by the meltingpot: H5N1 outbreak

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Indeed, what is at work in the recent return of realism is the revenge of geography in the most old-fashioned sense. In the 18th and 19th centuries, before the arrival of political science as an academic specialty, geography was an honored, if not always formalized, discipline in which politics, culture, and economics were often conceived of in reference to the relief map. Thus, in the Victorian and Edwardian eras, mountains and the men who grow out of them were the first order of reality; ideas, however uplifting, were only the second.
And yet, to embrace geography is not to accept it as an implacable force against which humankind is powerless. Rather, it serves to qualify human freedom and choice with a modest acceptance of fate. This is all the more important today, because rather than eliminating the relevance of geography, globalization is reinforcing it. Mass communications and economic integration are weakening many states, exposing a Hobbesian world of small, fractious regions. Within them, local, ethnic, and religious sources of identity are reasserting themselves, and because they are anchored to specific terrains, they are best explained by reference to geography. Like the faults that determine earthquakes, the political future will be defined by conflict and instability with a similar geographic logic. The upheaval spawned by the ongoing economic crisis is increasing the relevance of geography even further, by weakening social orders and other creations of humankind, leaving the natural frontiers of the globe as the only restraint.
So we, too, need to return to the map, and particularly to what I call the “shatter zones” of Eurasia. We need to reclaim those thinkers who knew the landscape best. And we need to update their theories for the revenge of geography in our time.
Here is the link for the whole write up.

Now at 2nd place

My view is that relations between countries in the coming decades are most likely to reflect their cultural commitments, their cultural ties and antagonism with other countries rather than other factors. Quite obviously, power will continue to play a central role in global politics, as it always does. But usually there is something else behind conflicts. In the 18th century in Europe, the issues to a large extent involved questions of monarchy versus the emerging republican movements, first in America and then in France. In the 19th century, it involved states identifying themselves through nationalism. In the 20th century, ideology came to the fore, largely, but not exclusively, as a result of the Russian Revolution. We had fascism, communism and liberal democracy competing with each other. Well, that’s pretty much over. Liberal democracy has come to be accepted, in theory at least, around the world, if not always in practice. So the question really is what will be the central focus of global politics in the coming decades? My argument remains that cultural identities, antagonisms and affiliations will not only play a role, but play a major role in relations between states. The full interview is here.

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Every citizen in the City of Richardson will be able to access 756 Kbps of internet connectivity for free, from anywhere in the city. They will be able to access the internet from their homes, schools, restaurants and parks using standard wi-fi connections which are now installed on almost every notebook computer. That is almost as fast as many so-called high speed broadband connections that one pays dearly for today, and several times faster than the various hotspots at your local coffee shops. And I should note that the tax-payers of the City of Richardson are not paying one penny for this, and in fact are going to see additional revenues as a benefit. ... At the beginning of this letter, I suggested that this would be one of the fastest worldwide rollouts of a technology ever seen. It was just 20 years ago that the first cellular systems were being built. The rollout for mesh wireless systems is going to make that look slow. There are several reasons I make this assertion. But they all center on the facts that installing mesh systems will be cheaper and easier than any previous system and the economics in both the developed and especially the developing world will be so radically compelling. Throw in the fact the any astute politician will want to be at the front of this parade (They will all want to say, "I was the man who helped bring free internet to everyone!") and the groundwork is laid for rapid deployment. In Richardson and elsewhere, MeshLinx is offering the basic infrastructure for free. This avoids all the time consuming, political budget battles in the cities. When a service is offered for free, much of the mandated competitive process is eliminated. Next is the low cost of installation of the system. As noted above, Richardson is a city of roughly 100,000 people living in 27.4 square miles. It will "only" cost about $2,000,000 today to lay the wireless blanket I mentioned above. It will cost a great deal less in the future, as MeshLinx is building the pods at a pace of 100 a month today. The maximum output of the US pilot assembly line is 500 a month. When the demand exceeds this (and it will in a very short time) discussions have been held to move volume production to China. Of course, the world will need tens of millions of pods. The cost for a pod will be a fraction of today's cost, with that installation number for a city like Richardson soon being half (or less) the cost of today. What does that $1 or 2 million get you? The infrastructure to be an internet connection, telephone, security, entertainment provider and a whole lot more company. As noted, it will get cheaper as the number of pods being made each month rises, thus lowering their costs dramatically. This technology does have scale. The cost of physically putting up a pod is not a large part of the equation, as you simply need to run a power line, attach a few bolts to a mount on the side of a building or light pole and then off to the next point. Think about the 40,000 homes and businesses in Richardson. If and (hopefully) over time when 10% decide to pay $50 a month for 10-20 Mbps high speed internet access you could see a revenue of $2.5 million a year just from internet access. Now add in all the other income possibilities (phone, entertainment, security and don't forget advertising revenue on the free service!). Think about your town or country. What would service like this be worth? If you are a small city that does not have high speed connections available, how many businesses that could bring jobs do not come your way because they need reliable communications for their work and their employees? If you are in a developing country, where internet access is difficult and expensive, it will open whole new vistas. Couple that with the various programs which want to give cheap laptops to kids in poor countries, and you could see significant social progress in a generation. Here is the link.

