I'm pretty sure that the sonic booms over Manipur during the last few days are 'the operational commands' given to all the sleeper cells installed by the Indian Army deep inside Manipuri society.
I have tried several times to see the jets producing the booms but failed all the times.The main reason might be that there had been thick clouds over the sky for several days now.It is a little worrying to hear jets flying overhead,producing loud sonic booms,even during night time,that too,in the very heart of Imphal.
It is of utmost interest for myself to note down how I came to the above conclusion.
1) Let's start from the Mon killings.
At the first instance,it is hard to believe that the seven mine-workers in the pick up truck were gunned down by the troops of the 21 Para Regiment.
The 21 Para Regiment is Indian Army's special force.They are trained for quick surgical strikes.As the name also suggests,they are air-lifted to the area of operations and they are also quickly air-lifted out to their bases after the surgical strikes.
At the best of my knowledge,they are now headquartered somewhere in the Barak Valley.It is sensible because the Barak Valley is at the point,roughly equidistant from all the 'trouble spots' spanning Manipur and Nagaland.
In the Mon's case also, they should had been airlifted to their operational area.As the signature operation of a special operation unit,they did admirably erase all their tracks of deploying in and out of the area.We,the common people, cannot find any report of aerial activity around the area.
Now,how to find the most appropriate phrase to express the opposite of 'signature operation'?Extremely unlikely of a special operation unit the troops at Mon acted on a worst kind of intelligence.
Or,it it the case of the working of a well-placed sleeper cell inside the Indian Army establishment which 'caused' the wrong intelligence to emerge through the normal process of their intelligence gathering?
2) Before we begin to start trying to answer the above question,we need to note the damage control exercise underway by the Defense Establishment by influencing select journalists to spread out the narrative that it might be the handiwork of the 'deep State' opposing the Naga Peace Talk which manipulates the intelligence gathering process so that that worthless intelligence reaches the desks of the commanders at the Barak Valley.
Noting the above the point,we need to go back a week's time.On 2nd Dec there was this not so particular news item--'Soldier found death'.But what is most intriguing is the place where it did happen--it was inside the campus of well-fortified Army headquarter for Manipur operations--Leimakhong.
Here,just at this point of the story,we can detect a pattern-forming aspect,however tenuous it might be.The 21 years old soldier from Madhya Pradesh was shot dead(apparently with a silencer-fitted handgun) and his service rifle was neatly placed beside his death body.
3) This same placement of the service handgun happened some years ago inside the official residence of the Chief Minister of Manipur.
It was during the time of the former Chief Minister,Mr Okram Ibobi.
I cannot remember the exact year.But I distinctly remember the day--that day the then Chief Minsiter went to his Thoubal home to attend his daughter's wedding.While he was thus away from his official residence,a lady constable of the CISF was shot dead(apparently,this time also,by a silencer-fitted hand gun,because nobody,in the ever-present crowd just outside the campus, heard a gun shot and that this killing itself remains a mystery to this day).
As the case took place inside the official residence of the Chief Minister,everybody instantly become disoriented and preferred to go mum about the whole thing.Upto this day,everybody here in Manipur goes about his daily chores denying it.
Now,we need to re-visit the context leading to the gunning down of the lady constable.It all began with a comparatively smaller rebel group starting lobbing bombs aiming the official residence of the Chief Minister.Every such attempts were acknowledged by the appropriate press notes the next day.Such press notes convey they were sending a warning to the then Chief Minister.
In no time,there emerged a vigorous competition amonst the rebel groups in sending warnings to the then Chief Minsiter via military means.
The shooting down of the lady constable inside the Chief Minster's official residence itself forms the last chapter of that compettion.And,there was never a press note regarding it.Inspite of this,everybody,deep down his heart,knows that Manipur's 'Unseen Actors' are behind the gunning down of the lady constable.In other words,a well-executed military operation by an equally well-placed sleeper cell inside the Manipur government establishment.
4) Our tenuous pattern definitely points to the scenario of Manipur's 'Unseen Actors' putting in place well-settled sleeper cells inside the Indian Army establishment.Even if we assume that they are the true cases of successful military operations by the 'Unseen Actors's sleeper cells,why did they reveal their prized assets at this particular time?
5) The only plausible answer I can find right at the moment is that the 'Unseen Actors',for their parts also,suddenly sense the presence of Indian Army's sleeper cells deep inside Manipuri society.By definition,sleeper cells are next to impossible to detect.The only possible way ahead is to put a challenge of a duellist.One combatant inviting another combatant to a duel.
6) To my mind,this is exactly what is happening right at the present moment.
Manipur's 'Unseen Actors' are essentially saying that,at the cost of revealing our prized assets,we are inflicting damages to the Indian Army.Now,it is your turn to inflict some damage to us.It is a publicly announced duel.
7)It seems that Manipur's 'Unseen Actors' are going in for a gamble.They are ready to trade off some losses for the first glimpse of the first verifiable tracks of the Indian Army's sleeper cells inside Manipuri society.
8) Facing with this challenge,the Indian Army,for its part,are treading very cautiously. They are not ready surrender even an iota of data regarding their prized assets inside Manipuri society.Thus,they are spurning the agreed-mode of communication with their sleeper cells.Instead,they are choosing the safest tactics--sending fighter jets over Manipur skies producing sonic booms.They bet that repeated sonic booms(reading together with Leimakhong and Mon) would make the sleeper cells to figure them out as the operational commands.So,it is logical to deduct that the sleeper cells inside Manipuri society are getting their operational commands to come out of the sleeper mode and start attacking the 'Unseen Actors'.In all probabilities,those attacks would take the form of 'Lone Wolf' strategy.
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