by the meltingpot: Blunder

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Indeed, what is at work in the recent return of realism is the revenge of geography in the most old-fashioned sense. In the 18th and 19th centuries, before the arrival of political science as an academic specialty, geography was an honored, if not always formalized, discipline in which politics, culture, and economics were often conceived of in reference to the relief map. Thus, in the Victorian and Edwardian eras, mountains and the men who grow out of them were the first order of reality; ideas, however uplifting, were only the second.
And yet, to embrace geography is not to accept it as an implacable force against which humankind is powerless. Rather, it serves to qualify human freedom and choice with a modest acceptance of fate. This is all the more important today, because rather than eliminating the relevance of geography, globalization is reinforcing it. Mass communications and economic integration are weakening many states, exposing a Hobbesian world of small, fractious regions. Within them, local, ethnic, and religious sources of identity are reasserting themselves, and because they are anchored to specific terrains, they are best explained by reference to geography. Like the faults that determine earthquakes, the political future will be defined by conflict and instability with a similar geographic logic. The upheaval spawned by the ongoing economic crisis is increasing the relevance of geography even further, by weakening social orders and other creations of humankind, leaving the natural frontiers of the globe as the only restraint.
So we, too, need to return to the map, and particularly to what I call the “shatter zones” of Eurasia. We need to reclaim those thinkers who knew the landscape best. And we need to update their theories for the revenge of geography in our time.
Here is the link for the whole write up.

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My view is that relations between countries in the coming decades are most likely to reflect their cultural commitments, their cultural ties and antagonism with other countries rather than other factors. Quite obviously, power will continue to play a central role in global politics, as it always does. But usually there is something else behind conflicts. In the 18th century in Europe, the issues to a large extent involved questions of monarchy versus the emerging republican movements, first in America and then in France. In the 19th century, it involved states identifying themselves through nationalism. In the 20th century, ideology came to the fore, largely, but not exclusively, as a result of the Russian Revolution. We had fascism, communism and liberal democracy competing with each other. Well, that’s pretty much over. Liberal democracy has come to be accepted, in theory at least, around the world, if not always in practice. So the question really is what will be the central focus of global politics in the coming decades? My argument remains that cultural identities, antagonisms and affiliations will not only play a role, but play a major role in relations between states. The full interview is here.

This is the 3rd

Every citizen in the City of Richardson will be able to access 756 Kbps of internet connectivity for free, from anywhere in the city. They will be able to access the internet from their homes, schools, restaurants and parks using standard wi-fi connections which are now installed on almost every notebook computer. That is almost as fast as many so-called high speed broadband connections that one pays dearly for today, and several times faster than the various hotspots at your local coffee shops. And I should note that the tax-payers of the City of Richardson are not paying one penny for this, and in fact are going to see additional revenues as a benefit. ... At the beginning of this letter, I suggested that this would be one of the fastest worldwide rollouts of a technology ever seen. It was just 20 years ago that the first cellular systems were being built. The rollout for mesh wireless systems is going to make that look slow. There are several reasons I make this assertion. But they all center on the facts that installing mesh systems will be cheaper and easier than any previous system and the economics in both the developed and especially the developing world will be so radically compelling. Throw in the fact the any astute politician will want to be at the front of this parade (They will all want to say, "I was the man who helped bring free internet to everyone!") and the groundwork is laid for rapid deployment. In Richardson and elsewhere, MeshLinx is offering the basic infrastructure for free. This avoids all the time consuming, political budget battles in the cities. When a service is offered for free, much of the mandated competitive process is eliminated. Next is the low cost of installation of the system. As noted above, Richardson is a city of roughly 100,000 people living in 27.4 square miles. It will "only" cost about $2,000,000 today to lay the wireless blanket I mentioned above. It will cost a great deal less in the future, as MeshLinx is building the pods at a pace of 100 a month today. The maximum output of the US pilot assembly line is 500 a month. When the demand exceeds this (and it will in a very short time) discussions have been held to move volume production to China. Of course, the world will need tens of millions of pods. The cost for a pod will be a fraction of today's cost, with that installation number for a city like Richardson soon being half (or less) the cost of today. What does that $1 or 2 million get you? The infrastructure to be an internet connection, telephone, security, entertainment provider and a whole lot more company. As noted, it will get cheaper as the number of pods being made each month rises, thus lowering their costs dramatically. This technology does have scale. The cost of physically putting up a pod is not a large part of the equation, as you simply need to run a power line, attach a few bolts to a mount on the side of a building or light pole and then off to the next point. Think about the 40,000 homes and businesses in Richardson. If and (hopefully) over time when 10% decide to pay $50 a month for 10-20 Mbps high speed internet access you could see a revenue of $2.5 million a year just from internet access. Now add in all the other income possibilities (phone, entertainment, security and don't forget advertising revenue on the free service!). Think about your town or country. What would service like this be worth? If you are a small city that does not have high speed connections available, how many businesses that could bring jobs do not come your way because they need reliable communications for their work and their employees? If you are in a developing country, where internet access is difficult and expensive, it will open whole new vistas. Couple that with the various programs which want to give cheap laptops to kids in poor countries, and you could see significant social progress in a generation. Here is the link.

