?Dr Jitendra Singh's Imphal press briefing was to serve as a warning to China.

Now,let's go to the 2nd of July,2015.

On this day also,the Shanghai Composite,despite the active intervention by Chinese government agencies,crashed again.It was indeed an abnormal crash.

So,what's on the 2nd of July,2015?

It's definite--I don't like to say this.But I cannot shirk my responsibility away.

The day before,the 1st of July,there was this blogpost of mine.It was the first published study of the constituent within the US society which is rooting  for an administration,more or less,in line with the one provided by the Communist Party of China to the citizens of the People's Republic of China.

So,did I just say that the 2nd of July crash of the Shanghai Composite was in response to the blogpost of mine?Well,this question makes me laugh!I'm just a regular guy,trying to blog about the happenings in my surroundings.It's well nigh impossible for a blopost of mine to elicit such huge response.

So,what did I say then?

Something actually happened in South Carolina which gave out the first hints of the existence of the hard-to-believe constituent within the US.My blogpost simply connected the dots in a published format.So,on the 2nd of July,the US retaliated by rigging the Shanghai Composite Index.My blogpost was nowhere in the picture.

As I was reading the charts of various companies on the NSE,India,I read the news of the crashes of the Shanghai Composite Index,as they were happening.The normal reactions to the crashes were that they were abnormal.I also suspected that there were some others factors besides economics that caused the crashes.I felt in my bone that the US was rigging the Shanghai Composite to reveal the real face of the administration of the Communist Party of China in the realm of the economic affairs of the Chinese society.Actually,the crashed show the inexperience of the Chinese society in matters of the stock exchange.

But I could not find a pattern to justify my gut feelings.Gut feelings are just gut feelings.I cannot write of my gut feeling without some plausible patterns to back it up.

Suddenly,on the 11th of August,the all important pattern materialized when the Chinese central bank devalued the Yuan thrice in three successive days.It started on the 11th of August and continue upto 13th August.13th of August?Although the 13th of August is an important date for us,we must not be fooled into believing that the Yuan devaluation hinted at something by wrapping up the devaluation on it.What it intends to hint at is reserved for two days later--the15th of August 2015.As usual there is the shutdown called by the rebels.Besides this,the ultimatum set by the current agitators expires on this day.

As we are acknowledging the above hints,we must also take note that it was an amazing sight.There is nothing economics in the devaluations.It is more like a declaration of war.Just a day after it,there was these mammoth blasts in Tinjian,killing nearly 100 people and injuring more than 500.

1)The Chinese have taken 'revenge' of the successive rigging of the Shanghai Composite by triggering heavy sell offs in all the stock exchanges of the world.(But,not by 30%!That the Shanghai Composite crashed by as much as 30% is mainly because of the inexperience of Chinese authorities in handling matters of financial markets.I think it's only just a year back that the Shanghai Composite was opened up to the outside investors.Before that it was tightly control by the Chinese government authorities.On the flip side,the American regulators have this huge practical experiences gained in the constant battles to fend off talented people trying the game the financial markets in the US.In short,they have this huge know how to rig a stock exchanges).

2)The Chinese are challenging all the competing nations for a currency war.

So,the Paraolon ambush,a hard -to-believe constituent within the US society, the carnage in the Shanghai Composite Index and an open challenge for a currency war--what to make out of all these?

We are witnessing the expanding concentric circles of war from the epicentre.

Thursday, August 06, 2015

Where are our leaders?

A day after the former chief of Federal Investigative Agency revealed that 26/11 Bombay attackers were trained in Sindh,Pakistan,one Pakistani national,who,together with a colleague ambushed an Indian paramilitary convoy inside Kashmir,was caught alive.

What to make out of this?

In a single word--planned.The above events form a part of a carefully planned episode.

They are asking India--would you dare to have an active Western front?

They are so brazen as they know well that India cannot afford to have an active Western front at the moment.Why?Because they also know quite well that India's Eastern front is about to get active sooner than later.

Now,come to the epicenttre of India's Eastern front--Imphal.Imphal is now in tumult as its residents,together with the whole citizens of Manipur,come to their slow realization that they are being doomed with the silent influx of vast numbers of people of mainland India.They know that their society would become untenable withn decades,if the current influx is not checked.

As an intrument to check this influx they would most likely get an appropriate legislative tool.To my mind,the Manupr Legislative Assemby would soon approve the legislative bill.But for the bill to become a law,it would need the assent of either the Governor of Manipur or the President of India.Sadly,the dynamics of India's politics dictate that the all important assent won't be forthcoming.

In such a scenario,the whole populace of Manipur would slowly get mad waiting for the elusive assent to the bill.The ever active rebels of Manipur would seize the momemt realizing that they are most likely facing an inflection point in the historical journey of the Manipuri people.To get the line of the inflection point curving towards their point of view,they might present the Manipuri people with a military quagmire along the Manipur-Burma border.As the people is getting mad,questioning New Delhi's sincerity,the rebels might lead New Delhi's military into a quagmire.Such a quagmire would show,without any shred of doubt,the capability or the streght of New Delhi's military.

How would the people of Manipur react to such a quagmire?If New Delhi's military is pinned down in a quagmire,would the people of Manipur still continue to beg for the all important assent to their legislative bill?

I truthfully believe that this is one of the possible scenarios which are coming to our society in the next couple of months.

There is also one very possible scenario.To my mind,the descendents of Chanakya are actually aiming for this particular scenario.

Suppose New Delhi's military pretend to walk into the quagmire planned by the rebels of Manipur.This might possibly happen in New Lazang sector along Manipur-Burma border.This does not mean that they won't carry out their surgical strike along Moreh-Tamu sector(my next last post).It's reasonale to think that they would first carry out the surgical strike along Moreh-Tamu sector.The nature of the attack dictates that they would quickly wiihtdraw to their base in Moreh.Then,they would continue their regular attacks on rebel positions along New Lazang sector.

In this scenario,we can visualize regular fightings between New Delhi's military with one particular rebel group of Manipur.

This will put immense pressure on the remaining rebel groups to do something.If they don't come out with a plausible explanation to the people of Manipur about their responses to the newly developing scenario,it would be suicidal for them.

With the scar of the surgical strike still fresh, this moounting pressure to do something might prove to be too much for some rebel groups.They would have no choice but to go deeper inside  Burmese territory to set up their bases afresh.

If they choose this option,they are walking straight into a trap,so carefully laid by New Delhi.

With this option,they would come in direct contact with a particular ethnic group which is also in a dominant position along Southern moountain ranges of Manipur.Now,New Delhi would instigate the leaders of the ethnic group to carry out provocative actions against the Manipuri rebel groups.The provocations would be cunningly planned that the enraged cadres of the rebel groups within the territory of Manipur would be forced to attack the fellow ethnic members along the Southern mountain ranges of Manipur.

Actually,I think great geo-political forces are in active work to unobtrusively lead some rebel groups of Manipur to carry out ethnic cleansing along the Southern mountain ranges of Manipur.

It's very crucial moment in the history of Manipuri people.We are looking for a great leadership.

Where are our leaders?

