Thursday, December 12, 2019

Delhi's ambush--will it spark a reign of 'contradictions' amongst the rebel groups of Manipur?

we had just witnessed a well-executed ambush by New Delhi when Union Home Minister,Mr Amit shah announced,on the floor of the Indian parliament(on the 9th December 2019)the coming of the Inner Line Permit System(ILPS) in Manipur.

We must readily admit that everybody in Manipur(posibly including the rebel groups) were completely taken by surprise by the ambush.

Symbolically also,the former Chief Minister of Manipur and the present Leader of Opposition in the Manipur Legislative Assembly,Mr Okram Ibobi was also made to eat his own words in a widely watched public space.We must remember here that Mr Okram Ibobi was,together with other leaders from Manipur,invited in New Delhi for a consultation meet on the Citizenship (Amendment) Bill.That was on the wee hours of the 3rd Dec 2019.All the leaders from Manipur wanted either the complete withdrawal of the controversial Bill or the insertion of some Clause guaranteeing the protection of Manipur's interest.But the very next morning the Bill was cleared by the Union Cabinet,demonstratably not taking any input from the consultation meeting.

During the consultation meeting,Mr Amit Shah never talked specifics of the proposed Clause which would protect Manipur's interet,even though he kept repeating that he would definitely do something to protect Manipur's interest.

Now,it's clear that the invitation to the leaders of Manipur at the eleventh hour was the part of a well thought-out design of hoodwinking people to the grand finale of the ambush.Of course,Mr Okram Ibobi bit the bait and termed the consultation meeting as a hogwash.

Now,Mr Okram Ibobi was made to eat his own words and we know that it is not the person of Mr Okrmm Ibobi which is significant to us--rather,it's the symbolism of the 'masked' revelation seen through him(my last post).

It's  quite clear that New Delhi undertook a lot of groundwork and invested a lot time and energy to score petty points agaisnt the 'masked' revelation.It's clear that the moment New Delhi announced the visit of Mr Shinzo Abe to Manipur saw the first step taken to extend the ILPS to Manipur as well--they quietly plotted the ambush while they started using the top diplomatic channels to approach the Government of Japan for a summit meeting with their Prime Minister with its Indian counterpart in Guwahati,thus paving the way for Mr Shibzo Abe's visit to Manipur.They are equivocal on this--if you use the spectre of Mr Xi Jinping to give out to the world the glimpse of the 'masked' revelation,we have the far more superior(that is,historically) symbol of Japanese militarism in the person of Mr Shinzo Abe--we would definitely utilize the spectre of Mr Shinzo Abe to pursue the counter-measure for the 'masked' revelation.

Now the big question: will it spark a reign of 'contradictions' amongst the rebel groups of Manipur?

1) We have noted in my post titled "The 3rd battle of the 2nd War of Kurukshetra coming on the 9th Jan"(8th update),dated the 6th Jan 2019 that some of the rebel groups of Manipur were infiltrated by the religio-linguistic constituent of Manipur.The publicly stated agenda of this constituent is the
slogan--"Script is the father and language is the mother".Mother language have already been 'secured' by the amendment of the 8th Schedule of the Constitution of India on the 20th August 1991.The scipt is also in the process of being 'secured' by progressively replacing the Bengali script by Meitei script in the schools of Manipur.Now,the population of Manipur is also in the process of being 'secured' by the extension of ILPS to Manipur.

Would the religio-linguistic constituent recognize the confluence of the above three episodes as the 'revolution' of Manipur?

Would the mainstream rebel groups,which are not infected by the religio-linguistic virus, agree with this new definition  of 'revolution'?

2) I'm not a Constitutional expert and right now,I'm confused.

The President of India issued the Gazette notification for the extension fo the ILPS to Manipur on the 11th Dec 2019.Is the President of India also given the power to extend the amendment of the law enabling the Territorial Council in Assam to the State of Manipur as well?

Does the President of India's Gazette notification still need a Parliamentary approval?

In the above scenario, can we envision a scenario wherein the Union Home Minsiter,Mr Amit Shah, bringing up the approval of the extension of the ILPS to Manipur together with the second proposal to approve the extension of Territorial Council law to Manipur(to usher in the formation of the Naga Territorial Council within the State of Manipour) .The Home Minsiter would most likely send the subtle message that the ILPS is the trade off of the acceptance of a Naga Territorial Council within Manipur by the majority community of Manipur.

How would the relgio-linguistic constituent react to this?

Would they accept the Naga Territorial Council as the reasonable trade off?

