Monday, December 31, 2012

Geo-politics,the charade and the blogger


Blogging is all about enthusiasm.

But I hate publishing this post.That's why I'm doing this on 31st Dec--like the last day of the year,this must be the last of such posts.

As a matter of fact,I've been debating with myself whether to write this post or not since the middle of Oct.Because I know anybody who happens to read this post would surely term me as megalomaniac.

The story began on the 15th of Oct 2012.

The strangest news on that day was that they were announcing the near fruitiion of their 15-years running peace talk by ambushing another rebel group at Ashang khullen.Celebrating the coming peace by attacking another armed group? I said to myself--'It's strange'.

Reading further,I again murmured to myself--'It's becoming all the more staranger'.Because the tone was unmistakble--they seemed to be eerily happy with themselves in announcing that they lost one man when those at the receiving ends retaliated.Strange!strange!!

The announcement came from Dimapur.

Then,I moved to my iGoogle tab(I've completely migrated online for my news).Scrolling down,I came to my Gmail inbox.It made me startled--unusual and strange mails there.I read exactly two of them and then,started deleting all mails received on 14th night and 15th morning.

I immediately knew this--

--Some sophististicated minds were trying to read the pattern of this blog's reaction to the strange news vis a vis the reaction of the ambushed rebel group in Ashang Khullen--

In other words,the power that be in New Delhi was trying to ascertain whether it could get a slightest of the clues to the profiles of the players constituting the Manipuri components of the Grand Coalition against Nazism.

That they had to go down all the way to micro-managing their search to the level of such obscure blog of mine points to an intersting thing--The Indian state seems genuinely clueless about the Manipuri society as defined by its history and its geo-political reach,leave alone having a crude profiles of the actual players.

Sitting there in front of my computer,a sense of spookiness overwhelmed me--'Is it really happening to me?'

But still the hardest part of the impact of the  whole story upon this blogger unveiled itself after the passage of some 7/8 weeks.For this poor blogger this is still the hardest part but I need to break the silence.

--The announcement by the Home Minsiter,sushil Kumar Shinde that the Naga Issue was nearing solution,most probably by March 2013 which provoked massive euphoria in Naga psyche and equally downbeat mood in the whole of Manmipuri Society WAS ACTUALLY A CHARADE ORCHESTRATED FOR THE SOLE PURPOSE OF READING THE ABOVE-MENTIONED PATTERNS--

I know this is the sure recipe for people calling me a megalomaniac.

The story this far wraps up drama involving my blog(yeah,this blogger sure is a megalomaniac!) and the Indian state vis a vis Manipuri society as defined by its history and it geo-political reach.Whatever attributes people try to tag with to this blog(like,written by a megalomaniac??),it should be emphasized here that it is purely a personal thing--nothing more,nothing less.Being that so,whatever drama involving it should have been completely benign and harmless.

But New Delhi did lose control of the charade somewhere along the way.

Manipur Chief Minsiter,Mr Okram Ibobi,unaware that all those dramas are simple charade,thought that he was about to be forced to make unacceptable(to Manipuri society) concessions for the coming final Naga solution,played out his last cards.He dodged off coming summons from the big shots in Delhi by sojourning to Australia for full 20 days,which amounts to direct revolt by a provincial satrap.It's to be noted here that it was an unthinkable act by a chief minister in the set up of 'high command'culture of Congress party.Consequent events showed us that the beginning of the sidelining of the Manipur CM was already initiated.

And,it happened not be just a  simple and internal affair between the Chief Minister and the Congress party.It's apparent that middle rung cadres of NSCN(IM) did notice Ibobi's revolt and likely schism between between him and the power that be in New Delhi.They correctly read that there would be power vacuum because of this schism,which would make it possible to plan a tragedy like the public molestation of a popular Manipuri film actress in Chandel.Is this the outcome of the fervent imaginations of a fertile and sordid (and megalomaniacal?) mind?But do anybody think the central leadership of Swu and Muivah would stoop that low?I don't think so.Then?

The most likely scenario is the forcing of the agendas of the middle rung cadres on the already desperate leadership of Swu and Muivah.I think that has already taken place.

Again,it was destined not to be a simple and internal affars of NSCN(IM).Unwittingly,this middle rung cadres has been successful in forcing thier agenda on the equally desparate power that be in New Delhi,which,it turns out to be far more clueless about Manipuri society as defined by its history and its geo-political reach.They seemed to be a bit surprise but more importantly,seemed ever ready to be forced upon itself to welcome the unlikely turn of events.They seemed to be excited by the outward facade of this 'sudden turn of events'ie the scenario of valley-hill ethnic clash but they seemed to be completely clueless about its underlying force ie the unprincipled forcing of their agenda by the middle rung cadres.

The cascading effects of the impulsive acts by this middle rung cadres are likely to go far beyond this.They are most likely to make history in the sense that they are breathtakingly nearing to disturb the equalibrium attained in the Imphal valley by the overlap of two great geo-political forces.The current equilibrium is being maintained by the political space occupied by the stakeholders like Ibobi,who happen to have the minimum moral authority to just enable to churn the wheel of the State.These middle rung cadres are in the process of accentuating the complete banishment of the equalibrium-enabling political space defined by the stakeholders like Ibobi.This will lead to enevitable disturbance of the current equilibrium.That,in turn, will result in fresh re-positionings of the two great geo-political forces for fresh seeking of another equilibrium.

It is in this fresh re-positionings that we are likely to see geo-political high dramas in the coming months and years.