by the meltingpot: Tipaimukh and Dean Kamen.

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Indeed, what is at work in the recent return of realism is the revenge of geography in the most old-fashioned sense. In the 18th and 19th centuries, before the arrival of political science as an academic specialty, geography was an honored, if not always formalized, discipline in which politics, culture, and economics were often conceived of in reference to the relief map. Thus, in the Victorian and Edwardian eras, mountains and the men who grow out of them were the first order of reality; ideas, however uplifting, were only the second.
And yet, to embrace geography is not to accept it as an implacable force against which humankind is powerless. Rather, it serves to qualify human freedom and choice with a modest acceptance of fate. This is all the more important today, because rather than eliminating the relevance of geography, globalization is reinforcing it. Mass communications and economic integration are weakening many states, exposing a Hobbesian world of small, fractious regions. Within them, local, ethnic, and religious sources of identity are reasserting themselves, and because they are anchored to specific terrains, they are best explained by reference to geography. Like the faults that determine earthquakes, the political future will be defined by conflict and instability with a similar geographic logic. The upheaval spawned by the ongoing economic crisis is increasing the relevance of geography even further, by weakening social orders and other creations of humankind, leaving the natural frontiers of the globe as the only restraint.
So we, too, need to return to the map, and particularly to what I call the “shatter zones” of Eurasia. We need to reclaim those thinkers who knew the landscape best. And we need to update their theories for the revenge of geography in our time.
Here is the link for the whole write up.

Now at 2nd place

My view is that relations between countries in the coming decades are most likely to reflect their cultural commitments, their cultural ties and antagonism with other countries rather than other factors. Quite obviously, power will continue to play a central role in global politics, as it always does. But usually there is something else behind conflicts. In the 18th century in Europe, the issues to a large extent involved questions of monarchy versus the emerging republican movements, first in America and then in France. In the 19th century, it involved states identifying themselves through nationalism. In the 20th century, ideology came to the fore, largely, but not exclusively, as a result of the Russian Revolution. We had fascism, communism and liberal democracy competing with each other. Well, that’s pretty much over. Liberal democracy has come to be accepted, in theory at least, around the world, if not always in practice. So the question really is what will be the central focus of global politics in the coming decades? My argument remains that cultural identities, antagonisms and affiliations will not only play a role, but play a major role in relations between states. The full interview is here.

This is the 3rd

Every citizen in the City of Richardson will be able to access 756 Kbps of internet connectivity for free, from anywhere in the city. They will be able to access the internet from their homes, schools, restaurants and parks using standard wi-fi connections which are now installed on almost every notebook computer. That is almost as fast as many so-called high speed broadband connections that one pays dearly for today, and several times faster than the various hotspots at your local coffee shops. And I should note that the tax-payers of the City of Richardson are not paying one penny for this, and in fact are going to see additional revenues as a benefit. ... At the beginning of this letter, I suggested that this would be one of the fastest worldwide rollouts of a technology ever seen. It was just 20 years ago that the first cellular systems were being built. The rollout for mesh wireless systems is going to make that look slow. There are several reasons I make this assertion. But they all center on the facts that installing mesh systems will be cheaper and easier than any previous system and the economics in both the developed and especially the developing world will be so radically compelling. Throw in the fact the any astute politician will want to be at the front of this parade (They will all want to say, "I was the man who helped bring free internet to everyone!") and the groundwork is laid for rapid deployment. In Richardson and elsewhere, MeshLinx is offering the basic infrastructure for free. This avoids all the time consuming, political budget battles in the cities. When a service is offered for free, much of the mandated competitive process is eliminated. Next is the low cost of installation of the system. As noted above, Richardson is a city of roughly 100,000 people living in 27.4 square miles. It will "only" cost about $2,000,000 today to lay the wireless blanket I mentioned above. It will cost a great deal less in the future, as MeshLinx is building the pods at a pace of 100 a month today. The maximum output of the US pilot assembly line is 500 a month. When the demand exceeds this (and it will in a very short time) discussions have been held to move volume production to China. Of course, the world will need tens of millions of pods. The cost for a pod will be a fraction of today's cost, with that installation number for a city like Richardson soon being half (or less) the cost of today. What does that $1 or 2 million get you? The infrastructure to be an internet connection, telephone, security, entertainment provider and a whole lot more company. As noted, it will get cheaper as the number of pods being made each month rises, thus lowering their costs dramatically. This technology does have scale. The cost of physically putting up a pod is not a large part of the equation, as you simply need to run a power line, attach a few bolts to a mount on the side of a building or light pole and then off to the next point. Think about the 40,000 homes and businesses in Richardson. If and (hopefully) over time when 10% decide to pay $50 a month for 10-20 Mbps high speed internet access you could see a revenue of $2.5 million a year just from internet access. Now add in all the other income possibilities (phone, entertainment, security and don't forget advertising revenue on the free service!). Think about your town or country. What would service like this be worth? If you are a small city that does not have high speed connections available, how many businesses that could bring jobs do not come your way because they need reliable communications for their work and their employees? If you are in a developing country, where internet access is difficult and expensive, it will open whole new vistas. Couple that with the various programs which want to give cheap laptops to kids in poor countries, and you could see significant social progress in a generation. Here is the link.