Wednesday, July 12, 2006

Blunder

Students in four hill districts are burning textbooks prescribed by the school authorities of Manipur. Papers carried pictures of students burning their textbooks in Ukhrul, Senapati, Tamenglong and Chandel. They are symbolically destroying Manipur’s textbooks as they are switching over to the textbooks prescribed by the school authorities of the State of Nagaland.

But they seem to be in complete haste. Because no sooner had they wrapped the symbolic burning up than it dawned on them that now their school going kids are going to be burdened with learning an extra language. That is, they have to choose one language from among the prescribed languages—Angami, Ao or Hindi. Because Nagaland’s school authorities have no provision for teaching Tangkhul, Anal or Mao, which is the present norm in Manipur.

From my personal experience I can easily say that trying to make an average Tangkhul (for that matter, Mao, Anal or Zeliangrong) student learn either Angami or Ao would be a near impossible job. I think there will be revolt against the present Naga leadership if they try to persist with the idea of teaching Angami or Ao to the hill students of Manipur.

Being so in a haste means they are trying to send out a message to the Delhi leadership? That is, on the eve of the scheduled talk in Amsterdam during last week of this month?

If that’s the case, then we are left with no option but to say that the Naga leadership is extremely naïve.

Considering the present scenario, we can easily say that the Delhi political leadership would not be in a position to accede to their main demand of ceding Manipur’s land to a greater Nagaland until and unless the rebels of Manipur are dealt with a crippling military blow. That’s because it is an open secret here that the rebels are readying themselves for leading the general public of Manipur in a direct and open revolt against Delhi’s leadership in case they try to tinker with the boundary of Manipur.

But I think they are encountering a diplomatic roadblock in their task of thrashing the rebels of Manipur.

Consider the following developments (they were all reported in the newspapers here and I have no privileged knowledge whatsoever regarding this matter):

>>Back then when the Army repulsed the rebels from Thanlon area, Lt Gen Z U Shah told reporters ( some of them Kolkatta-based) that their next target of ‘mopping up operations’ would be along Indo-Burma border in Chandel district.

>>Two or three days later, some rebels partially encircled the battalion headquartes of the AR in Chandel district and in the ensuing battle, the commanding officer himself was hurt. He was flown to Leimakhong for treatment.

>>I can remember at least two other such attacks in their battalion headquartes.

>>So the rebels were sending out the clearest message—WE ARE HERE. WE ARE READY FOR YOUR ATTACK.

>>But some 10 days back, the Army authority was quoted in the newspaper as saying that there were no rebel concentrations in Chandel district. Surprise!

Reading between the lines, this can only mean that they are not successful in their diplomatic efforts to get the nod from the Burmese authorities for military operations along the border. I think they are hitting a diplomatic roadblock here.

Thus enmeshed in a diplomatic fiasco, the political leadership in Delhi would have no ears for the book-burning noise in the hills of Manipur. Besides, there is every likelihood of a revolt by the student community in the hills regarding the extra burden of learning a Nagaland language.

Failure on the part of the Naga leadership to correctly anticipate the above points clearly points to their political naivety.

More than that, they are committing a major tactical blunder.

by the meltingpot

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