Friday, September 08, 2006

How will the whole drama unfold?

Today Manipur Police came out with a press statement saying that they are in the advance stage in the investigation of the ISKCON bomb blast. It said they would be able to ascertain who was behind the crime.

Regarding the subject of my last post, today’s Imphal Free Press came out with a most accurate report. They did not mince words. They quoted the rebel group as saying that they knew for certain that one valley-based rebel group was behind the blast (see my last post). But they refused to name the group.

What most interests me is not whether they know the perpetrators or not but why they chose to speak out publicly at this particular time. Actually, they are risking their credibility and standing among the general public in general and among the rebel fraternity in particular when they went on record claiming that they know who was behind the bomb blast.

Why take the risk? And, now?

To my mind somebody very powerful is trying to make a retreat from their border-crossing enterprise (read, Chin State clash—the details are in my last three posts). And it is sad to see one less sophisticated group actually becoming a tool for achieving that retreat maneuver.

Actually, we are witnessing a fascinating moves and countermoves truly on the scale of sophisticated world class geo-political and diplomatic maneuverings.

Sensing that one side is trying to move towards a tactical retreat, I think, the other side will go all out to make a killing out of that.

Meaning?

Meaning that, we will witness the most sustained and vigorous anti-narco drives during the next 10-15 days, as already announced jointly by the three rebel groups. I think that the scale of the coming operations will be truly astounding.

It will be truly astounding not because they are trying to suppress the use of narco but because they are trying to ‘make a killing’, as I said above.

This is my hunch. We will see how the whole drama unfolds.