Monday, July 20, 2015

Out of nowhere,'Lamyanba' comes to my mind.

Five bricklayers are erecting walls of my newly constructed house.I'm having full times in fulfilling their demands.This morning they wanted brush with iron bristle to clean the old surfaces of the walls.I went out and bought it.As I was returning,I thought of buying some bakery products as their refreshment in the afternoon.That would save me another trip to the bakery store.But I decided against that because I wanted to give them fresh arrival of today,which usually arrive at around noon.

I have already noticed that the stores were opening half-shuttered.I thought that they be fully opened by the time I went out again.

When I went out just after noon,I found all the stores completely shut!Something in the air told me there is vast change in the public's mood.

I had my dinner after giving tea to the bricklayers.Without even cleaning up my hands,I was just sitting there pondering over the present situation in Manipur.

Then,suddenly,out of nowhere,'Lamyamba' comes to my mind.The narrative that Tripuris have already been swamped by the outsiders and that same fate is awaiting us,Manipuri is the gift of 'Lamyamba' to the Manipuri Society.I'm talking about events decades back and 'Lamyanba',a Manipuri monthly was totally phenomenal.

I was still school-going at that time.I,with some my benchmates were thrilled by 'Lamyanba'.One particular story about Chanu Rose had a lasting impact on my psyche.I still clearly remember the power of that prose which told us the merciless story of the rape of a Tangkhul girl,Rose, by the high officer of the Indian army.That prose was mind-blowing.The Chanu Rose story was occassional.But the main plank of the 'Lamyanba' is,all throughout its life, that we are beinmg swamped by the large numbers of outsiders.

Still,we were the minority then.Anybody seen with a copy of 'Lamyanba' was viewed with suspicious glances.'Well-meaning' and 'conformist' sections of the society were reigning.

But,on this 20th of July,2015 I firmly believe that we are finally in the majority.The story of 'Lamyanba',so powerfully told decades back.have now percolated down to every stratum of the Manipuri society.As I am typing this post right now,the streets of Manipur are in upheaval.

The only voice of the 'well-meaning' and 'conformist' sections we heard today,on this 20th July 2015,is that of the good old souls of school teachers,who want to open their school.We know that their concerns for the academic calendars of the students are understandable.But the events unfolding right at the moment decisicely silence their well-meaning voice.

So,what's the road ahead?

1)All the societies south of Vindhya have the same feeling as the Manipuri society.They have the unbearable burden of the continous influx of 'North Indians'.Any Bill coming out of Manipur that have the minimal chance of regulating migrant workers(Noth Indian to them) would be so keenly studied by all these societies.In that sense,any Bill from Manipur would have the effect of opening up of the proverbial Pandora's Box for the Indian State.So,any Bill passed by the Manipur State Assembly have the zero chance of getting assent either from the Governor or the President of India.

2)The story of the face of the resurgent Indian nationalism--Mr Narendra Modi.Everywhere he goes,he has exhibited this unconcealed glee of finding such large number of Indian Diaspora.To them,they are the Diapora but to us,they are the 'influx' that is swamping us.A very powerful section within the Indian society,personafied by Mr Narendra Modi,is celebrating (so,encouraging) this 'influx'.Besides the technicalities of the Constitution of the Indian Union,this powerful section within the Indian society would never let any Bill out of Manipur see the light of the day.

So,we are heading for a clash.

I think this would be an epochal clash.

Thursday, July 16, 2015

The penultimate month

The NATO is going for a month long military exercise ending on the 3rd of November 2015.It's the biggest since 2002,involving 36,000 soldiers.It sure breaks a pattern in that it's happening after more than a decade.

We should note that the NATO is the military face of the West.

While the West is beating the war drums,its ally,India is,in a 'peaceful' mode, showing us where the actual battleground would be.New Delhi is hosting the Joint Co-ordination Council meeting with Burma.

November also hosts one of the biggest festivals of Manipur.It began as an ethnic specific festival.But,in due of course of time,almost all the ethnic groups of Manipur emotionally embrace it.It serves as one the newest symbols of ethnic friendship of the state of Manipur.

The festival shows off one of its grandest faces in the border town of Moreh.A large numbers of revellers from different parts of Manipur would start arriving there for the festival.The border town would be in its festive best.

If anybody,reveller or otherwise,goes as far as Moreh,he won't return home without visiting the Burmese town of Tamu.

Tamu is the catchword.

The exact spot of the battleground inside Burma would be Tamu.

Right now,all the indications points to the possibility of a 'battleground Tamu' during the above festival.

Amonsgt the hordes of revellers arriving in Moreh for the festival,there might be a few select special operations soldiers from the Indian Army.All of them would be Manipur residents,carrying indenity proofs,like voter identity cards.They would easily mingle with the crowd.As usual practice,they would travel to Tamu.

In Tamu there would be agents who would supply them the required arms and explosive.As the winter is setting in they would be in an assortment of clothings that would facilitate the concealment of the arms and ammunitions.

I think they would attempt an attack at a single base camp of Manipuri rebels in Tamu.They would attempt a surprsie and surgical strike at the particular camp.

It's a common public knowledge in Manipur that its rebels are camping in Tamu area.Besides that,the Indian military itself acknowledge,during the 'trial balloon' of the cross border raid last month,that the rear section s of the various base camps of the rebels fall in the area of Tamu.Only a few days back,India's home minister in Guwahati told an important meeting that 10 kms wide area from the border is being ruled by the rebels,hinting at the existence of the rebel camps.

They are planning to convert the festival serving as the newest symbol of ethnic friendship into a bloodshed day.

Saturday, July 11, 2015

I wish I was wrong.

Life under curfew is dreary and I'm almost forcing myself to note down the following events:

1) Today,India's Prime Minister is in Turkmenistan.

2) Today,we read about the FBI director meeting reporters at the Agency headquarters.It was really unusual in that the director was uncharacterictically docile.That can be taken as a cue to look for meaning of the unspoken words of the director.The meeting with the reporters was to hint at the oppressed and exploited constituent within the American society,which,for purely tactical reason,had to briefly don the garb of White supremist(my next to last post).

3)Today also,we read about the official taking down of the Confederate flag from South Carolina's Legislature complex,which also hinted at the above constitutuent.

If we re-read the first point together with the second and the third points,it surely takes an altogether deeper meanings.The Uighurs in China's Xinjiang want to call their homeland as East Turkmenistan and to have it secceeded from China.

Now,what particular meaning can we deduct if we read together all the above three events?

The answer:They are retaliating!

For someone living in Imphal it's clear that the only episode for which a retaliatory action has been overdue is the 4th of June ambush in Chandel!!

So,here we are.The US and India are jointly planning a retaliatory move to the 4th of June ambush in Chandel district of Manipur.But,what's the big deal in finding out this meaning? It's fairly a commonplace knowledge to understand that Laukkaing was answered in Chandel and now,it's India's turn to answer to Chandel.

Well,the saddest part is that they are making us to specifically find out this answer on an eleventh of July.On the fateful 11th of July 1995,in Srebenica,Serbs fighters massacred 7000 Muslims.