3) So far,all the rebel groups of Manipur publicly state their position that their fight is with Delhi--the Governemnt of Manipur is just a puppet of Delhi.In their revolutionary terminology,the main contradiction is between the people of Manipur and Delhi.

Now,in the changed scenario,the status of the 'revolution'(as seen by the religio-linguistic constituent) would be gauged by the implementation part of the ILPS,which would be handled by the Manipur Government machenery.It is widely known that the ILPS which is currently in force in Nagaland,Mizoram and Arunachal Pradesh is perpetually compromised by the sloppy and corrupt officials of the respective State Governments.So,one aspect of the 'revolution' in Manipur would depend on Manipur Government--not on Delhi.

Now,would the rebel groups,infiltraed by the religio-linguistic constituent,re-state their their positions as that of the main contradiction being in the realm of people of Manipur versus the Governemnt of Manipur?

How would the mainstream rebel groups,not infected by the religio-linguistic virus,react to this re-statement of the new positions?

(From the late evening of the 9th Dec upto the close of the 10th Dec we witnessed the public display of intellectual shallowness of both the religio-linguistic constituent and the Government of Manipur--in that,they both showed off their intellectual incapabilties to grasp the real intent of New Delhi;New
Delhi's true intent is not the welfare of Manipur but to set up an effective ambush for the 'masked' revelation.The flip side of the public display of their intellectual shallowness is that it shows off the first glimpse of the undercurrent of the coming turf war between the religio-linguistic constituent and the Government of Manipur).

4) There is also an interesting corollary to the above second statement.

As the status of their revolution stays in the hands of the Manipur Governemnt officials,the religio-linguistic constituent might try to capture the reins of power of the Manipur Governemnt itself.Unless they embark on this endeavour,their revolution would reamin in perpetual jeopardy.

Capturing the reins of power of the Government of Manipur would entail entering the electoral politics.

Would they also announce that entering the electoral politics and capturing the reins of power of the Manipur Governmant are tactical necessities during the democratic movement phase of the long journey of the revolution?

Would they try to build up a Manipuri version of a Dravida Munntra Kazhagam(DMK),an All India Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam(AIDMK) or a Shiv Sena?

Would they say that as the 'masked' revelation is also closely in tandem with the DMK,AIDMK or ShivSEna,what would be big fuss if they try to relate with 'masked' revelation by building up the said Manipuri version?

These two questions make us to see the significance of the coming visit of the Prime Minister of Japan,Mr Shinzo Abe,in Manipur on the 17th Dec 2019.

In my post,titled "And Mr Rahul Gandhi goes to Bangkok" dated 12th Oct 2019 it was stated that the first glimpse of the 'masked'revelation came to our view in Tamil Nadu,eleven days before the visit of Mr Xi Jinping,the President of the People's Republic China.

Now,New Delhi is bringing in Mr Shinzo Abe,the Prime Minister of Japan,in Manipur as a counter-statement to the Chinese Pr resident's visit to Tamil Nadu(which,we must emphasize,let us have the first glimpse of the 'masked' revelation).

So,how do we parse out this counter-statement?

1) New Delhi is sending the subtle message to the religio-linguistic constituent in Manipur to build up a Manipuri version of a DMK,AIDMK or Shiv Sena.New Delhi is stating that it's open to sharing of power with the new formation.

2) If they are worth their salt,the religio-linguistic constituent is being presented with a wide avenue to handle their revolution with their own hands--New Delhi must be watching the whole procedure from a distance as a father figure.The presently quotable example--the actual implemenation fo the ILPS,thus' securing' their population.

3) The occasional contentious issues,like the Territorial Council of the Nagas or the Kukis would be dealt with withn the framework of the power sharing mechnism as envisaged in the above two points.

4) The fourth facade is the logical outcome of the above three policy statements.In order to facilitate the evolution of the Manipuri version of a DMK,an AIDMK or a Shiv Sena the powers and reach of the mainstream rebel groups needs to drastically contained.This only means a debilitating military strike against those mainstream rebel groups.New Delhi is saying,with a high dose of drama(Mr shinzo Abe as the dramatic prop--wonderful!) and even with a pinch of sadism(a bye-product of Japanese militarism plus Hindu supremacism--distasteful!),that the big military strike is coming.

The counter-statement,in a nutshell,this time,addressing the religio-linguistic constituent of Manipur--you should neither feel an iota of sense of intimidation nor get drowned in the sea of self doubt--people,like,Mr Shinzo Abe,are solidly behind you.