Now,the battle is joined.

On the 6th of January 2013,India initiated the first fighting of the first battle of the war so slowly but surely
developing war between itself and the GRand Coalition against Nazism.

I still think that it was not a well-planned or well-thoughtout initiation by India.It seemed to happen along this
scenario--'we don't plan it--but one thing leads to another,then to yet another--then,before we know it,it just
happens'.But whatever be the actual players and circumstance that led to the actual initiation,it had actually happened and the proverbial die has been cast.On that fateful day,India's military crossed over to the Pakistani territory and killed two Pakistani soldiers.Again,I still think that students of history would have hard times trying to find out what went wrong to the legendary and much-vaunted Indian patience on that day.Of course,I do have a theory of my own but I would defer writing about it in another full post,partly beacuse I'm so hardpressed to find time because of some personal reasons.

Exactly after 30 days,on the night of 6th Feb 2013,when Indian military again crossed over inside the territory yet another neighbouring country,Burma,it was a well-planned and well thought-out operation.They targetted a bridge insdie Burma.

To cap it all,the announcement by Indian political leadership to the effect that they had already initiated the first battle of the coming war happened on the 18th of February 2013 at Khuzama,Nagaland.The political leader was Mr Sushil Kumar Shinde,the Union Home Minsiter.For so many years,they had been continously but covertly instigating the Nagas against the Meiteis.But,now that the first battle had already been initiated,there is no point in doing it covertly.So,Mr Sushil Kumar Shinde finally lifted the veil and proclaimed publicly that the Meiteis are the real culprits behind the derailment of the what they term the Indo-Naga peace talk and the Nagas should go after the Meiteis' throat--the only saving grace is that Mr Shinde made the announcement under the garb of electioneering and without naming any names with the measured tone of
typical Indian diplomatese.

Having come ths far,we are at the risk of losing touch with the actual political developments around the 6th of January 2013 and so,I would list a few of them,though I have more than 20 of them listed on my desk.

-7th Jan:China said--'As a friend of both India and Pakistan,China wants the two-between themselves- resolve the ongoing battles along their borders'.Divested of diplomatese,China said it had a stake on how India carried on its battles and wars with Pakistan.I think it's the first official utterance from the Grand Coalition against Nazism.

-10th Jan:Japanese F15s were matched,plane by plane,by Chinese J10s over the East China Sea.

-11th Jan:India sent official diplomatic demarche to Pakistan.

-11th Jan:Malis rebels were at the gate of the capital city,which prompted bombings by French warplanes and subsequent deployment of French troops.

I think what had happened in East China Sea and Mali signifies the contours of the coming war,the first battle of which was initiated by India on the 6th of January 2013.

Who would welcome war and bloodshed?But,in case,if we take it as a necessary evil needed for course correcting the stream of history,which if allowed to continue in its current course,would wipe us out of the surface of this earth,it would be best for us to get prepared for it.So, we must talk of what impact would come to this tiny valley of ours in the near terms.

1)As already been noted earlier,Mr Sushil Kumar Shinde had already publicly exhorted the Nagas to go after the Meiteis' throat.So, the likes of the tragedy of Chandel in which a Manipuri film actress was publicly molested would visit us again--but with much more intensity and frequencies.I think massive upheavals are coming in our way in the coming months themselves.

What about the long-term political fallouts?As noted in my last post,the equilibrium-enabling political space,now symbolized by the Chief Minster,Mr Okram Ibobi,got a serious beating by the tragedy at Chandel.So,the significant but struggling political space would get further squeezed exponentially by the coming upheavals.

2)Simultaneously,there would be moves to tie down many more rebel groups to what India called peace talks,as was seen during the past several weeks in Imphal.

What's amazing is that such peace talks would have outsized impact on the health of the said equilibrium-enabling political space.This political space,now dominated by Mr Okram Ibobi,in spite of its inherent corruptions and con-man like players,have,at the least,the sanctity of the ballot box-the universal franchise.But,now,by virtue of the peace talks,the players of this political space would be forced to co-inhibit with emerging power centres which would be certainly legally and conventionally indefinable,resulting in the very crisis of indentity of this crucial political space.The rebel leaders engaged in peace talks would form various power centres within this equilibrium-enabling political space and as time goes on,would,as Jawaharlal Nehru talked of the emergence of Indian National Congress,seek more and more 'elbow rooms'.

The peace talks,wittingly or unwittingly,would have the exact impact of imploding the equilibrium-enabling political space,which is likley to be already bearing the full brunt of the squeeze applied from outside,initiated by the very powerful players like the Nagas.