by the meltingpot: On Moreh imbroglio-II

Now Reading!

Indeed, what is at work in the recent return of realism is the revenge of geography in the most old-fashioned sense. In the 18th and 19th centuries, before the arrival of political science as an academic specialty, geography was an honored, if not always formalized, discipline in which politics, culture, and economics were often conceived of in reference to the relief map. Thus, in the Victorian and Edwardian eras, mountains and the men who grow out of them were the first order of reality; ideas, however uplifting, were only the second.
And yet, to embrace geography is not to accept it as an implacable force against which humankind is powerless. Rather, it serves to qualify human freedom and choice with a modest acceptance of fate. This is all the more important today, because rather than eliminating the relevance of geography, globalization is reinforcing it. Mass communications and economic integration are weakening many states, exposing a Hobbesian world of small, fractious regions. Within them, local, ethnic, and religious sources of identity are reasserting themselves, and because they are anchored to specific terrains, they are best explained by reference to geography. Like the faults that determine earthquakes, the political future will be defined by conflict and instability with a similar geographic logic. The upheaval spawned by the ongoing economic crisis is increasing the relevance of geography even further, by weakening social orders and other creations of humankind, leaving the natural frontiers of the globe as the only restraint.
So we, too, need to return to the map, and particularly to what I call the “shatter zones” of Eurasia. We need to reclaim those thinkers who knew the landscape best. And we need to update their theories for the revenge of geography in our time.
Here is the link for the whole write up.

Now at 2nd place

My view is that relations between countries in the coming decades are most likely to reflect their cultural commitments, their cultural ties and antagonism with other countries rather than other factors. Quite obviously, power will continue to play a central role in global politics, as it always does. But usually there is something else behind conflicts. In the 18th century in Europe, the issues to a large extent involved questions of monarchy versus the emerging republican movements, first in America and then in France. In the 19th century, it involved states identifying themselves through nationalism. In the 20th century, ideology came to the fore, largely, but not exclusively, as a result of the Russian Revolution. We had fascism, communism and liberal democracy competing with each other. Well, that’s pretty much over. Liberal democracy has come to be accepted, in theory at least, around the world, if not always in practice. So the question really is what will be the central focus of global politics in the coming decades? My argument remains that cultural identities, antagonisms and affiliations will not only play a role, but play a major role in relations between states. The full interview is here.

This is the 3rd

Every citizen in the City of Richardson will be able to access 756 Kbps of internet connectivity for free, from anywhere in the city. They will be able to access the internet from their homes, schools, restaurants and parks using standard wi-fi connections which are now installed on almost every notebook computer. That is almost as fast as many so-called high speed broadband connections that one pays dearly for today, and several times faster than the various hotspots at your local coffee shops. And I should note that the tax-payers of the City of Richardson are not paying one penny for this, and in fact are going to see additional revenues as a benefit. ... At the beginning of this letter, I suggested that this would be one of the fastest worldwide rollouts of a technology ever seen. It was just 20 years ago that the first cellular systems were being built. The rollout for mesh wireless systems is going to make that look slow. There are several reasons I make this assertion. But they all center on the facts that installing mesh systems will be cheaper and easier than any previous system and the economics in both the developed and especially the developing world will be so radically compelling. Throw in the fact the any astute politician will want to be at the front of this parade (They will all want to say, "I was the man who helped bring free internet to everyone!") and the groundwork is laid for rapid deployment. In Richardson and elsewhere, MeshLinx is offering the basic infrastructure for free. This avoids all the time consuming, political budget battles in the cities. When a service is offered for free, much of the mandated competitive process is eliminated. Next is the low cost of installation of the system. As noted above, Richardson is a city of roughly 100,000 people living in 27.4 square miles. It will "only" cost about $2,000,000 today to lay the wireless blanket I mentioned above. It will cost a great deal less in the future, as MeshLinx is building the pods at a pace of 100 a month today. The maximum output of the US pilot assembly line is 500 a month. When the demand exceeds this (and it will in a very short time) discussions have been held to move volume production to China. Of course, the world will need tens of millions of pods. The cost for a pod will be a fraction of today's cost, with that installation number for a city like Richardson soon being half (or less) the cost of today. What does that $1 or 2 million get you? The infrastructure to be an internet connection, telephone, security, entertainment provider and a whole lot more company. As noted, it will get cheaper as the number of pods being made each month rises, thus lowering their costs dramatically. This technology does have scale. The cost of physically putting up a pod is not a large part of the equation, as you simply need to run a power line, attach a few bolts to a mount on the side of a building or light pole and then off to the next point. Think about the 40,000 homes and businesses in Richardson. If and (hopefully) over time when 10% decide to pay $50 a month for 10-20 Mbps high speed internet access you could see a revenue of $2.5 million a year just from internet access. Now add in all the other income possibilities (phone, entertainment, security and don't forget advertising revenue on the free service!). Think about your town or country. What would service like this be worth? If you are a small city that does not have high speed connections available, how many businesses that could bring jobs do not come your way because they need reliable communications for their work and their employees? If you are in a developing country, where internet access is difficult and expensive, it will open whole new vistas. Couple that with the various programs which want to give cheap laptops to kids in poor countries, and you could see significant social progress in a generation. Here is the link.