This shows us that the joint India-US answer to Chandel is most likely to have a component of engineering an ethnic bloodbath inside the territory of Manipur.

I wish I was wrong.

Tuesday, July 07, 2015

A military strategy report and a riddle.

The US has released the 'National Military Strategy' report 2015.

The report said that the chances of war with a state is 'low but growing'.

To see how the US is sizing up the other nations,I'll quote the following from page 9 of the report:

"We will strengthen our alliances with Australia, Japan, the Republic of Korea, the Philippines,and Thailand. We also will deepen our security relationship with India and build upon ourpartnerships with New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Vietnam, and Bangladesh."

It's significant that India is being dealt as a stand-alone case.

Pakistan is being clubbed with the nations of the Middle East.It's a surprise.See the following quote from the same page.

"In the Middle East, we remain fully committed to Israel’s security and Qualitative Military Edge. We also are helping other vital partners in that region increase their defenses,including Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain, UAE, Egypt, and Pakistan."

Of course,they are all for the guaranteeing of Israel's security.As someone observing it from an obscure place like Imphal,it's maddeningly confusing to see why the US is so intent to guarantee the security of Israel in defiance of the vast majority of the nations of the Middle East.Is it because the West(which includes the US) borrows a 'story' from Israel?(The Bible,essentially,is an Israeli folk tale).Are they in a perennial payback mode?

As expected,China is being sized up as the main rival.

Having observed all these feature,what makes this year's report stand out is yet to be mentioned.To my mind,it's all to do with the deployment of the term 'Revisionist States".I'ts remakable that the term occurs only once in the whole of the 17 page report.And,there is absolutely no effort to explain it from the context of Pentagons's scheme of things.It's more like the State Department speaking through the Pentagon.

I bet they are putting the term into the report as some kind of a riddle,nay,an Oriental riddle!So far,we come to know of the existence of the battleline and make the discovery of the one constituent within the US society(my last post) in as fine  and as mysterious ways as one negotiates an Oriental riddle.So,the US is saying--'A riddle for a riddle'!

I also think they are using the term 'revisionist states' in the context of the Cold War.It was the decisive defeat of the CPSU and the Soviet Union.In that sense,the entities like the Communist Party of China(CPC) are anachronisms themselves in today's world.

But they are missing out on one simple but important point.CPC embraced pragmatism on line with the famous dictum--"It does not matter whether the cat is balck or white as long as it catches mice".So, the CPC is comfortably co-habiting with ever increasing nunbers of billionaires.This also means the Chinese society,under the leadership of CPC,is also begining to produce world-class corporations and brands.

Now,it's the turn of the US(the victor of the Cold War) to embrace pragmatism to make the lives of the 99% of the population easier.It's the matter of straight forward existential fact that 1% of the US population has amassed more wealth than the remaining 99% and it's getting richer by the day.The remaining 99% is facing more and more problem in keeping intact its present standard of living.

Everybody knows that they have high ideals like universal franchise,freedom of speech,human rights protection etc.But 99% of the population needs much more than these high ideals.The sheer conditions of human living demand that the 99% is more focused on the bread and butter business.It will be really heartwarming if the 99% have practical access to the opportunities to their bread and butter business while still living in a society which have those high ideals.It's really unfortunate to see that the movements like the 'occupy Wall Street' seem to hint that this 'heartwarming scenario' is indeed facing problems.It's in such a crucial time that the world is watching how the US would embrace pragmatism(like the CPC) to make sure the 'heartwarming scenario' is indeed possible and sustainable within the geographical boundary of the US.

If they take it too long to do so,the 99% would start openly saying that the CPC is much more pragmatic.

The full copy of the report is here.

Wednesday, July 01, 2015

Two constituents--Discovered at the same time, in two different continents.

This morning,I stumbled upon this Twitter thread(#WhoIsBurningBlackChurches). Initially,it disturbed me greatly because it all began on the 23rd of June 15,just a day after my last post.Is this just a case of mere coincidence?

As I sat,after publishing my last post,in front of my computer,a thought started to creep into my head.Is there an 'anti-Pakhangba constituent' within our society?Here,I would like to remind myself that I talked,in my last post, about Poireiton being 'anti-Pakhangba'.

The thought came into my mind ,lingered there some minutes and,then,went away.Then,I carried on with my normal chores of daily grind.

But,after some days,it came back to my mind again.For the last sevreal days now,I have been literally playing hide and seek with the thought.

But,this morning,some sort of eureka moment happened to me.I was reading the Twitter thread.Naturally,many questions came up.Why did the church shooting in South Carolina happen on the 18th of June(my last post)?Now,why did the church burning spree suddenly started just one day after my last post?The questions greatly disturbed me.But,as it was,I moved on to the news of the Indonesian military plane crash,killing more than 140 people.

Indonesia? Something flashed in my mind.It's the only South East Asian nation which brought,some months back,its special operations soldiers to Vairengte military facility in Mizoram,for joint exercise with its Indian counterpart.

Immediately,that forms a pattern spanning two continents.

My mind was stunned by this dramatic quetion--

Does the USA have a constituent within its society which is willing to fight for a system more akin to the Chinese form of governance?

Immediately,the imageries of the 'occupy Wall Street' agitations flashed back in my mind.Those agitations might have been the first manisfestation of this constituent within the US society.

But,now,why should it smeared itself with the taints ofchurch mayhems,which are clearly related with White Supremism?

The answer lies in the rise of the Hindu Spuremism in our part of the world.The constituent within the US wants to highligh to the world ever-louder war drums of the Hindu Supremism and Nazism.Why?It should be easy to note that it would face hard times to make itself grown up into something capable of tilting the scale in its favor,given that it has to work under constant surveilance of super-efficient agencies,like the FBI and NSA.So,it would need all the help from outside.

Would that help be forthcoming depends upon the outcome of the fight against Hindu Supremism and Nazism here in our part of the world.

Now,coming to my point,the stunning discovery of this constituent within the US society have propelled me towards the confirmation of the more or less equally dramatic thought lingering in my mind for the last several days--Yes!We do have the 'anti-Pakhangba constituent' within our society.It's a very vibrant constituent,right at the moment.

I'm super-excited at the discovery of this new and surprising constituent within our own society.From my college days,I've been tormented with these questions--

1)Why should we have such a large numbers of organizations with the same aims and objectives?

2)Why should any promising organization gets itself splitted into several factions so regualrly?

Now,with the discovery of the 'anti-Pakhangba constituent' within our society,these questions which have been tormenting me for such a long time, might be answered so beautifully.

The sizable numbers of the activists and volunteers grow up nurtuerd by this 'anti-Pakhangba constituent'.When they join any organization(be it political,social or whatever) they would silently sabotage any move or program which has the promises to blossom into something useful.Those silent acts of sabotage would grow up into full-scale splits of the parent organization into several factions.

Monday, June 22, 2015

The 18th of June and the ceasefire mode.

At the very outset,I'm pleased to statethat this 15th June is the 800th anniversary of Magna Carta.It punctured the theory of the Divine Right of the king.In that sense,it's the harbinger of democracy,as we know it today.