Monday, August 28, 2006

Tipaimukh and Dean Kamen.

Why is that decision makers of the third world countries are finding it so difficult to comprehend that big dams are passé? In the long run, big dams bring only disasters to the societies, to which they are supposed to give benefits.

I’m totally convinced that point of use electricity is the future.

Let’s hear what Dean Kamen has to say about this. I’m quoting from TIME.

>> Here's a piece of technology that should empower people from the bottom up to make self-sustaining, new forms of infrastructure. And I think the lesson here is that technology, 50 years ago, was all mega-technology. Big Blue and mainframes ... Ma Bell had pieces of copper wire running from everybody's ear to everybody else's ear. It took 100 years to do it. It was big centralized power companies, nuclear power plants. Transmissions lines. Big, centralized phone companies.... And then look what happened. Communications is now point of use. You carry a cell phone. Computing — you carry a PC. I think in the next decade or two, as the rest of the developing world stands on the shoulders of what we've created over the last few hundred years of the industrial revolution ... they don't have to go through the painstaking evolution of all those tasks.
…….. .. ……
What if you could make point of use electricity, instead of waiting for the equivalent of Con Edison to build a massive infrastructure and transmission lines? Let's build technologies that scale down to deliver point of use water, point of use power, that don't have to get more granular than the village.<<

I think Dean Kamen is inching closer to what sci-fi writers dreamt of in their novels decades ago.
But, what’s happening in this part of the world right now?

Poknapham carried a news item yesterday telling us that the Prime Minister himself has given instructions to speed up the construction of Tipaimukh dam. The prime Minister wants the dam starting production of electricity by the 12th plan. I guess we are in the middle of the 11th plan and so, it means that the PM wants the dam going live within 7-8 years time.

Why are they so hell bent on constructing the dam that will bring havoc to the State of Manipur?
Still, the most striking feature of the news item is that the PM instructed the Home Ministry to pitch in Rs 500 crores from their budgetary provision to cover the security needs of the dam. This is amazing, to say the least. If they think that the dam will bring progress to the State of Manipur, why should there be a need to arrange for the security of the dam which will set back the Union of India by at least Rs 500 croes?

The underlying meaning is that they will use force to build the dam and put up a fortress ( at the cost of Rs 500 crores!) to keep away the natives of the State of Manipur from anywhere near the dam.

If we have to come to this pass, isn’t it time for all sensible people to start looking for other options?

Will Dean Kamen’s generator have that commercial feasibility? If that’s so, we can count it as one of the many options.

Let’s, again, hear what he has to say about this. I’m still quoting from TIME.

>> There probably is. Again, my rule is the same. If it's go and do that, but it's a distraction from the focus, I won't go there. But if it's, 'hey, how are we going to get the money to tool these things up?', there's enough people that want a small quiet machine like this that'll run year after year.

by the meltingpot

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Now at 2nd place

This is the 3rd