Wednesday, June 13, 2007

On Moreh imbroglio-II

I’m continuing from my last post.

What KNA so far fails to achieve anything meaningful inside Burma makes it, it seems, doubly inspired to make its presence felt inside India. This time it returns with a sparkling result. It is successful in engineering a semblance of sectarian tension between Kukis and Meeteis. Going a little deeper, it is successful in letting a major rebel group of Manipur tag another equally strong group a ‘sectarian’ outfit.

By deploying KNA to achieve this, this is a major milestone for the counter-insurgency establishment of Indian State.

Right at the moment, the group which have been tagged a ‘sectarian’ outfit is seemed to be cornered. It is seemed to be fallen in a trap so elaborately set up by so many actors.

That said, I have this hunch that the outfit seemed to have a contingency plan to avoid falling in this trap, after it had deployed its guerillas to shoot down the 5 Kukis, whom they claimed to be armed cadres of KNA. They did not say it openly but their press statement ( carried by yesterday’s papers) made it abundantly clear. They seemed to have thought out beforehand that KNA might have targeted innocent Meetei civilians. That’s why more than 500 people(who are living in the neighbourhood of Kuki majority areas) so flawlessly crossed over to Burma and stayed there for 3 days. I think that was pre-planned.

But the fatal flaw in their contingency plan proved to be the non-Moreh Meeteis who were working in constructing an auditorium in a Kuki dominated neighbourhood in Moreh. True to its character, KNA simply lined them up and executed them systematically.

I have made a little digression to emphasize my point that the cornered rebel group is a resourceful one. In fact, it is the most resourceful of Manipur’s numerous rebel groups.

Now, this most resourceful group is cornered with a tag of being ‘sectarian’. It’s common sense in Manipur that one cannot be ‘sectarian’ to do any meaningful work here (be it rebellion or anything) as it is the conglomeration of so many ethnic groups. It is bound to strike back.

Thus, we have just reached a scenario where the rebels, instead of fighting their avowed enemy, the Indian State, are likely to intensify fighting amongst themselves. As has been pointed earlier, it is a milestone for the counter-insurgency establishment of Indian State.

If we have a closer look at the press statement issued by the cornered group (which was carried by yesterdays’ papers), we have already had the glimpses of the ferocity of their counter-attack. It said that ‘anti-national liberation movement people’ would not have a chance to get their skin saved by dint of their belonging to a particular ethnicity, religion, community, society or caste. In other words, they would be targeted by using various courses of actions, which are likely to be dubbed ‘sectarian’. Again, it is another way of saying that there are people, who are ‘anti-national liberation struggle’, hiding in some niche places in the society which would be reachable via courses of actions, which are likely to be dubbed ‘sectarian’.

So, in my mind, we are nearing a scenario where one group is shouting ‘sectarian’ while another group shouts back, ‘anti national liberation struggle’. We are nearing a stage where there would be do or die battle amongst the rebel groups, which would leave the poor common folk, for whom the rebels are claiming to lay down their lives, completely dazed.

When I said that, it would seem to be a little far fetched at the first instance. But we should see it in the background of the bizarre confluence of varied interests in Moreh right now.

>> There is the Indian military. Their edginess in failing to persuade the Burmese military to shut down the rebel camps in Sagain region is quite clear by the avalanche of official visits by Indian dignitaries to Rangoon.

>> There is KNA/KNO. They have quite clearly served notice to the larger Manipuri society that if some of its members continue to operate from ‘kuki areas’, they would go as far as gunning down innocent civilian in trying to foment ‘sectarian violence’. Their message: persuade your people to shut down their camps in the ‘kuki areas’.

>> Some valley-based rebels are also hell bent on destroying the camps in the Sagain region. Here is the link to understand this.

by the meltingpot

Now Reading!

Now at 2nd place

This is the 3rd