But,in today's world,is democracy the legitimate target of attacks(just like the Taliban did today in Kabul)?

Specifically,in our case,would democracy solve the problem underlying 18th June?

Incidentally,on the 18th June 2015,the Hong Kong legislative body voted down the Chinese model of democratic election prescribed for Hong Kongers.In other words,they said that the Western-style democracy would prevail over the Chinese model in the long run.

Again,on the 18th June 2015,there was a bloody shooting inside the historic church in South Carolina,snuffing out nine innocent black lives.The shooting emphatically reminded us the wounds of the tight tussle between those people espousing the idea of federation and those of confederation.I'll be quick to clarify that confederation based on the idea of slavery is totally unacceptable.But the tussle between decentralisation(confederation) and centralisation(federation) is still relevant today.

I've no idea why the above two events happened on the same day which is the soul crushing one for us ie,the 18th of June.But every newspaper reader knows that they actually did happen on that day.Did they serve as the fodder for thought for us here in Manipur?

The 18th of June,for the Manipuris,essentially boils down to the intricacies of the hill-valley relationship.For many decades,we have a more or less working federal setup.But hill-valley problems remain as strong as ever.So,would a more de-centralized confederation system be the answer?

Together with this federal system,we have also electoral democracy rooted in both the societies of both the hill and the valley.But this also not solve our problem.

But one thing is beyond controversy.Hill-valley relationship of Manipur is as intricate and old as the polemics of federation vs confederation  and Western-style democracy vs pro-poor syatem,like that of China.

I know it's laughable to even think of attempting to sketch a simple profile of hill-valley problem of Manipur in a single blog post.It's a soul-crushing probelm for Manipur.

But bloggers are a new breed of people!So,I would try it anyway!!

To my mind,hill-valley relationship of Manipur essentailly boils down to the game of 'fair competition and mutual respect' between the people of hill and valley.Any political system that enables the free play of this game would be suitable for us.

Putting our problem in the canvas of 'fair competition and mutual respect' game,this blogger,being born in the valley,would try to answer the crucial question: what had happened to the valley society which disables it to fully and truthfully engage in the game?

Whenever I ask this question,I perenially come to face to face with one single person--Poireiton.The trouble of Manipuri society has its genesis in the person of Poireiton.It's not about race--it does not matter whether he came from the East or the West.

What is of utmost importance now--in the context of the general development of social history of Manipur,Pireiton is the first challenge.

In the context of real-politic,he is anti-Pakhangba.

It's not from history book but I think it would not be any controversial to state that prior to 33 AD,the administration of State,being of homogenous and small population,was almost a flawless affair.This being so,Pakhangba decided to bestow some of the benefits of this flawless state administration model to the less fortunate folks(like Poireiton).

It may be taken as the first attempt to make the society heterogenous.As expected,Pakhangbe encountered problem at the very outset in the person of Poireiton.We know that Pakhangba might have tried to porttray himself as some kind of a divinity to bestow the fruits of the good state adminstration to numerous groups of people--Poireiton's group being just one of them.It's clear that it was smooth sailing with all other groups,except that of Poireiton's.

There is still a lot of controversy regarding what actaully transpired beween Pakhangba and Poireiton.

But two non-conttroversial facts stand out.

1) Pakhangba not only married Poireiton's sister but also installed her as the queen.This shows the immensity of the challenge posed by Poireiton to Pakahngba in particular and to the regning political system in general.This also points to the likely scenario that it was not the case of the outright subjugation of Poireiton.It is more of a case of uneasy ceasefire.

2) This point  seems to be further consolidated by the second fact that Poireiton and his group came with comparably sophisticated culture,as shown by the cullinary surprises experienced by Pakhangba and his ruling class(as is evident in the transcription of Poireiton's name in some forms of rice which are still considered to be delicacies).The clash of two comparably sophisticated culture points to the existence of an uneasy ceasefire.

Seen in this light,we are still living with the longest ever ongoing ceasefire in human history.No neighbouring community(be it of hill or whatever)would ever respect a society which has been under a choking ceasefire for a such a long time.In other words,we still cannot command the respects of the neighbouring communities for this reason.

The first and foremost condition which we need to meet so as to tackle the problems like that of the 18th June is quite simple--walking out of the choking and debilitating ceasefire.

We need to quickly walk out this of ceasefire mode.

Saturday, June 13, 2015

The deception game reveals the coming retaliatory move.

'Look,how magnificient my trial balloon is',said India's military.

The Indian media men of all hues,standing thousand of miles away,clapped,cheered and said,'Bravo,bravo'.

It totally alarms me in seeing how the whole body of Indian media,cuting across the imaginable tags of regional,national,pro and anti-goverment,suddenly became the mouthpiece of the military.I don't think it's the case of lack of will or professional ethics to fact check the Indian military's story.

To my mind,it goes way deeper than that.Delh's political class,together with the military,have a quite talk with all the media houses and then,they formed a 'team' for a brief collaborative effort in national interest.That's the reason why we saw total unanimity in cheering the Indian military's story and a zero effort at fact checking.Imagine how two most unlikely agencies,media and military,forming a team,however brief it may.It's totally alarming.It's the most dangerous place we are living in.

If they can go this far,the inevitable question comes to the fore--'Is the Indian military's story merely a trial balloon?'.

It's more than a trial baloon.It's a multi-layered deception play.

As the Indian military's story is in retaliation to the June 4 ambush in Chandel(my last post),we need to ask how that ambush came about.

That ambush is the retaliatory move to the killing of more than 40 Burmese soldiers in Laukkaing,bordering Yunnan province of China.

If we go a little bit further,it's quite clear that the Laukaing ambush is yet another retaliatroty move to the public announcement of the battleline,way back in Nov 2014.

Again,if we look at the anatomy of the above moves and countermoves,it's quite reasonable to infer that India would rather cut a sorry figure amonst the comity of nations if it jumps headlong into the loop of these moves and countermoves.But it must be noted here that India is the sole architech of this anatomy.This own deed of India now prevents it from jumping headlong into the loop,even if it desires so.Looking from this angle the June 9 story is proving something more than a mere trial baloon.So,what's the options available to it?To my mind,the only option available to it is to persuade some rebels groups of Manipur to strike at the eco-system wherethe Khaplang group is an important player.But the Khaplang group itself would not be the target because doing so would not make New Delhi's point.

New Delhi's point or the doctrine behind the coming retaliation is to make as muuch as trouble to Burma as during the Laukkaing ambush(subjecting China to such trouble would come at a later stage,possibly with the active participation of US).So,the coming retaliation would happen somewhere inside Burma.

All the above deductions tell us that there would be radical churns withn the myriad rebel groups of Manipur vis a vis their inter-group relationship.With the whole weight of the Indian State bearing on the effort to persuade some rebel groups to make the retaliatory move on its behalf,the inter-group relationshjp amonst the rebel groups of Manipur would witness a sea change.

To my mind,many rebel groups,without even the persuasion from India,would secretly help the groups(which are New Delhi's choices) in making the retaliatory strke in the near future.A lot of radical changes are coming our way.