Showing posts with label H5N1 outbreak. Show all posts

Thursday, August 23, 2007

Did someone bring the virus as blood samples from Burma?

This is a high-powered committee.

It is headed by Dr S K Bandopadhya, Commissioner, Animal Husbandry, Govt of India. The members are a) Joint Secy, Union Health and Family Welfare Ministry, b) Dr J S Kartia, Director, National Institute of Animal Husbandry, c) Dr A C C Mishra, scientist, National Institute of Virology, d) Dr K S Pradhan, Joint Director, High Security Animal Disease Lab and e) Dr H K Dubey, Director, High Security Animal Disease Lab.

They are investigating the outbreak of bird flu in Imphal. In fact, they had already held their first official meeting at Krishi Bhavan, New Delhi on the 14th of month.

But what’s most intriguing is that a very senior officer at the Union Government had started talking to the media even while this high-powered committee is continuing its investigating the matter. It was reported in many Imphal papers this morning that Ms Upama Chowdhury, who is the Joint Secretary, Department of Animal Husbandry, Government of India had talked to a New Agency and had actually expressed her surprise at the outbreak of the bid flu virus in Imphal.

It is to be noted here that Ms Chowdhury was here in Imphal for 2 days personally supervising the progress of the field works undertaken to contain the virus outbreak. Only after her personal supervision for 2 days here, it was announced that it was safe to eat chicken all over Manipur and it was ok to sell dressed chicken in the 0-5 kms radius.

But should she be surprised at the outbreak which was certified by the authoritative labs at Bhopal and Pune? It’s because she now thinks that the virus might have come from Burma or Bangladesh!

This throws up more questions.

How did the virus, if the source is from Burma, jump to a tiny farm in Imphal, leaving all the farms in Thoubal district uninfected?

If the above question is difficult to answer, we have no alternative but to ask the most intriguing question of this outbreak.

Did someone bring the virus as blood samples from infected poultry in Burma and injected them to the birds in the Chingmeirong farm?

In fact, the high-powered team is scheduled to visit Moreh on the 23rd of this month to track down the route undertaken by the virus.

Here is the link to my post which gives the details of the whole drama.

Monday, August 20, 2007

Here comes the investigation

A high level official team is going to investigate the bid flu outbreak in Imphal. It is said that the team ‘was entrusted to find out the source’ of the outbreak. Here is the link.

I think everybody should co-operate with the team to find the many unanswered questions behind the bird flu outbreak here in Imphal.

To have a glimpse of those questions, please go to my previous posts—here and here.

Wednesday, August 15, 2007

Still some drama

This afternoon, the government issued a memorandum stating that it is safe to eat chicken outside the 5 kms radius and it is now ok to sell dressed chicken within the 5 kms radius itself. But live chicken within the 5 kms radius continues to be put under strict ban.

We have to remember here that the whole poultry scene is still under continued surveillance. The surveillance will be continued for the next three months.

Officially speaking, the whole Imphal valley is not free from bird flu outbreak. That could only happen after 3 months.

To top it all, a handbill surfaced from nowhere today. It calls for an independent inquiry into the announcement of bird flu outbreak in Imphal. I have a copy of the handbill.

To understand the main thrust of the handbill you have to go back to one of my previous posts. Here is the post.

In that post you would find that there were actually 2 flocks of birds in the farm in Thangmeiband-Chingmeirong border where the birds were found to be positive for H5N1. The flocks were 132+12. Even after the 132 birds killed by the bird flu virus, the flock numbering 12 birds was still apparently healthy upto 15th July 2007.

The flock of 12 birds was the original inhabitant of the shed where another flock of 132 birds was to be taken in as guests. The handbill claimed that the ‘guests’ actually came to the shed on 05/06/07.

If the handbill is to be believed, the 2 flocks were together in the shed for more than 5 WEEKS.

During this 5 weeks period, the 12 birds should have been surely getting the bird flu virus from the 132 birds. That was proved to be true when the blood samples taken from them on the 15/07/07 were tested positive.

So, the 12 birds were infected with the virus for at least 4 weeks if we leave aside 1 week as incubation period within their bodies.

Now, the big question: Why there was not a single mortality in the flock of 12 birds?

We have to note here that they were killed by the Government officials on 15/07/07 after taking blood samples from them.

by the meltingpot

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