Thursday, June 04, 2015

The 4th of June--patterns and memories

When more than 40 Burmese army were killed,the result was border tension between China and Burma.

Now,China started a live ammunition military drill near Burmese border(rmeinding us that the border is still tense) and then,suddenly,17 Indian armymen were killed and more 16 injured in an ambush in Chandel district.

I'm more interested in the emerging pattern than the comparative statement of the casualities of the two attacks.

The pattern does not stop here.

When the Burmese soldiers were killed,Mr Rajnath Singh was in Imphal on an official visit.

When the Indian soldiers were killed today,Mr Ashton Carter,the US defence secretary,is still in New Delhi on an official visit.

Looking back,it's clear that it takes 130  days to discern the pattern emerging out of the two ambushes.The pattern makers in the first ambush are Burmese army,ethnic Chinese and one Indian Dignitary,Mr Rajnath Singh.And,today's pattern makers are Indian army,Chinese army(in the form of live ammunittion drill) and one US dignitaty,Mr Ashton Carter.

In our scheme of things,the first two pattern makers of the ambushes may be considered to be the constants.So,the two variables are Mr Rajnath Singh and Mr Ashton Carter.If we look back,it would be clear that Mr Rajnath Singh brought the news of the ambush here at Imphal.Looking at today's ambush with the same logic but traversing in the opposite direction,could it be inferred that Mr Carter is being asked to bring further 'patterns' in the near future?

Would Mr Carter accept the challenge?

The last but not the least.I would be acused of being wifully overlooking the significance of the day the Mnipur ambush ttok place.Today is 4th of June which coomemorates the culmination of the students protest in Tiannemain Square.Is there any pattern out of the Tiannemian Square bloodshed and today's ambush?

This is a profound question and I have not the time to read up further into the Tiannemian Square students protest.So,I'll try my best by depending on my memories.

Was Hua Gua Feng accused of being a revisionist?Was the huge blood shed at the Tiannemian Square a result of steady creeping in of revisionist thoughts within the revolutionary cadres of China?

As far as my memories go,the word 'revisionsm' seems to be the main theme of the 4th of June blood shed in the Tiannemian Squeare.Gooing with this logic,does today's ambush trying to hint at the emegence of revisionist thought amongst the revolutionay cadres of Manipur?

I have no means of answering this question because I can only utilize the information culled from the newsreports.Would Manipur's newspapers ever talk about the terms like 'revisionsm?

Knowing my own limitatioms,I think I have tried my best.

Wednesday, May 27, 2015

4 armymen for every 2 rebels killed?

Today's newspaper report proves beyond any doubt the existence of the shrouded,yet increasingly discernible,battleplan,as mentioned in the beginning of my next to last post.

The shooting down of the two rebels precisely at the right moment(when we were observing the general strike,as detaled in my last post) was possible only because of the grasstroot level intel provided by the villagers.Those villagers,together with the ones who 'unintentionally' killed the two labourers(next to last post),are being projected to have formed the backbone of the battleplan.

The story,so far,goes according to the script.

The script gets skewed when the rebel group waited till this morning to announce that those two killed were their cadres.

Why did they choose to announce it after a gap of four days?

Did they wait for the news of the shooting down of four armymen in Kashmir(25th May) getting splashed all over the media?

If that's the script,is it the case of 4 armymen for every 2 rebels killed?

Friday, May 22, 2015

Soul grab,then,land grab.

We are observing a general strike to protest the land grab at the Northen point of our State.

I think it's a must to put on record the following points in the context of today's general strike.

1) In the run up to this general strike,ISIS,in a surprsie move,executed some brilliant 'land grabs'.It has already tightened its grip on the city of Ramadi.Then,it,again,is taking control of the ancient town og Palmyra in Syria.With this,they are already in control of nearly half of Syria.

2) The US,all of a sudden,think it appropriate to fly a Navy's Poseidon recon plane ovet the Chinese-controlled Spratley islands in South China sea.The main theme of this US action is to accuse China of 'land grab'in South China sea.

Putting on records these points makes us to grasp that the land-grabbing exercise at the Northen point of Manipur is not just a simple matter.It does have significant international repersursions.More than that,it also brings forth the glimpse of the coming of the broad anti-West coalition,foring an arch from Iraq,Syria,Russia and the South China sea.

Then,coming nearer home,why a tiny populace,like us,would have any interest in the this momentous anti-West coalition?The answer lies in the fact that the West,in its own interest,wants the status quo to remain intact in this part of the world.To attain this objective,they are aligning with India.But we do not want the status quo to continue--we want change.Unless we actively take part in the working of this anti-West coalition,we cannot entertain any hope to bring the make or break change in our polity,in our society and in our lifestyle.

Having considered all these points,it's now crystal clear that the latest land grab was initiated by those groups who are ranging against this anti-West coalition.They are the Dark Side,people who do not like changes.We must also carefully take note of the timing of the latest provocation.To my mind,they are building up for something big to happen at around 10th of June 2015.I think I don't need to repeat what 10th of June is.

The driving force behind the Dark Side is the ancient civilization which excel in soul grabbing.When your soul is being grabbed at,you become a zombie.You are controlled by a soft power,a formless,ethereal and unobtrusive thingie.Coming from such a foe,you know that you are under attack but you are confused about where the attack originates.For example,in today's context,the following questions are really crucial--

1) Are the Mao commmunity,which give the call for today's general strike,our real friends?

2) Are the Angamis,who physically started the land grab,our real enemy?

3) Does a force instigate the Angamis to initiate the land grab?

4) Does the same force coax the Maos to give the call for today's general strike?

All these point to the fact that when you want to retaliate you don't know where to aim your counter-attack.Your foe is a soft power--a formless,ethereal and unobtrusive thingie.

We do have a formidible foe,who,for sure,needs to be defeated.

Thursday, May 14, 2015

Modi ie RSS wants 'soul grabbing' for Akhand Bharat(just like the ISIS for their Caliphate)

They cold-bloodedly killed the two innocent men and then,said they 'unintentionally'killed them!

Just as the cold-blooded killings were made to happen on the eve of Modi's china visit,it's to be forcefully inferred to as a 'deceitful' part of the ongoing battleplan of India.Just as Narendra Modi starts his China visit,their 'deceitful'battleplan truly succeeded in showing us the initial glipmse of the scale of unrest that would descend on the tiny state of Manipur.

Now,come to Karachi.There,ISIS also cold-bloodedly massacred more than 40 innocent lives and I,for one,want to express my heartfelt sorrow for the huge bloodletting.

But they are,at the least,not being deceitful.They are opening claiming that they are responsible for the huge bloodletting.

I have no inetention of rationalizing the idea behind the ISIS.But,at the same time,there is no point in wishing away the ISIS by expressing occassional outrages at their bloodletting.As something that's happening around us,it would be wise for us to make sense what they are and what they are upto.

In the Calipjate,the Koran is the sole law.And,in the Koran,Shia is the blasphemy itself and it sanctions to annihilate all things blasphemous.In ISIS Caliphate,they are executing what have been sanctioned in the Koran lock,stock and barrel.The Koran sanctions executions and so, there are continual executions inside ISIS Caliphatte.(I,for one,never ever watch an execution video of the ISIS because it would be too distasteful for me).Christians are permissible,albeit with a tax.They
are expanding the Caliphate in preparation for the final battle where the Anti-Messiah would be slain,in a battlefield that would take place in,of all places,Jerusalem.

For this preparation of the final battle,ISIS demands full and unconditional allegiance of all the Muslims of the world.

In other words,what the ISIS is doing is the massive 'soul grabbing'exercise for this final battle.

Now, the theme of Narendra Modi's China visit is 'Asia for Buddha'.In other words,Modi,just like the ISIS,wants a watered down 'Caliphate'--the 'Greater India'--where Budhism is the unquestioned law,if not the sole one,like in ISIS Caliphate.

To this,add the RSS idea of Akhand Bharat.The RSS wants the whole of Pakistan,Afghanistan,Nepal,Tibet etc to be merged with the Indian Union.This super India is what they call the Akhand Bharat.

In other words,the RSS is doing a massive 'soul grabbing' exercise for their watered down 'Caliphate'.

So,what's the difference between the RSS and the ISIS? Why we continually express this monstrous abhorence for the ISIS? Why we are taking the RSS as more or less acceptable?Why?

The only difference I can see is that massive bloodletting and cruelty of abnormal kind are associated with the ISIS whereas the RSS is deemed to be meekly.

But this 'meekly' Modi is dreaming of grabbing the soul of whole of China by using the Buddha.

Saturday, May 09, 2015

Feudalism and liberation--their endless antagonism

When I read this story,an inner voice immediately told me that the CPI(Maoist)is about to embark on the next phase of their struggle.

Sure enough,the RSS men retaliated really fast.Today,Narendra Modi(whom the RSS chief,Mr Mohan Bhagwat,publicly annuonced in Imphal as a RSS man) announced a Rs 24,000 crore steel plant,which will create 10,000 jobs.Mr Modi made this announcement at Dantewada.

Of coourse,we should not fail to note that all these are happening just a few days before the office of the prime ministershuip of the Indian state is about to get a first hand feel of the place where Maoism was born.

I'm not an expert in this field but I have this strong feeling that the RSS is the true heir to the progenitors of the caste system,which is nazism in its true form.

At the time of the formation of the caste system,peopl emaight have looked at the progenitors and exclaimed--'Look,how fair they are!'.It's not rocket science to presume that the lightness of skin colour might be a strong positive at that time.'And the elucidation!See how they have answers for any question!!'Again.it's not rocket science to presume that all the people at that time were mesmerised by the endless arrays of ideas and stories enshrined in the Vedas,Upanishads and puranas.

So,the people at that time were not given the chance to make choice on the fairness or unfairness of the idea of caste system.Astonistingly,they were totally bewitched by the simple exhibition of the appearance and capability of the progenitors.

Just like this,the RSS is bewitching the people of India right at the moment.People look at the people manning the RSS and exclaimed--'See the spartan way they are living their lives! How disciplined they are!!'Instead of debating the idea behind the RSS the Indian people,at this century,seemed to be totally bewitched by the simple exhibition of the appearance and capabitlity of the people who manage the RSS.

But there is one crucial difference now.

Another group of people who are quitely building up their strenght by living their lives as spartan and as discipliined as that of the RSS are about to present a choice to the people of India.They would be saying--'Make a choice between what we are offering and the offering made by the RSS'.

The CPI(Maoist) will be offering the true liberation of the Indian people by decisively destroying the feudal ideas and institutions.For this purpose they are being guided by Maoism,which,at least,in China was wildly successful in decisively uprooting the feudal ideas and institution.

And,the offering by the RSS?

Hindu Supremism,which is the extreme form of Nazism(which,in turn,can only flourish in that field nourished by feudal ideas and norms).

Monday, April 13, 2015

Under cyberattacks(updated)

Why there is this sudden buzz about cyberattacks?

And why should I received two surprising SMSes all of a sudden?

The said SMSes were received from a Hyderabad company offering online trading of stocks.I did actually received the first SMS yesterday evening(imagine how the company executives are being energized to work late into a Sunday evening)!

The SMSes told me that it is NOW okay to trade by using their browser-based tool.The key word is NOW because it has not been okay since many months.

For many months now I have been under a constant cyber attacks.

1) First,I was blocked from logging into their trading console.This console is company-issued software which we need to download and install into our computers.Immediately I shot off an email detailing my problem.No response,which,in itself,is a surprise because this particular email id is a very privileged one,specifically supplied to registered users only.As such,we always received a very prompt responses.

2) Then,I tried their browser-based tool.It worked for some days.Then,I was blocked again there as well.This time I was genuinely surprised.Did they achieve the blockade by utilizing my specific ip address?Did they actually keep track of the ip addresses assigned to me?After some initial confusion,I began to reason that they might have block off all of the ip addresses originating from Manipur.It's because users from Manipur have been deserting the company because of a tax problem and I might be one of the last very few users left.

It's to be noted here that I can still log into their browser-based tool but the live streaming part of the tool does not work.And I need the live streaming part the most.In case of their console,once I got logged into it,there might not be ways to deny the live streaming part and so,I was blocked off completely.

I think trading in stock is everything to do with pattern reading.And I genuinely think that I manage to find out some consistent patterns by using their console,that too by working on it for some three/four years,during which,I must hasten to note,I did incur considerable losses.Just when I was beginning to give final touches to my patterns,they did block me off.That destroys my four years of hard work.

Why should I meekly give in to a publicly traded company's wicked whim?

Military Intelligence.That's the reason.I genuinely suspect that the Military Intelligence quietly talk to the Hyderabad company and started all these cyberattacks.If the second largest military of the world decides to inflict cyber attacks to a poor blogger,what options would he get,in the first place?

So,I opted for practicability.I immediately jumped to the browser-based charts.

My first strategy was to get first initial patterns from their console and then,get themselves again tested in the browser-based charts.Now,I have no option but to solely depend on browser-based charts.(I have software when paired with subscription data delivers really live feeds and charts but browsers are getting better and better--to the point where we can use it for actual trade,especially,in case of NSE feed).

Would India'a military try to deny me the charts supplied by the likes of Google and Yahoo?.I think they have already got the tools to do it.That they so accurately track my ip addresses means that they have already thoroughly hacked my computer.I have a commercially available anti-virus and internet security software installed but it's almost certain that it cannot fend off a military grade attack.

As long as I manage to get the charts I will continue my works.When they start to stand between the charts and me,I would think of options available to me all over again.


UPDATE
18-04-15(8 pm)

As soon as Barack Obama penned an a piece on TIME singing paean to Narendrra Modi,a pro-Russian journalist was shot dead in Ukraine.They are saying--'We also target journalist,if our national interest demand it'.

Then,300 US paratroopers descended on Ukraine,ostensibly for training purpose.

Here,we have to note that Ukraine and Burma are unexpectedly fast becoming the frontline of the great two forces slowly gathering along the battleline.

From the frontline to the place where there is the centre of gravity--that link,right now,is a bit hazy and that's the reason why they need a person like Mr Amit Shah to give a hint to it.The opposing party know this and that's why Amit Shah's chopper acted funny at the last moment,just  like the Airforce One did in Germany during Narendra Modi's just concluded visit.(They said it was the bad weather which compelled Amit Shah to cancel his chopper ride and to opt for arduos road journey to
Imphal.Today's Imphal weather,which can be generally taken as a relaible barometer of what might be there at Kohima,is not that bad that would warrant a cancellation of a chopper flight).

So,Mr Amit Shah's hastily announced Imphal visit is meant to convey the message that what has been happening in the last few days in Ukraine is actually meant for the Manipuri rebels.

That there was a shooting down of a journalist might imply that the cyberattacks on this blogger is already becoming a big issue,which I don't have much liking for.I prefer to be left alone to enable me to do what I enjoy most--finding trends and patterns.So,I won't dwell much on this part.

The next part,of course,is the arrival of US paratroopers.

If we look back at the important military operations against the Manipuri rebels we would realize that the para regimens had always serve as the hard cutting edge of the attacks.The other troopers,such as the Assam Rifles,serve as the roles of those doing what they call the area domination.

That they have brought the US paratroopers in Ukraine might imply that the Indian para regimens might have been readying themselves for actions against the Manipuri rebels.

So,we might hear some big news soon.

How soon?

Here,we have to take note of another hurriedly annoounced visit--that of Chinese president,Mr Xi Jinping.

So,we might hear the big news during Xi visit(of Indonesia and pakistan) which he is begining on 20th April 15.

Monday, April 06, 2015

Brand-new plane accidents on the way(updated)?

India's prime minister is beginning a three nations official starting 8th of Aprl.The three nations are Canada,France and Germany.

Is this the case me imagining things?All the above three nations were very recently linked up by plane accidents.

First the Germanwings plane was crashed in the France Alps.Sure enough,that plane crash is still buliding up to be one of great mysteries of the aviation history.

Another Air Canada plane had had a miraculous escape in UK.

Just today,a Malaysian chopper crashed,killing a very close official of the Malaysian prime minister.The said official also happened to be the past ambassador to US.

I have this strong hunch that this chopper crash is meant to serve as a bridge between the above two plane accidents and the flight MH 370,the greatest ever mystery of the aviation accidents(engineered by India).All these are happening during the weeks as they are slowly marching towards the 8th of April,when Inida's prime minister starts the said three nations tour.

If I'm not imagining things,it's logical to say that several brand-new plane accidents are coming as the Indian prime minster starts his three nations tour.


UPDATE
07-04-15(8.10pm)

That they have come back to the planted story(my last post) again is subtle way to convey that they are on course--be it engineering accidents involving airplanes or outsourcing fighting(like they are doing right at the moment at Kokang region,bordering Yunam province of China).

When I wrote this original post I had absolutely no idea that the joint intelligence team from New Delhi was in Imphal.What triggered my post was the news of the Malaysian chopper crash.A case of pure coincidence.

But the news that they would submit their report to the prime minister is pure conncoction.Ovbiously,people in New Delhi have already more detailed reports prepared by the military.

So,what are trying to say when they let be known that they are right now on course in executing their scheduled tasks?

To my mind,their most pressing task is to counter the figth-back by Burma.Slowly but surely Burma is turning its gun to those who outsource  the fighting currently raging in Kokang region.

Burma has colour coded citizenship cards for three categories of citizen.Besides these three categories of colour coded cards,they had recently issued white cards to the stateless people which enable them to vote in the last election.These white card holders naturally think that the cards are the harbingers to the legally accepted citizenship documents.

But contrary to their belief the Burmese authorities are in the process of taking back the white cards,which,in the first place,do not mean anything in the legal system and constitution of Burma.

Amongst those surrendering the white cards are the people of Indian origin,known as Kala,which,I suspect,has some derogatory connotation.As per the estimate of New Delhi they are more than 2.5 milliom in numbers.

So far, the world has heard enough of what is happening in Arakan region of Burma.The main story there is hardship and agony of the stateless Bengali settlers there.

The people of Indian origin has the same legal status as these Bengali settlers,But the world has,so far,not heard enough of them.

Now,the situation has suddenly changed.This sudden change was brought about by the New Delhi's outsourcing of their fight with Burmese government to the Konkan Chinese,most lokely by monetary allurement.As the Burnese has slowly started aiming their guns to those who outsource the fighting,the focus now comes to the people of Indian origin.What will happen to them?

Evidently,New Delhi has already started sending out high officials to the areas bordering Burma to find 'materials' to counter those imminent moves by the Burmese government.

I have this strong hunch that the joint intelligence team,currently in Imphal,is a part of that exercise.

Thursday, April 02, 2015

Where the personal and the public intersect

Years back,I was confronted with a pretty big personal problem.

I know it's a lame statement because everybody always have some sort of personal problems.But I've started out with this statement to highlight how my friends had reacted to my personal problem then.And,to put this story in right perspective,I must hasten to add that many of friends are now business leaders,thought leaders and social leaders.

!)Some of my friends thought I myself was the problem!

That's quite understandable because I have this feeling that I am not an easy person  to make acquainted with!But they should had gone a little deeper than that facet of mine which was mainly informed by the reigning social etiquette and mores.Part of the reason why they didn't do was their refusal to go beyond the tangible.They didn't( and still do not) like the intangibles in life.

For most persons,that should have been the end of that episode.But by the incident of birth,I (and my family) happen to stand right in the focus of a vicious propaganda onslaught of one of the most prominent feudal lords of Manipuri society.Gradually,I discover that what all of my friends had known me(me,the person,the tangible) was actually the several layers of smears of generations of propaganda onslaught by a feudal lord.

Now comes the most intriguing part.How can many of friends become thought leaders,social leaders when they can't even see through the propaganda of a mere feudal lord?

This is a bewildering question.But the sense of bewilderment subsides(at least,for me) when I experience that all the professors of Manipur with whom I have had personal contact are so full prejudices!What on earth are the prejudicial professors?This can only happen inside a 'box' erected by nazism,that is Indian.The success rate of propagation of India's nazism is directly proportionate to the degree of how well they erect such 'boxes'.In plain words,such 'boxes' are the 'special category' playing fields where you can have prejudicial professors!

All my friends,by virtue of becoming unquestioning residents of the 'box',can become thought leaders,social leaders while they are still incapable of seeing through the propaganda of a mere feudal lord.All my friends,alas,could not(and still cannot) intellectually jump out of the 'box' erected by India's nazism.

2)The remainder of my friends did not want to take side.

I,myself did not want any of my friends to come to my side.So,I never did talk to them about my big personal problem.Again,for most persons,it would be the end of that episode.But all of my friends then were either student activists or social activists.That fact adds a new tenor and tone to the above statement.I still strongly feel that what they did then was a conscious effort to take the middle path--the great middle way.That is precisely the principle which, I think,forms the pinnacle of indian nazis propaganda.

In other words,all of my friends have graduated from wholesale swallowing of the propaganda of a mere feudal lord to the more socially accepted doses of finer propaganda emanated out of India's nazism!Finer propganda like peace talk!!

I'll wrap up my personal story with another statement that I managed to wrestle through my big personal problem with the help of two men--one I met in person and the other,in his writings.I'll mention only the later.Through Noam Chomsky writings I came to understand that all 'power centres' inherently try to project their stories to their surrounding.This apparently ordinary sounding precept immensely helped me in understanding and tackling my big personal problems.

Now, I would use the words 'power centres' to connect with what is personal to what is social to me.

My childhood is,in the main,the story of constant threat from feudalism,which is the 'powe centre' in its shabbiest form.As a queer case of sudden transportation form the personal domain to that of the public,I'm, right now, sensing serious threats to my society from various 'power centres'.

Reminiscing of my childhood,blogging now is an exercise of escaping the the influence of 'power centres' because media houses are 'power centres' in themselves.For the first time in human history,an ordinary citzen can publish stuffs( with the every possibility of finding substantial readers),all the while steering clear of various 'power centres' of the society.Inthis sense,blogging is revolutionary(but,I'm not saying bloggers are all revolutionaries!)

But I have no chance of escaping.We can see how several 'power centres'have conspired together to respond to my last post.They have planted a story in a leading newspaper.They forced a newsreport to appear on the pages dated 1st April 15 based on a conversation happened way back in December 2014!This particular newsreeport gleefully talks of peace talk with New Delhi.

In the context of my last post,the newsreport intends to drop enough hints that the Indian state would not only persuade the Kachin Independent Army not to ratify the Burmese ceasefire document but also would persuade more rebel groups of Manipur to join the likes of  peace talk,presently engaged by NSCN(IM).

That they have taken this subtle route of dropping the hints means that the Indian state have already made big gains in persuading several rebel groups to the idea of peace talk with New Delhi.But the said rebel groups would not come out openly for peace talks.instead,they would stay back within the folds of rebel ecosystem and try to wreck the whole superstructure of Manipur's rebellion tradition from inside of it.


Tuesday, March 31, 2015

Now,a naval blockade

We have just come to face to face with a naval blockade.The Suadi-led allies have started blockading the ports of Yemen using their combined navies.

I'm not quite certain of this but the last time the world had seen another naval blocakde might be during the Cuban missile crisis,way back in the Sixties.Even reckoning on the interval of the  occurence of naval blockading of nations,the present naval blockading of Yemen is a very significant in human history.

More than this,Yemen has already become a very significant symbol for us as well.

With this,we must not forget that both Iran and Russia are under West-enforced blockades because econnic sanctions are just another name for economic blockade.

Sure,just the mention of the words,'economic blockades' makes me flinch.And,I bet I'm not alone in this experience.But,most interestingly,I'm forced to use these words,not because some people in the hills of Manipur announce the programme of 'economic blockade' but because of the developments around the world.So,some parts of today's world have deteriorated to a level as bad as the situation of 'econmic blockade-prone' Manipur.

To make the already moody atmosphere much more worse,India's defence minister is currently in Tokyo,talking,what else,military affairs with the Japanese.Not to be outdone,China inexplicably start talking about its army and battles.

Nearer home,Burma has just completed preparing the draft ceasefire agreement with its myriad ethnic nationalities.Now,they will present the draft agreement to all the nationalities for ratifications.

Now,we are confronted with a very interesting scenario.The scenario in which most of the nationalities more or less willingly sign on the document with the exception of Kachin Independent Army,which is most likley  be persuaded(by india and its Western allies) not to ratify the agreement.If this scenario actually comes out true,then we would have a very clear picture of who are on which side of the battleline.

Today also presents us with a cruel deadline.Iran has all the time in the world until this midnight to accede to the demands of the West.Here also,we are again face with two equally cruel scenarios.

1)Iran and Western powers fail to come to an agreement.Anticipating such a scenario,Us has already stationed a squadron of its newest military toy,F-35.Would US start 

bombing nuclear facilities of Iran?

2)Iran and Western powers come to an agreement.Just at this moment,would Israel hasten to bomb the nuclear facilities of Iran?

Both the scenarios are actually cruel.The West and it allies are lumbering on a war path.So,we are staring at a war encompassing whole of the Islamic world.With the 

protection of the oilfields and its ally in the region,Israel,as its foremost national interst task,the Us (and its allies) would be tied down with a conduct of the 

looming war.With US influend out of Asia(howsoever temporary it may be)the battleline nearer home would certainly get red hot.Would Burma's draft ceasefire agreement serve as the proverbial spark?

Is this the kind the situation which we call historic?

But one thing is quite certain--the wait for the deadline would be nerve-wrecking,in the true sense of the term.


UPDATE
10.20 pm

Just heard over the radio that 2 Indian troopers were killed in a rebel attack in Ukhrul district in early morning today.

Incidentally,I was with the radio upto 4 pm listening to the news but no news about the attack.The news only came to us on 7.30 pm news.No traces of the news in any online news aggregator ,even at the time of this update.Surprised!

As the attack happened in Ukhrul district it's almost certain that the attackers were operating out of Burma.And,this morning in Burma there was the completion of the drafting of  the ceasefire agreement.

So,this morning attack is meant to challenge the Indian State not to persuade the Kachin Independent Army to ratify the ceasefire agreement!A challenge indeed!!


Saturday, March 28, 2015

Two ambushes and twin blasts--their meanings?

Just learnt about the ambush by a Kuki-Mizo-Chin armed group,though it happened this morning in Manipur-Mizoram border.

Actually,I heard about it over the radio as I was cooking my meal.

My instinctive reaction--is it somehow connected with an ambush and twin bomb blast in Nagaland?

As I was eating my meal I was trying to digest the news as well!

The ambush and the twin blasts happened two days to the north of us.This morning's ambush just happened to the south of us!But this does not help us in finding a pattern.Yet,in description itself of what happened to the north of us leads us to at least one anomaly--bomb blast in Nagaland is more or less an anomaly.So what happened two days ago in Nagaland was something for not internal to Nagaland?

If it's not for something internal to Nagaland,then,is it there any possibility that it's somehow connected with this morning's ambush?

A lot of questions indeed.

But we can find some answers for the ambush that happened this morning.

1) The attackers are from Kuki-Mizo-Chin community.This immediately leads us to Kachin Independent Army.This,in turn,leads us to the battleline.

2) The ambush happened one day ahead of a marathon race and a global youth meet in Imphal.

Although nobody is saying it openly,it's quite a common knowledge which rebel group is behind both the marathon race and the global youth meet.So, this morning's ambush is trying to elucidate who are on which side of the battleline.(Did the sudden dismissal of the Mizoram governor today by New Delhi say that New Delhi is the main author of this elucidation exercise?If so,New Delhi is responding to the twin blasts in Nagaland by way of this elucidation exercise?)

Going on with this logic,the unusual twin bomb blasts in Nagaland were triggered to elucidate who are on which side of the battleline?

I'm just attempting a logical deduction.I admit that I can't attempt to find out the answer within a short span of two hours.